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Hi at that hand the JTc is favourite. He has 15 outs. But we have the rest 30 cards. How can he be favourite here? Which point do i miss there?

I guess it is rigged after all.

Is there anyone else with basic communication skills who can tell me the mathematical idea of that calculation?

OK the point is that the JTs has those outs essentially twice (if a non-spade K comes of the turn it's still 12 outs), so the KTo has to fade on the turn and the river.

I think you’ve missed the point of BBV:

“BBV isn't meant for poker advice. If you want to ask a question about a hand or poker in general please visit the appropriate strat forum.”

But if you’re looking for abuse, you’ve certainly come to the right place!

Yeah i also thought that but we also have these 30 outs twice

For each out someone has, they are approximately 2% to hit it on a given street. So with 15 outs, he has about a 30% chance to hit one of them on the turn, and if he fails to do that, he has about a 30% chance to hit it on the river. That means he has about a 60% chance to hit one, the other, or both.

That's a bit of an over-estimate, as that math is rounding, and the more outs you have the more rounding error you get, but it's still well over 50%. 54.12%, to be exact.

Not really. JT only has to hit his outs on the turn or the river (at least the flush- and straight-outs). KT must hit his "fade-outs" on the turn and the river.

Hi OP.
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Peace.

Odds were 50/50

I was bad at maths at school. I'm glad theres someone out there a lot worse then me.

Nope! If the other guy gets an 9 on the turn, you have 0 outs for the river!

Oh. I guess i start to understand now after ut response. Thanks!

Ach Morph... I love you.

Well done, Mr. Morph!

Way too much blood for a 2nd story fall. Building needs more stories.

Experiment time?

Thread title: Predictable
OP: Awful and predictable
Morph Meme: 11/10

Glad I opened.

Take a closer look. The building might have a lot more stories.

Thank you. Laughed for two straight minutes.

Eurofilth. Yeah that was pretty funny tho.

1900s want there joke back

That joke clearly gained prominence in the mid aughts bbv not the 1900s you contemptuous swine.