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**OFFICIAL PROP BET THREAD- WIN 0NL UGL FOR DEC 2010** **OFFICIAL PROP BET THREAD- WIN 0NL UGL FOR DEC 2010**

11-19-2010 , 09:19 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by BigRed0000
ummm, b/c he's relying on PTR's "UGL" to confirm that he's the biggest winner for the month? THe fact hat PTR hasn't tracked 80% of my own hands in the last 2 weeks, and is probably missing lots of hands from all other regs?

If you don't get it, i'm not gonna waste time explaining it to you.
No, you don't get it. It doesn't matter what OP's actual winnings are. This is a simple bet. OP either wins the Dec 2010 100NL UGL or he doesn't. Actual profit and loss (and hence the accuracy of PTR's tracking) is totally irrelevant.
**OFFICIAL PROP BET THREAD- WIN 0NL UGL FOR DEC 2010** Quote
11-19-2010 , 09:21 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by BigRed0000
I would bet my entire BR vs you, but this bet is way, way too hard to verify and way too easy for you to cheat.

Sorry, gl. (btw this is coming from a 100nl reg who puts in more volume than 95% of the player pool).
hey, obviously im going to say this, but im never going to cheat! there is definetly more of a risk of cheating happening AGAINST me, rather then for me and if people are concerned with cheating on my end, I would be glad to put up double the money that will be paid out if I lose because i am caught CHEATING!

anyways, i dont think the verification is going to be a problem at all except for a rare scenerio which hopefully wont happen!
**OFFICIAL PROP BET THREAD- WIN 0NL UGL FOR DEC 2010** Quote
11-19-2010 , 09:36 PM
No cheatings gonna happen with jalex on the prowl
**OFFICIAL PROP BET THREAD- WIN 0NL UGL FOR DEC 2010** Quote
11-19-2010 , 09:38 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by ROM Amnesty
And PTR are OK with this too? i.e. They'll allow hands that you play at the start of January to count towards their December UGL!
Open to other suggestions on this. Frankly, if I was betting against the OP, I wouldn't be too upset if there was a brief interruption in the webcam, but it would probably make good sense for him to have a backup plan for the webcam in case his first streaming host went down.

I'd rather NOT see the bet extended, if there's any other option, so hopefully the folks betting against would feel the same and ignore any brief interruptions. We'll see what other suggestions people have, as long as we nail down intent of the parties prior to the bet starting, I'm content.
**OFFICIAL PROP BET THREAD- WIN 0NL UGL FOR DEC 2010** Quote
11-19-2010 , 09:42 PM
Also, I got one question in terms of my references, so just to address that, I've been around a long time at MSNL/HSNL and have alot of folks that will vouch for me....CTS, Krantz, WiltOnTilt, MacDaddy, etc.

I know that Silent_0ne already contacted Cole to check on me, so perhaps he can publish his communication with Cole or if necessary I could get a couple of those folks to post in the thread, I just don't want each individual bettor bugging the crap out of those guys.

Also, if you aren't familiar with why Silent_0ne wanted me to judge, please to be reading this thread (link to cliff notes is in the first post):

http://forumserver.twoplustwo.com/54...ing-mh-736624/

Last edited by jalexand42; 11-19-2010 at 09:50 PM. Reason: PS: I also own a company, for anyone that forgot that.
**OFFICIAL PROP BET THREAD- WIN 0NL UGL FOR DEC 2010** Quote
11-19-2010 , 10:34 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by jalexand42
Open to other suggestions on this. Frankly, if I was betting against the OP, I wouldn't be too upset if there was a brief interruption in the webcam, but it would probably make good sense for him to have a backup plan for the webcam in case his first streaming host went down.

I'd rather NOT see the bet extended, if there's any other option, so hopefully the folks betting against would feel the same and ignore any brief interruptions. We'll see what other suggestions people have, as long as we nail down intent of the parties prior to the bet starting, I'm content.
My point was that the bet can't be extended!
**OFFICIAL PROP BET THREAD- WIN 0NL UGL FOR DEC 2010** Quote
11-19-2010 , 11:01 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by ROM Amnesty
My point was that the bet can't be extended!
Well it theoretically can, because if the bettors agreed to it, let's say if Silent_0ne didn't play for 2 days in the middle of the month due to a death in the family, the bettors could agree to lock the leaderboard at the end of December as far as the competition and take his actual results on stars for the first two days of January in lieu of the two days missed in December.

It's not ideal, but possible. I also wrote that rule up when I thought the bet was going to be comparing his ACTUALS from Stars against the leaderboard, and he decided not to proceed with the bet under those conditions.
**OFFICIAL PROP BET THREAD- WIN 0NL UGL FOR DEC 2010** Quote
11-20-2010 , 12:04 AM
lol subscribed. This is gonna get reeeeeeal interesting.
**OFFICIAL PROP BET THREAD- WIN 0NL UGL FOR DEC 2010** Quote
11-20-2010 , 12:16 AM
jalex is about as legit as they come

i was the largest bettor in the thread he linked, but i would have said that prior, too, and it was one of the reasons i felt confident in his participation then
**OFFICIAL PROP BET THREAD- WIN 0NL UGL FOR DEC 2010** Quote
11-20-2010 , 12:28 AM
Is OP still taking action on this? If so I'll do up to 1.8k.
**OFFICIAL PROP BET THREAD- WIN 0NL UGL FOR DEC 2010** Quote
11-20-2010 , 12:31 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by terp
jalex is about as legit as they come

i was the largest bettor in the thread he linked, but i would have said that prior, too, and it was one of the reasons i felt confident in his participation then
You still owe me a firearm, you tree hugging bleeding heart.
**OFFICIAL PROP BET THREAD- WIN 0NL UGL FOR DEC 2010** Quote
11-20-2010 , 12:36 AM
sent
**OFFICIAL PROP BET THREAD- WIN 0NL UGL FOR DEC 2010** Quote
11-20-2010 , 12:44 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by KakiTee
sent
Confirmed, $18k received.
**OFFICIAL PROP BET THREAD- WIN 0NL UGL FOR DEC 2010** Quote
11-20-2010 , 12:42 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by kerpowski
Is OP still taking action on this? If so I'll do up to 1.8k.
yea, have about 2.5k more action on my side. added to reserve list.

RESERVE LIST: 6 to 1 in my favour
Esandwhizz - 3k
murphy66 - 1.8k
INSPIRON - 0.6k
tightmaniac - 1.8k
rays champ in 08 - 3k-6k
SA16 - n/a
realestate - 1.2k
the_most10 - 0.6k
I_poke_4_fun - 1.2k
dranreb - 6k
handbaggio - 2-3k
king fish - 0-1000$
shipit2kg - n/a
splashthatb0t - 0.6k - 1.2k
kerpowski - 1.8k

escrowed so far:
Kakitee - 18k

---
silent_0ne 3k to 18k

edit: as for the webcam issue, i doubt there will be any problems and in case the webcam is ever off for a small period of time while I am playing, bettors can call me or something to verify but really Ill just stop playing and fix any issue with the webcam.
**OFFICIAL PROP BET THREAD- WIN 0NL UGL FOR DEC 2010** Quote
11-20-2010 , 06:03 PM
600 sent on fulltilt
**OFFICIAL PROP BET THREAD- WIN 0NL UGL FOR DEC 2010** Quote
11-20-2010 , 08:40 PM
I'm just gonna throw something out that you could use incase you feel like you need to extend the bet a bit and add some days in Januari.
Once he's done in December, compare his HEM stats to the PTR stats, if it's 100% accurate then take the days from Januari that you want to add and just add 100%, if PTR only shows 75% of your hands in December, then take your Januari days and only add 75% of their real value.
Of course one may say that it's easier to make money the first days in Januari than in the middle of December. But still, this could be somewhat fair.
**OFFICIAL PROP BET THREAD- WIN 0NL UGL FOR DEC 2010** Quote
11-20-2010 , 09:49 PM
you can count me out, not gonna bet, gl
**OFFICIAL PROP BET THREAD- WIN 0NL UGL FOR DEC 2010** Quote
11-21-2010 , 10:20 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Fredron
I'm just gonna throw something out that you could use incase you feel like you need to extend the bet a bit and add some days in Januari.
Once he's done in December, compare his HEM stats to the PTR stats, if it's 100% accurate then take the days from Januari that you want to add and just add 100%, if PTR only shows 75% of your hands in December, then take your Januari days and only add 75% of their real value.
Of course one may say that it's easier to make money the first days in Januari than in the middle of December. But still, this could be somewhat fair.
i really don't want any bet extensions because it would be lame, especially over like a 2 hour webcam failure or something. however if by the rare chance there is a need for extension (like a family member dies midway through) then what you are suggesting is a good idea.

this is a cool bet and i hope i dont have to back out of it but i need enough action to attempt this. fwiw, when i first thought of this bet in my head, i didnt do any calculations and just estimated the line was somewhere around 10 to 1. what do I think now? well, i think ive lost alot of confidence with regards to being able to accomplish this bet. im sticking with it just because I feel obligated to attempt this (assuming i get enough action). do I know if I will even show profit in december? no. i was -0.67 BB/100 over 400k hands on a euro site. someone even made a side bet with me that i wont get over 3k profit in december! on top of that, of all the sites I could have picked to compete for the leaderboard (ipoker, fulltilt, bodog, party poker, ultimate bet, etc) i decided to pick pokerstars, which holds the lowest winrate per player.

i know people feel discouraged to put money up at 6 to 1, but i cant change that unless i change the bet altogeher. two players that i play with on the euro site have bet against me, and a friend has bet against me. also, when you think about how rare it is for members of the commuity to bet at 6 to 1, the fact that people have bet at 6 to 1 in this thread shows that this is a tough bet. its quite a unique bet in the fact that its not player dependent like 99% of all prop bets on 2+2. this bet has tons of variables and im taking a pretty big gamble with it!
**OFFICIAL PROP BET THREAD- WIN 0NL UGL FOR DEC 2010** Quote
11-21-2010 , 10:25 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by the_most10
600 sent on fulltilt
Confirmed.
**OFFICIAL PROP BET THREAD- WIN 0NL UGL FOR DEC 2010** Quote
11-21-2010 , 10:38 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Silent_0ne
on top of that, of all the sites I could have picked to compete for the leaderboard (ipoker, fulltilt, bodog, party poker, ultimate bet, etc) i decided to pick pokerstars, which holds the lowest winrate per player.
I'd say it's still easier to get UGL on Stars/FTP than on most euro sites... Multitabling is much easier and PTR tracks like >90% of the hands, while for some smaller networks it probably tracks like 50% of hands at best, so you'd actually have to win much more to get UGL playing on smaller networks.

(could actually be more accurate nowadays, but at least less than a year ago PTR missed half of my hands on iPoker)
**OFFICIAL PROP BET THREAD- WIN 0NL UGL FOR DEC 2010** Quote
11-21-2010 , 11:42 AM
damn that is going to be interesting for a bunch of reasons


alot of the guys that usually place high on the ugl at nl100 will be grinding even more this last month because of sne/bonuses or whatever they might be trying to go for, plus ptr sometimes just might miss a session or hands or whatever and it will just stress/tilt you out so ****ing much that it could have an adverse effect


With the recent happenings in some prop bets it also kinda makes it easy to potentially chip dump as well but you can easily look at money won from during the prop bet and make sure nothing went down with the top people to check against this


going to be a fun month, gl
**OFFICIAL PROP BET THREAD- WIN 0NL UGL FOR DEC 2010** Quote
11-21-2010 , 11:57 AM
lol, he's got no chance
**OFFICIAL PROP BET THREAD- WIN 0NL UGL FOR DEC 2010** Quote
11-21-2010 , 01:24 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by the_most10
600 sent on fulltilt
RESERVE LIST: 6 to 1 in my favour
Esandwhizz - 3k
murphy66 - 1.8k
INSPIRON - 0.6k
tightmaniac - 1.8k
rays champ in 08 - 3k-6k
realestate - 1.2k
I_poke_4_fun - 1.2k
dranreb - 6k
handbaggio - 2-3k
king fish - 0-1000$
shipit2kg - n/a
splashthatb0t - 0.6k - 1.2k
kerpowski - 1.8k

escrowed so far:
Kakitee - 18k
the_most10 - 0.6k

---
silent_0ne 3.1k to 18.6k

willing to put up to 10k on my side.
**OFFICIAL PROP BET THREAD- WIN 0NL UGL FOR DEC 2010** Quote
11-21-2010 , 03:52 PM
you sir are a sick man. gl with this.
**OFFICIAL PROP BET THREAD- WIN 0NL UGL FOR DEC 2010** Quote
11-21-2010 , 04:03 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Silent_0ne
this is a cool bet and i hope i dont have to back out of it but i need enough action to attempt this
interesting prop bet, how much action u need to attempt it?
**OFFICIAL PROP BET THREAD- WIN 0NL UGL FOR DEC 2010** Quote

      
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