When the card break about even. - Poker Beats Brags and Variance

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When the card break about even.

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08-08-2009 , 02:39 PM

djpeteski

centurion

Join Date: Jan 2008 Posts: 155

I play a lot of matrix tourneys, and over the past year I have seen my all-ins, when I am ahead, lose in much greater numbers than I should have been losing. One day I kept track and out of 12 2:1 favorites I lost 11. For some reason the month of August has been much better, and while I still get sucked out on it is happening at a more expected pace. From full tilt with some editing for clarity:

HTML Code:

<pre>
Aug 08 13:25ET  $6 + $0.50 Matrix 4x Sit & Go	9  	 	$18.36  	
Aug 08 08:22ET 	$10 + $1 Sit & Go 		9 	2 	$27 	
Aug 08 07:32ET 	$22 + $2 Matrix 4x Sit & Go     9 		$59.40 	
Aug 07 15:23ET 	$6 + $0.50 Matrix 4x Sit & Go 	9 		$10.80 	
Aug 07 09:18ET 	$6 + $0.50 Matrix 4x Sit & Go 	9 		$5.40 	
Aug 07 08:46ET 	$6 + $0.50 Matrix 4x Sit & Go 	9 		$2.16 	
Aug 07 06:30ET 	$6 + $0.50 Matrix 4x Sit & Go 	9 		$11.88 	
Aug 06 20:41ET 	$6 + $0.50 Matrix 4x Sit & Go 	9 		$10.80 	
Aug 06 09:10ET 	$6 + $0.50 Matrix 4x Sit & Go 	9 		$9.72 	
Aug 06 08:34ET 	$6 + $0.50 Sit & Go (Turbo) 	9 	8 	-- 	
Aug 06 06:45ET 	$2 + $0.25 Sit & Go (Turbo) 	9 	3 	$3.60 	
Aug 05 19:49ET 	$10 + $1 Sit & Go (Seven Stud)	8 	1 	$40 	
Aug 05 19:30ET 	$2 + $0.25 Sit & Go 		9 	1 	$9 	
Aug 05 17:54ET 	$2 + $0.25 Sit & Go 		9 	1 	$9 	
Aug 04 23:09ET 	$6 + $0.50 Sit & Go (Turbo) 	8 	5 	-- 	
Aug 04 15:35ET 	$6 + $0.50 Matrix 4x Sit & Go 	9 		$7.56 	
Aug 04 12:39ET 	$6 + $0.50 Matrix 4x Sit & Go 	9 		$14.04 	
Aug 04 08:23ET 	$6 + $0.50 Sit & Go (Turbo) 	8 	2 	$14.40 	
Aug 03 09:57ET 	$6 + $0.50 Sit & Go (Turbo) 	9 	1 	$27 	
Aug 03 05:48ET 	$2 + $0.25 Sit & Go 		9 	3 	$3.60 	
Aug 02 19:15ET 	$6 + $0.50 Matrix 4x Sit & Go 	9 		$17.28 	
Aug 02 17:35ET 	$6 + $0.50 Matrix 4x Sit & Go 	9 		$10.80 	
</pre>

That is $311.40 in winning with entry fees of 152.50, about a 104% ROI.

Do your worst.
DJPeteski

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08-08-2009 , 02:43 PM

pokerd-o

banned

Join Date: Mar 2008 Posts: 543

wat

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08-08-2009 , 02:46 PM

solsek

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Feb 2008 Posts: 6,004

Its because you don't hold down ASDF with you left hand and your vagina with your right hand when you are all in. If you do that the chances of you winning go up drastically.

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08-08-2009 , 02:57 PM

atbwarrior

enthusiast

Join Date: Aug 2009 Posts: 59

am i reading something wrong or is this an attempt at a 20 SNG sample size brag?

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08-08-2009 , 02:59 PM

phishman

Booty Connoisseur

Join Date: Apr 2009 Posts: 11,646

lol?

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08-08-2009 , 02:59 PM

frankvdg

old hand

Join Date: Jan 2009 Posts: 1,633

you should definetly bring this evidence to court

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08-08-2009 , 03:08 PM

lenasrokas

adept

Join Date: Mar 2009 Posts: 1,184

how's Neo doing? or should i call him Mr. Anderson?

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08-08-2009 , 03:32 PM

Todoshok

grinder

Join Date: Jul 2008 Posts: 562

"...so I think to myself, 'Hansel, haven't you been smoking peyote for 8 days straight and couldn't some of this be in your head?' "

"...and?"

"IT WAS! I've never even played no limit hold em...."

Quote

08-08-2009 , 03:35 PM

Bagonirix

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Oct 2006 Posts: 7,248

How ****ing rigged, this is why I play live!!!

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08-08-2009 , 03:36 PM

#10

BarrySanders

veteran

Join Date: Nov 2007 Posts: 2,424

sick life OP

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08-08-2009 , 06:23 PM

#11

caught_clean

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: May 2007 Posts: 7,085

Quote:

Originally Posted by Todoshok

"...so I think to myself, 'Hansel, haven't you been smoking peyote for 8 days straight and couldn't some of this be in your head?' "

"...and?"

"IT WAS! I've never even played no limit hold em...."

Cool story Hansel