Quote:
Originally Posted by preflop_stones
do you not understand that the possibility of getting rolled on factors into whether an investment is +EV, just like Alobar said? i just don't have much sympathy for OP because there were warning signs of him being a degen and he didn't build that into the staking agreement well enough, just like Alobar said.
it obviously factors in. OP clearly trusted the stakee enough to think that the EV of the guy stealing from him would still leave the stake as a +EV business decision.
it's pretty low to say "why would you ever trust this guy with $25k" when OP is obviously not a complete moron when it comes to business/staking. obviously hindsight is 20/20 but i think OP deserves enough credit/sympathy for people not to say "LOL u should never have trusted the guy" when OP has more information wrt how trustworthy the guy is and has made his own mental calculations about the likelihood of getting bailed on etc.
its kinda like if someone made a beat thread about how their alcoholic spouse stole $xxxx from them and people come in saying "shoulda never trusted that woman/man, you know he/she has a history of having a drinking problem"
its a pretty heartbreaking situation and i think that OP doesn't need people coming in and calling him out for making a decision that is pretty variable in EV (re: some people saying never trust a guy with such and such history and thinking that decision was -EV and others disagreeing, saying that the he just happened to be subject to a life 1-outer or w/e and the stake was a +EV decision ) but is rather just seeking community help on how to move on from here
i dunno if thats making sense to only me tho im pretty hung over atm
cliffs: let's get thread on the track of helping OP now and not dwell on previous decisions/kick OP while he's down