**OFFICIAL PROP BET THREAD- WIN $100NL UGL FOR DEC 2010**
11-23-2010
, 01:20 PM
This is a crazy bet considering how many hand PTR is missing, nothing new in this thread, I know. PTR has only tracked two of my sessions since the 18th and the one it tracked from last night is missing 1/3 of my hands and over $110 of my profit. That would drive me nuts if I had a prop riding on them. This is just crazy. Good luck though, you are a sick sick man. 
11-23-2010
, 04:00 PM
As long as quads doesn't take another month off from the online pokers or decides to move up... You sir... Have no chance. But GL anyways 
11-23-2010
, 04:02 PM
Quote:
I actually think its a very good idea for a prop bet compared to most. I said right at the start this will be very difficult but i wish you all the best OP
it will certainly be interesting to follow as im determined to try and finish above you...still considering a bet....
it will certainly be interesting to follow as im determined to try and finish above you...still considering a bet....
yeah, its gonna be over 13k of tracked hands from PTR. one bettor PMed me a graph showing 14k profit from his poker tracker but on the UGL it only showed him with 9k profit! i really hope things dont get that bad with me or i really have no chance
11-23-2010
, 04:12 PM
Thanks for the compliments too.
11-23-2010
, 05:59 PM
Quote:
This is a crazy bet considering how many hand PTR is missing, nothing new in this thread, I know. PTR has only tracked two of my sessions since the 18th and the one it tracked from last night is missing 1/3 of my hands and over $110 of my profit. That would drive me nuts if I had a prop riding on them. This is just crazy. Good luck though, you are a sick sick man.
. GL
11-23-2010
, 10:15 PM
Quote:
I would bet the odds of you doing this is closer to 50 to 1...judging from previous threads you have made and other limited knowledge. That being said, props bets have to have good value in order for someone to take you up on it.
10 to 1 seem like fair odds to get action...if I was a friend or trusted you I would definitely take 25 to 1 odds against you. Accepting less than 10 to 1 odds is insane(partially b/c how innaccurate ptr is)...gl finding good odds
10 to 1 seem like fair odds to get action...if I was a friend or trusted you I would definitely take 25 to 1 odds against you. Accepting less than 10 to 1 odds is insane(partially b/c how innaccurate ptr is)...gl finding good odds
Quote:
Ive got to think your either ******ed, or playing an angle here, because you being a 6-1 dog to do this is absurd. 9 to 1 is a start. GLGL though, props for having the balls to try this.
Ive never bet on this stuff before, but not taking action against you is like lighting money on fire.
Ive never bet on this stuff before, but not taking action against you is like lighting money on fire.
Quote:
I'm in for $2-$3k please, pending conf of the terms as mentioned earlier.
Also I would like to offer you an additional side bet if u want to take it (bearing in mind I have no idea who you are, have never seen you play or met you or anything I am just up for a gamble)
I'd like to bet you even money that you make less than $3k in the entire month of December playing on stars. Obv would be based on above terms etc.
gl in this
Also I would like to offer you an additional side bet if u want to take it (bearing in mind I have no idea who you are, have never seen you play or met you or anything I am just up for a gamble)
I'd like to bet you even money that you make less than $3k in the entire month of December playing on stars. Obv would be based on above terms etc.
gl in this
Quote:
damn that is going to be interesting for a bunch of reasons
alot of the guys that usually place high on the ugl at nl100 will be grinding even more this last month because of sne/bonuses or whatever they might be trying to go for, plus ptr sometimes just might miss a session or hands or whatever and it will just stress/tilt you out so ****ing much that it could have an adverse effect
alot of the guys that usually place high on the ugl at nl100 will be grinding even more this last month because of sne/bonuses or whatever they might be trying to go for, plus ptr sometimes just might miss a session or hands or whatever and it will just stress/tilt you out so ****ing much that it could have an adverse effect
Quote:
Wow what a sick prop bet. Jalex too. You don't *** with the jalex.
GL silent one. I really don't think you can do this but I won't be betting as it looks like it is a disaster waiting to happen / people may shoot angles hard here. I'd feel confident that there's nobody better than jalex to judge but you might want 2 more (CJ / hodge) to be on the safe side? I'd offer to help as I'm not betting but I have a sick busy December. GL!
GL silent one. I really don't think you can do this but I won't be betting as it looks like it is a disaster waiting to happen / people may shoot angles hard here. I'd feel confident that there's nobody better than jalex to judge but you might want 2 more (CJ / hodge) to be on the safe side? I'd offer to help as I'm not betting but I have a sick busy December. GL!
Quote:
I actually think its a very good idea for a prop bet compared to most. I said right at the start this will be very difficult but i wish you all the best OP
it will certainly be interesting to follow as im determined to try and finish above you...still considering a bet....
it will certainly be interesting to follow as im determined to try and finish above you...still considering a bet....
first of all, ive NEVER played more then 10 tables of cash games, (though I 16 tabled 6$ sngs a year ago). 2nd, i dont have any idea how I will stack up against pokerstars players, who apparently, according to PTR, have the lowest average winrate in comparison with all the other tracked sites, of which im competing against every single site for the 100nl leaderboard! on top of this, even on the euro site ive played on, over 200k hands at 100nl I was -0.7BB/100 (posted graph earlier in this thread). also, even if I play my A game and run really well I still have no guarnatee of winning or coming close to 1st place on the leaderboard, because I may not have the skills required to get a good enough winrate, and the bet is community dependent so if another good 100nl player decides to run really well and play alot of hands, I will get crushed. also, i may run bad in terms of PTR tracking, as pointed out in a private message from a bettor, he made 14k in a month but PTR only tracked him making 9k. if a scenerio like that happened to me, its just another factor of me having no chance to accomplish this. looking at the last 4 months, 1st place ranged from 12000-18500$ with average 14700$. with close to 5BB/100 and 200k hands.
im not sure what else to say, but i really didn't think there would be an issue with a lack of action. perhaps its because people are not familiar with a type of bet like this and are all use to the standard "ill play crazy volume and profit" bets which are 100% player dependent. perhaps its also because they feel this bet looks too hard to and looks suspicious that there may be some cheating attempts. well, I assure you I am NOT going to cheat and I really hope no one shoots any angles for this bet which is why I got Jalex to be the judge, because he is a sick and well respected judge! the rules seem fair and clear to me, and i really thing this is a great bet for the community to particpate on.
was hoping to have actioned filled within the next 4 days so I have enough time to see how much I have to deposit onto pokerstars for the escrowing/playing and any other preperations such as buying a webcam. sorry to those who bet if I have to cancel this prop bet but im not trying to just back down because im scared or anything, the only reason is because i wouldnt have enough action to attempt this.
11-23-2010
, 10:20 PM
11-23-2010
, 11:40 PM
Sorry. Hell week so far at work. All I had in me today was bare minimum for iron man.
Almost at a minbet!
Running total for bet: $408.45
(anyone wanna lay me 6-1 that I make enough this week to lay a bet against OP? :P)
Almost at a minbet!
Running total for bet: $408.45
(anyone wanna lay me 6-1 that I make enough this week to lay a bet against OP? :P)
11-23-2010
, 11:57 PM
11-24-2010
, 12:30 AM
11-24-2010
, 02:48 AM
11-24-2010
, 05:24 AM
Quote:
This seems like it should be at best 10 to 1 if it was done by a top 5 reg at .5/1 that puts in lots of volume.
It looks too good to be true. I feel like OP must have some reason to think he's got a much better chance at this than someone else would, because otherwise it's burning money.
If everything is straight up, and nothing is being overlooked here, I don't see how OP would have better than a 1 in 1000 chance here. This really doesn't make sense.
I'm going to assume that since OP is friends with CTS, that he will be coaching and freerolling a good chunk of the action.
I just keep thinking why would a guy who can't beat .5/1 10 tabling a euro site think he can move to a tougher site and not only beat the game but be #1. There's either more to this, or it will be the biggest epic fail on 2+2.
Part of me wishes that I could throw some money down, but I can't help but wonder why OP can have > 0 confidence in this bet.
It looks too good to be true. I feel like OP must have some reason to think he's got a much better chance at this than someone else would, because otherwise it's burning money.
If everything is straight up, and nothing is being overlooked here, I don't see how OP would have better than a 1 in 1000 chance here. This really doesn't make sense.
I'm going to assume that since OP is friends with CTS, that he will be coaching and freerolling a good chunk of the action.
I just keep thinking why would a guy who can't beat .5/1 10 tabling a euro site think he can move to a tougher site and not only beat the game but be #1. There's either more to this, or it will be the biggest epic fail on 2+2.
Part of me wishes that I could throw some money down, but I can't help but wonder why OP can have > 0 confidence in this bet.
11-24-2010
, 11:10 AM
