Quote:
Originally Posted by Biochemie
lost MY LAST 200flips and 90% of my 70-80% hands
You have an excellent selective memory, though how many 90% hands you had during that period. Not asking nor interested. You can see the real numbers with a tracker like hem3. Posting crap isn't enough; you need to fake those numbers and post the screen captures.
Stars or GG, the only difference is that I was running -10bb/100 at GG the last 10k hands of 20k hands at plo2 fast tables but still breaking even in allin adjusted for the 20k hands.
At Stars I was break even all the time for 35k hands plo2 fast tables, zoom. Break even 30k hands total plo5 fast tables mixed stars, gg, with a small lose at stars for running bad. Winning at plo10 fast tables for 20k hands mixed stars, gg, both winning and above the ev too -- with adjusted ev also winning.
The allins on average at gg were fine, before the worst runs at least, just that there was a lot of variance and many favourites did worse than they should and dogs better than they should but not enough sample in 50k hands total for specifics. It is hard to collect after getting a long losing streak.
Or plo2z ran clearly the worst at gg, and can't believe I didn't finally win at stars there, and it seems that level bad beats the most and plo10z doesn't and can go above the ev also; a lot at stars for a start and enormously at gg between 5 and 10k hands, that looked like a bug as I just kept winning, and they did have software problems and had to restart, that seems like their algorithm, that I suspect the sites use at the side of the rng, had problems.
But don't worry, I lost all my gg winnings of this year this month in a losing streak of the -10bb/100 as being the speed at all limits, including nlh2z where most of my favourites lost in a worst run I have ever had in nlh in 4k hands, or in some 50k hands that I have played the nlh games, and I am up at micro nlh at stars in spite that the session starts tend to lose aa vs kk and top set all in vs an overpair, well, I cash those out these days so both players win. aa I waited the last time till flop as it is 90% there, just risking the ace and so. Can't insure at gg as it costs too much and won't give the ev.
So, hard pushed to be break even and I am sceptical but don't necessarily have the numbers to support it, or not enough hands. I haven't looked into Races in hem3 since the long losing streak of about 20k hands. But whatever, I am looking for a new place to try but might have to play plo 5-cards as plo doesn't run much at lower rake sites at my levels.
Posting bad beat hands is meaningless as we have all the numbers in a tracker. Nlh players have more issues when most dominating hands lose and they can't show the numbers as easily.
I know the variance also and it looks like one will have two losing months that will cancel two winning months so if one plays 10 months per year, one will profit 6 of those, or at Stars that has happened to a regular at mid-limits and the horrible runs can be 20k hands straight at plo. What it can be for me somewhere isn't written in stone, so looking for something better than try to grind through the losing streaks after having seen it 20k hands straight at gg.