PLO200 prop bet - 150 BI's in 31 days - Page 3 - Poker Beats Brags and Variance

No, I started playing poker on Pokerstars in may. And a bit later started with PLO. Before Pokerstars I played on bet365 but busted my rolll very early. My birthday is February 20th..

mines on the 21st
pretty sick... ur 1 day older than me (if u bday is in 1991 as well)

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01-22-2010 , 12:12 AM

#52

rip32raptors

adept

Join Date: Oct 2007 Posts: 737

Quote:

Originally Posted by Th3_S1aught3r

No lol. This is the time of the year we train the most. The matches start in April I think.

Havent decided yet. Im considering a year off

Minimum wager is $1000. Might change it later.

I suck at NL and you asked me if I wanted to 6 table you a couple of hands in the match(which is the same as berating imo).

Sry

OOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO
hes british lol

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01-22-2010 , 12:15 AM

#53

LOLDONKBETZ

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Aug 2007 Posts: 3,924

Quote:

Originally Posted by Atropa Komarovii

i bet you cant do it

you bet I can't lose 150 buyins in 31 days?

lies

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01-22-2010 , 01:49 AM

#54

ShipMoar

self-banned

Join Date: Jun 2008 Posts: 1,059

Quote:

Originally Posted by MuiMuiBueno

I think you got these numbers wrong. 40k hands of no limit would be like 20k hands of PLO. mig said something along these lines

what he said was that if u play x tables, u get 2x the amount of hands when playing nlhe than plo, plo6-max u get about 50-60h/hr, nlhe it's 80-100 (depending on % of standard or fast tables).

in terms of variance, 40k hands of plo is nothing, nothing at all.

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01-22-2010 , 02:28 AM

#55

TheNextDurrrr

grinder

Join Date: May 2009 Posts: 664

lol wtf at having 13k to prop bet while in high school, balla imo

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01-22-2010 , 02:51 AM

#56

AsH_KeTcHuM

adept

Join Date: Jan 2006 Posts: 1,135

how much r u paying for your coke

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01-22-2010 , 03:17 AM

#57

antchev

veteran

Join Date: Oct 2007 Posts: 2,768

OK, my thoughts on the bet...200K hands, 18-tabling for 31 days is only 6 hours a day (12-tabling is 9 hours, also totally doable), this is around 3.8BB/100 to achieve the goal. 200K hands at 1/2 PLO is a little over 200K VPPs, which is around $12.5K in FPP value. So, basically, OP is going to grind for his SNE goal, risking virtually nothing, and wanting 4:1 odds, this is way too high, IMO. I'll give 4:1 for $40K, $30K is worth no more than 2:1.

PS. Plus, there's a clear possibility of collusion with some friends cause the 1/2 player pool is pretty large and the judges won't be able to distinguish it from some random spew.

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01-22-2010 , 03:38 AM

#58

bones

Winner of 'The Toughest SNG of All Time'

Join Date: Jun 2004 Posts: 10,389

Quote:

Stinger88 on Full Tilt Poker.

Is this someone that isn't Brian Hastings? No ptr record of that name ever playing

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01-22-2010 , 04:30 AM

#59

Th3_S1aught3r

old hand

Join Date: Apr 2009 Posts: 1,617

Quote:

Originally Posted by bones

Is this someone that isn't Brian Hastings? No ptr record of that name ever playing

It is brian hastings. But I meant you should send the money to him on ftp and to wazzbot on pokerstars.

Antchev. Im planning on playing 4 hours a day. I dont have time to play more.

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01-22-2010 , 06:40 AM

#60

Zacharrrr

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Jul 2008 Posts: 7,866

Quote:

Originally Posted by Th3_S1aught3r

It is brian hastings. But I meant you should send the money to him on ftp and to wazzbot on pokerstars.

Antchev. Im planning on playing 4 hours a day. I dont have time to play more.

now this would become interesting if you are only allowed to play 4 hours on a calender day.

as you can see, nobody expressed interest so far. so you need to change your proposition.

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01-22-2010 , 06:47 AM

#61

Th3_S1aught3r

old hand

Join Date: Apr 2009 Posts: 1,617

Quote:

Originally Posted by Zacharrrr

now this would become interesting if you are only allowed to play 4 hours on a calender day.

as you can see, nobody expressed interest so far. so you need to change your proposition.

We can say I can only play 124 hours (4*31) or we can put up a maximum amount of hands. I think the last proposition is most relevant..

Anyone have any other propositions? I can agree to change the rules if you want..

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01-22-2010 , 07:27 AM

#62

MrBIond

newbie

Join Date: Jul 2007 Posts: 20

Quote:

Originally Posted by antchev

+1

200 BI sounds interesting, or 2:1 sounds more reasonable for the original bet, the time restrictions sound awkward to police and both that and hand restrictions would kind of ruin your initial reason for making the bet in the first place surely?

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01-22-2010 , 07:27 AM

#63

lnternet

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Feb 2009 Posts: 12,224

Quote:

Originally Posted by LOLDONKBETZ

you bet I can't lose 150 buyins in 31 days?

lies

as if you have anywhere close to 30k

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01-22-2010 , 10:18 AM

#64

Th3_S1aught3r

old hand

Join Date: Apr 2009 Posts: 1,617

Quote:

Originally Posted by MrBIond

2:1 is to low. Anyone who is playing plo200 on a daily bases knows this is a very hard bet. Just ask mig.

I might go for 3:1 and the minimum wager at $600.

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01-22-2010 , 10:34 AM

#65

Mig

veteran

Join Date: Mar 2005 Posts: 2,933

I personally don't think I could pull something like that by a long shot. Not at this time of the year anyway, games are terrible really often. And unless you think u are a much better player than me, it's gonna be very hard.

I have a lot of months at 1/2 with about 150k hands. And not one time I have been close to achieve it. Trust me playing 18 tables of 1/2 is far from really profitable since plo is so much more harder/slower than NL to multitable. Dickkemp was imo a decent player when he 8 tabled, and when he rushed for SNE, playing 18-24 tables, he lost like over 30k at plo 1/2 ?

Just my 2 cents...

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01-22-2010 , 10:34 AM

#66

dude1238

old hand

Join Date: Apr 2009 Posts: 1,968

is OP a shared 2p2 account? he has a bunch of sng related threads.

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01-22-2010 , 10:42 AM

#67

realmaniac

banned

Join Date: Mar 2009 Posts: 1,755

Good luck! Think u can do it

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01-22-2010 , 10:47 AM

#68

Th3_S1aught3r

old hand

Join Date: Apr 2009 Posts: 1,617

Quote:

Originally Posted by dude1238

is OP a shared 2p2 account? he has a bunch of sng related threads.

I play sngs all the time. Played 10k of them since May

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01-22-2010 , 10:51 AM

#69

Th3_S1aught3r

old hand

Join Date: Apr 2009 Posts: 1,617

Quote:

Originally Posted by Mig

this. I hope someone will give me action on 3-1. I think its a good deal for you guys. And I def understand that you wont risk so much to win so little, thats why I lower the odds.

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01-22-2010 , 11:39 AM

#70

Poolside

veteran

Join Date: Oct 2008 Posts: 3,243

Are u going to play a MAX of 125 hours too?

I really like the idea of having a time contraint

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01-22-2010 , 11:39 AM

#71

MrBIond

newbie

Join Date: Jul 2007 Posts: 20

Well you say that, but when you have an extra $50k or so to be won, you could easily put in like 250k hands to make it work no matter what you tell us now. Anyway I may still be interested, will see if you actually get any action at all

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01-22-2010 , 11:51 AM

#72

Th3_S1aught3r

old hand

Join Date: Apr 2009 Posts: 1,617

Quote:

Originally Posted by Poolside

Are u going to play a MAX of 125 hours too?

I really like the idea of having a time contraint

No. That would be silly..

Quote:

Originally Posted by MrBIond

I better get action. This is not very easy. And I dont have time to play above 200k hands.

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01-22-2010 , 11:52 AM

#73

Mig

veteran

Join Date: Mar 2005 Posts: 2,933

Quote:

Originally Posted by Poolside

I really like the idea of having a time contraint

Time contraint = 31 days ? 744 hours...

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01-22-2010 , 11:56 AM

#74

WalkieTalkie

banned

Join Date: Jan 2010 Posts: 165

Quote:

And I dont have time to play above 200k hands.

surely if you were losing buyins and by doin so even with rakeback you were goin to lose money on the bet you would make time ? ie after 14days say your 50 buy ins down , would you not free up the rest of the 12 weeks to win the bet ??

and i agree with mig the time constraint is 31 days no other restraint should be there.

and also you dont need to say your not goin to play much as even if you had all the time in the world this would still be a very hard thing to manage to do.

Good luck to you and i hope you get the action you want if i had a spare 1k i would be against you but unfortunatly i dont