How long can this go on for before I rip out my eyeballs?

Two Plus Two Forums Poker News & Discussion Poker Beats, Brags, and Variance

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10-22-2007 , 05:57 PM

tarath

veteran

Join Date: Jul 2007 Posts: 2,225

At some point this has to start to be improbable right? Like this graph should look like noise but its actually a straight downwards line with almost constant slope. I'm not that big a winner to start with so when I start losing every all-in I become breakeven. I'm up like 800$ over these 50k hands.

You've got to be able to reject the hypothesis that this has zero slope at like the .001 level.

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10-22-2007 , 06:03 PM

ssnyc

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Aug 2005 Posts: 38,129

14.6 more minutes?

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10-22-2007 , 06:04 PM

JSmith2007

banned

Join Date: Aug 2007 Posts: 1,149

Stop moving all in with crap?

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10-22-2007 , 06:06 PM

tarath

veteran

Join Date: Jul 2007 Posts: 2,225

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Stop moving all in with crap?

Thats the net run line, not the total all-in winnings line...

EV of my all-ins is like 2k, outcome is like -2k

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10-22-2007 , 06:06 PM

skillgambler

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Jul 2007 Posts: 11,730

you were pretty damn lucky the first 2 hands

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10-22-2007 , 06:06 PM

JSmith2007

banned

Join Date: Aug 2007 Posts: 1,149

Oh.

Meh.

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10-22-2007 , 07:31 PM

ssnyc

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Aug 2005 Posts: 38,129

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you were pretty damn lucky the first 2 hands

now that's good posting!!! lol

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10-24-2007 , 02:24 AM

pococurante

centurion

Join Date: Jul 2007 Posts: 148

Wow, I feel sorry for you there. Running that bad over a 500 hand stretch is seriously unlikely... too lazy to try the math but I'm guessing out of 10,000 random people you'd have the worst luck of the group. Unfortunately, someone has to be at the wrong end of the luck spectrum, and it happened to be you.

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10-24-2007 , 02:41 AM

Xylocain

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Jun 2006 Posts: 9,112

1. do what kotki does
2. ????
3. profit

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10-24-2007 , 02:52 AM

#10

scpi10

adept

Join Date: Jun 2007 Posts: 815

lol at hand 275 when op thinks whew variance finally over. Then at hand 280 oh nos here I go againnnnnnnnnnnn.

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10-24-2007 , 03:27 AM

#11

ROcketRO

grinder

Join Date: Oct 2007 Posts: 591

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lol at hand 275 when op thinks whew variance finally over. Then at hand 280 oh nos here I go againnnnnnnnnnnn.

You are so sick. I started loling at work, everybody was looking at me like "wtf is so funny?".

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10-24-2007 , 08:09 AM

#12

yli

journeyman

Join Date: Jan 2007 Posts: 200

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At some point this has to start to be improbable right?

At some point your thought process became improbable.

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10-24-2007 , 08:14 AM

#13

Kala1928

old hand

Join Date: Jan 2006 Posts: 1,855

Quote:

when I start losing every all-in I become breakeven.

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10-24-2007 , 08:31 AM

#14

xManiaCx

enthusiast

Join Date: Dec 2005 Posts: 51

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lol at hand 275 when op thinks whew variance finally over. Then at hand 280 oh nos here I go againnnnnnnnnnnn.

LOL I lol'd

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10-24-2007 , 08:43 AM

#15

MrBump

WINNING

Join Date: Oct 2006 Posts: 6,018

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you were pretty damn lucky the first 2 hands

Yeah, some people are just never happy

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