you is not so good at teh mathematics, eh?
I don't pretend to be a wizard and I only have a few posts, but the idea the overcards are a 3:1 favourite versus a pocket pair is silly. The whole argument seems to be two dimensional: your outs versus mine. It's actually three dimensional. You can hit your outs (6 YOU WIN), I can hit my outs (2 I WIN), or nobody hits anything (I WIN). Of course it's more complicated than just that, but the fact remains that the pair does not need to improve.
he brings up a good point
you have 3:1 outs, but he has 2:1 ways to win (he can improve or stay, you can just improve).
When you combine those you are only a 3:2 favorite.
This may revolutionize the way the game is played.