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Poker Beats, Brags, and Variance Here's where you put your whines and wins.

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Old 04-29-2009, 09:25 PM   #1
onemarky
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Arrow Brag: I just got someone to make a prop bet for $1000 against Durrrr/Tom Dwan

Story:

so i was doing my usual forum browsing of NVG, and i came across the Durrrr thread and decided to do some reading, when i saw a post from a guy claiming he was a big fan of Durrrr's and thought he was going to be a different kind of poker player who wouldnt be tempted by things that make people go broke i.e. pit games, drugs, hookers blah blah but said he was proven wrong when Durrrr made his challenge to world, he also pointed out Durrrr's losses in the past couple months and made a statement about how Durrrr wouldnt be playing those nosebleeds to make it easy here is his exact quote:
Quote:
Given these recent events I think it is almost a guarantee that Tom Dwan will either be broke or will have to move down significantly in stakes before the end of 2009. I'm posting this information to stimulate discussion, of course, but also to prompt every 2+2 forum member to reflect on the psychological basis of the impulse to gamble. I believe that there are issues of impulse control and psychological desire that are common to many gamblers and that need to be understood more fully.
so being the Durrrr fan and supporter i am i immediately "lol'd" and thinking i wouldnt get even a bite of action responded with this:
Quote:
gman i will give you 2.5-1 odds on $1k that Durrrr is still playing beating those nosebleed stakes in december and is a winning player...... you want to take that bet?

now i never thought i would get action on this thinking only somebody who hated money would take this when i saw his reply and jaw dropped:

Quote:
I will accept 2.5 odds on $1k that durrrr will play below 200-400 online before December 31st, 2009. If you want to accept just reply and type "accept". I am willing to escrow the money if you want to or simply rely on a verbal agreement. The easiest for me would be transfer on fulltilt.
so there it is boys an easy $1000 for me, now i am not flaming gmanshade so i hope dont come off as rude, but i just had to brag about how great my 2010 is going to begin. i have accepted this bet and have agreed to escrow the money sometime closer to december i sent said 2+2er a PM and i thought i would share the info with you all


and one last thing

just come through for me one time Durrrr, i know your good for it




Stipulations:

-durrrr ends the year a winner

-durrrr's regular game is 200-400 and above

-durrrr isnt broke

Last edited by onemarky; 04-29-2009 at 09:47 PM. Reason: Story
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Old 04-29-2009, 09:27 PM   #2
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Re: Brag: I just got someone to make a prop bet for $1000 against Durrrr/Tom Dwan

Bad bet
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Old 04-29-2009, 09:32 PM   #3
WallyD
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Re: Brag: I just got someone to make a prop bet for $1000 against Durrrr/Tom Dwan

So, if Durrrr plays below 200-400 just once this year, you lose?
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Old 04-29-2009, 09:33 PM   #4
CastleBravo79
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Re: Brag: I just got someone to make a prop bet for $1000 against Durrrr/Tom Dwan

lol...

Edit: from table ratings (I'm not subscribed but w/e)

"$5/$10 CAP NLH SH 2 $30 75.00 $0 $0 Mar 25th, 2009"

Last edited by CastleBravo79; 04-29-2009 at 09:40 PM.
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Old 04-29-2009, 09:34 PM   #5
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Re: Brag: I just got someone to make a prop bet for $1000 against Durrrr/Tom Dwan

Durrrr's losses in the past couple months,
psychological basis of the impulse to gamble,

Conclusion=goodluck with that K
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Old 04-29-2009, 09:34 PM   #6
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Re: Brag: I just got someone to make a prop bet for $1000 against Durrrr/Tom Dwan

so if durrr plays lower than 200/400 only one time before the end of the year you lose? bad bet sir
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Old 04-29-2009, 09:35 PM   #7
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Re: Brag: I just got someone to make a prop bet for $1000 against Durrrr/Tom Dwan

safe bet

Last edited by SoUnreal; 04-29-2009 at 09:43 PM. Reason: for the other guy, DUCY
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Old 04-29-2009, 09:36 PM   #8
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Re: Brag: I just got someone to make a prop bet for $1000 against Durrrr/Tom Dwan

horrible bet
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Old 04-29-2009, 09:40 PM   #9
onemarky
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Re: Brag: I just got someone to make a prop bet for $1000 against Durrrr/Tom Dwan

not one time, stop being smartasses
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Old 04-29-2009, 09:41 PM   #10
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Re: Brag: I just got someone to make a prop bet for $1000 against Durrrr/Tom Dwan

LOL @ the terms you agreed to. Even if Durrrr plays 99% 500/1k the rest of the year you likely still end up losing this bet.
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Old 04-29-2009, 09:42 PM   #11
onemarky
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Re: Brag: I just got someone to make a prop bet for $1000 against Durrrr/Tom Dwan

this isnt angle shooting bet...
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Old 04-29-2009, 09:43 PM   #12
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Re: Brag: I just got someone to make a prop bet for $1000 against Durrrr/Tom Dwan

Good bet.
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Old 04-29-2009, 09:47 PM   #13
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Re: Brag: I just got someone to make a prop bet for $1000 against Durrrr/Tom Dwan

if u get angled here, rofl. If gman goes by the spirit of the bet, u win.
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Old 04-29-2009, 09:49 PM   #14
onemarky
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Re: Brag: I just got someone to make a prop bet for $1000 against Durrrr/Tom Dwan

Quote:
Originally Posted by gimmetheloot View Post
if u get angled here, rofl. If gman goes by the spirit of the bet, u win.
from the way he writes he seems like a smart guy and got my point, there shouldnt be an angle, he doesnt seem like a scumbag angle shooter
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Old 04-29-2009, 09:50 PM   #15
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Re: Brag: I just got someone to make a prop bet for $1000 against Durrrr/Tom Dwan

so he only has to play below 200/400 once?
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Old 04-29-2009, 09:50 PM   #16
Das Budrick
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Re: Brag: I just got someone to make a prop bet for $1000 against Durrrr/Tom Dwan

Quote:
Originally Posted by onemarky View Post
not one time, stop being smartasses
how many times? why would you be so ambiguous about such a crucial detail of the bet?
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Old 04-29-2009, 09:50 PM   #17
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Re: Brag: I just got someone to make a prop bet for $1000 against Durrrr/Tom Dwan

that is how it's worded
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Old 04-29-2009, 09:51 PM   #18
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Re: Brag: I just got someone to make a prop bet for $1000 against Durrrr/Tom Dwan

"I will accept 2.5 odds on $1k that durrrr will play below 200-400 online before December 31st, 2009."

if he plays 1 hand of 100/200, he's playing below 200-400. Easy monies. It's not an angle shoot if he takes that route, it's a poorly made bet.
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Old 04-29-2009, 09:54 PM   #19
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Re: Brag: I just got someone to make a prop bet for $1000 against Durrrr/Tom Dwan

Phil Laak. Playing 10/20?
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Old 04-29-2009, 09:55 PM   #20
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Re: Brag: I just got someone to make a prop bet for $1000 against Durrrr/Tom Dwan

Quote:
Originally Posted by onemarky View Post
from the way he writes he seems like a smart guy and got my point, there shouldnt be an angle, he doesnt seem like a scumbag angle shooter
i think you are a little over your head in thinking what the terms are. from what it looks like the only terms that he agreed to are that durrr would play 200/400 and below.
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Old 04-29-2009, 09:57 PM   #21
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Re: Brag: I just got someone to make a prop bet for $1000 against Durrrr/Tom Dwan

sweet sweet self ownage
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Old 04-29-2009, 10:04 PM   #22
***Ryan***
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Re: Brag: I just got someone to make a prop bet for $1000 against Durrrr/Tom Dwan

Quote:
Originally Posted by onemarky View Post

Stipulations:

-durrrr ends the year a winner
how are you going to track this? if you go by tableratings then dwan is down 4 million this year. he has never won more than 4 million in a year unless guy lalibertay was playing so there is no way that dwan can overcome this 4 million downswing by the end of the year
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Old 04-29-2009, 10:06 PM   #23
onemarky
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Re: Brag: I just got someone to make a prop bet for $1000 against Durrrr/Tom Dwan

the 200-400 part is about him having to play below because of his bankroll, as long as he is winner and he is still playing nosebleeds consistently that what decides the bet, i am not explaining anymore... see you guys in december
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Old 04-29-2009, 10:07 PM   #24
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Re: Brag: I just got someone to make a prop bet for $1000 against Durrrr/Tom Dwan

the way its worded, that doesnt even sound like an angle shoot. it sounds like the bet
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Old 04-29-2009, 10:07 PM   #25
onemarky
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Re: Brag: I just got someone to make a prop bet for $1000 against Durrrr/Tom Dwan

Quote:
Originally Posted by ***Ryan*** View Post
how are you going to track this? if you go by tableratings then dwan is down 4 million this year. he has never won more than 4 million in a year unless guy lalibertay was playing so there is no way that dwan can overcome this 4 million downswing by the end of the year
would you like a bet as well?
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