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Variance advice Variance advice

06-30-2021 , 04:35 PM
After 410k hands this year, I am taking stock of where I am at. I don't pay much attention to PT4 luck bell curve but noticed the following:



I'm not interested in bad luck sob stories but had a few questions about this curve:

1. I assume it is a reliable indicator of the info it is trying to show, i.e. how often you hit sets and how often draws complete? I checked my flopped sets and I have hit 1181 out of 11,522 flops seen with pocket pair so that seems to confirm hitting less sets than 'average'

2. Is it telling me that roughly 2% of players will have missed more straight draws, roughly 3% of players missed more sets, and roughly 5% of players missed more flush draws?

3. If the above is true, then is it also true to say that only 2 out of every 100,000 players will have missed more combined straights, sets and flushes (0.02*0.03*0.05 = 0.00003)?

I'm sure I've got some flawed logic so any help appreciated. As I say, it's not about whining but I am taking stock of where my game is currently at and some context to this bell curve would be helpful as part of that honest assessment.

Appreciate any constructive comments.

Last edited by Sheep86; 07-01-2021 at 03:30 PM. Reason: embedded image
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07-01-2021 , 06:54 AM
Stop whining every 15 years.
See ya in 2036.
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07-01-2021 , 08:14 AM
limp more
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07-01-2021 , 08:00 PM
"..............I am taking stock of where i am at."

Don't end the sentence with a preposition.
Thank you.,..
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07-02-2021 , 04:53 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by redbuck
"..............I am taking stock of where i am at."

Don't end the sentence with a preposition.
Thank you.,..
Don't end the sentence with a period, comma and two periods. Thank you\?,>[]*¿
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07-02-2021 , 05:19 AM
I agree you really could HAVE done that differently

Last edited by Sheep86; 07-02-2021 at 05:09 PM. Reason: punk!
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07-02-2021 , 06:21 AM
I remember you from 2006. You were a nobody back then and didn't post much.
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07-02-2021 , 03:44 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by SirLimpALot
I'm sure I've got some flawed logic
agreed
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07-03-2021 , 01:21 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by SirLimpALot
Appreciate any constructive comments.
Post less.
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08-31-2021 , 03:45 PM
Wow, this is one of the sickest long term beats I've ever seen in my life. Keep grinding brotha
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10-23-2021 , 07:34 PM
I have similae questions to op

If Im correct it should be something like 2%+3%+5%/3 or something like that... quite rough but not an absurd number... something like 3 -4% chance
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10-28-2021 , 05:01 PM
You've posted twice more than you should have.
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