OK time to whine - Poker Beats Brags and Variance

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12-14-2007 , 02:19 AM

ianisakson

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Sep 2006 Posts: 4,990

Here's how i'm running so far in december, mostly 1/2 and a wee bit of 2/4. As you can see i'm running ~$2500 below expectation which is really gay.

My only explanation is that i'm saving up my rungood for PCA

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12-14-2007 , 02:20 AM

skillgambler

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Jul 2007 Posts: 11,730

[x]sklansky is wrong

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12-14-2007 , 02:25 AM

SamuraiJon

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Nov 2007 Posts: 5,203

Is that you Grimstarr?

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12-14-2007 , 02:27 AM

pfc_ivan12323232

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Nov 2007 Posts: 4,131

[x] HAHAHAHHAHAHAHHA++

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12-14-2007 , 02:35 AM

AHMWM

adept

Join Date: Oct 2007 Posts: 1,149

how do you keep your total winnings above your showdown winnings? I am interested as I have never had a period of time where I am actually ahead in non-showdown hands... How do you achieve this?

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12-14-2007 , 02:41 AM

Mr.Hankey

banned

Join Date: Dec 2007 Posts: 1,057

[x] sustainable

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12-14-2007 , 02:51 AM

luckybacon

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Sep 2006 Posts: 13,644

lol thats nothing that can change around in just one day of running hot. youll be fine

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12-14-2007 , 02:54 AM

ianisakson

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Sep 2006 Posts: 4,990

Quote:

Originally Posted by AHMWM

how do you keep your total winnings above your showdown winnings? I am interested as I have never had a period of time where I am actually ahead in non-showdown hands... How do you achieve this?

winning a lot of non-showdown hands?

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12-14-2007 , 02:56 AM

hoppscot22

veteran

Join Date: Oct 2006 Posts: 2,515

people are still using this graph? havent we gone over that it is wrong many times...

go to luck graphs, and choose all in pots only...

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12-14-2007 , 03:08 AM

#10

Tokyo!!

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Jun 2005 Posts: 11,154

lol, even if you ran at expectation, you'd make what, like $100?

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12-14-2007 , 03:12 AM

#11

ianisakson

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Sep 2006 Posts: 4,990

without spending all the time it takes to screenshot and host it, it looks pretty much the same as the red and blue lines on the graph i've already posted. Red ends up at 0 and blue ends up at -2500

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12-14-2007 , 03:13 AM

#12

ianisakson

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Sep 2006 Posts: 4,990

Quote:

Originally Posted by Tokyo!!

lol, even if you ran at expectation, you'd make what, like $100?

yeah, unfortunately PokerEV doesn't account for the times when you get 3/4 of someones chips in drawing to a gutshot and they hit, then the money goes in. Also I got coolered a lot

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