Originally Posted by FellaGaga-52
So I decide to just drop in the local small game for a few hours tonight instead of hitting the highway for the bigger game. I tell myself, nothing can really disturb me there, just gonna play two little buy-ins, no more, before movie date, and there’s nothing that can really get next to me. I’ve seen and taken all the beats already. But everytime I tell myself this, which is dozens of times in this run, something even weirder happens to give it the lie.
Three quick hands I have 9-J suited, 8-J suited, and 9-Q suited. Two deuces beats them all of course after total board run out. No problem. That’s a given for over 200 sessions. I’m A-Q of diamonds on the button, one limper in front of me. I raise, he calls. Flop is K-J-4, two diamonds. He checks and does deliberate call. Don’t know him, can’t tell if it is indecision, slow play, a straight draw, or just a middlin’ piece not wanting to let go yet. Turn is a king, great card of course, lol. He checks. I bet all-in, getting ready to find out what I’m up against. Again, an even much slower hem and haw. Several minutes of fiddling with his chips, maybe calling, maybe not. I have nothing of course. Then he “raises” it. Turns out he has K-J nut full so it was all pure hollywood. Jeezus. I’ve just been hollywooded by the nut full when I was all-in, waiting and waiting and waiting. I have never seen that one before. It gets weirder, the dealer counts out his raise and looks at me and says “175 more.” I have an all-in button in front of me and no chips anywhere near me. I’m speechless. I think I’ll just let it go for however long it takes, just staring at the dealer, not too cool by I’m way beyond my wits end. The player to my right in the one seat saves the situation and points out that I was all-in five minutes ago (before the guy was hollywooding the turn raise). “Oh, are you are in?” says the dealer, as if it is a difficult question.
I mean is it possible of all the thousands of flops not to be one where he has double gin (flop and turn), I have monster draw and in the betting lead … all the perfect trap. Is it too much to ask for maybe something else to happen, as if maybe they hadn’t rooted thru the deck to get perfect busto situation? That’s too much to ask?
Next hand I have 9-9 and flat a raise, 4-handed. Flop 5-5-2, two diamonds. Leader bets, both call in front, I raise. One call. Pure flush draw. He misses his nut flush, but don’t worry, the turn A left me with four outs. Now the point is not that I lost in this utterly routine, coin flip flop. It’s that for 3 years, 3 months, and 5 days now, I lost nearly 100% of these hands whichever side I was on. It’s so far beyond bizarre that randomness fails to explain it this side of sextillion-to-one territory. I realize that such a time span is not into the long run statistically. But those odds I quoted are for real. Yet here it is.
The hollywood nut full slow roll raise with me already all-in five minutes ago, waiting to see his hand (if he even calls), followed by the zero percent coin flip.
[x] Threatening my sanity
[x] Enlightening me on some of the universe’s mysteries
All in all, not a terrible trade-off at all. The deck is part of the universe therefore part of metaphysics, and metaphysics is more important than poker results per se.