Originally Posted by TomaTe
Let's say blinds are 150-300 with ante 25 (675 in the pot and he was 2k to 3k chips), most player from SB and BB will call his bouton shove with any A and any pair, sometime with KQ-KJ but not all the time, so mostly they will call 25% of the time (dont have time to do the math). It's ev+ to shove any two from bouton just with that fact (675 + 2.5k stack if both blinds fold, etc). Now consider that he is mostly 70/30 behind in general, so that 25% now decrease to 18-19%, so mostly he loses only 18-19% of the time while shoving is bouton. I am probably sure that most people are scare money and fold 22-55 and even A7- so it's more like 13-15%. If he is bubble, he probably lose 10% of the time because people now fold up to ATo and even 77 if your not low stack while shoving. In sng 9 handed, if ur big stack with 5 player remaining, you have no reason to not make the top2 because you can aggro the middle stack quite easily.
And to answer ur question about AJ, it's quite easy. The blind 100-200 is a very tricky level to play since it's the last before ante (I think, or maybe there 2x 150-300 level). Most people with blinds 100-200 will raise to 600 and fold to a push with hand like 77- AJ-. Also most people with 99+ or AKo will probably shove preflop instead of raising 3x because they dont want to play postflop. With AJo, even with a early position raiser (if the early position raiser is big stack, shoving AJo is almost insta), your putting pressure on vilain and he is most likely to fold most small-middle poket and call only with 99+, AQ and AK, of course, you dont beat much of these, but he dont have those more than 25% of the time, even there, you flip vs some and have 30% to win vs JJ-QQ-KK.
Turbo on stars are easy to play, NIT early, if blinds are 15-30 I even fold QJo from bouton if everybody fold because what the point in winning 45 chips? Middle stage tight agressive (6-7 player), and late stage bubble with antes (4-5 player), maniac, shove every 3-4 hands (most bouton, sb if everybody fold, and cut off), shove light vs a limper). The goal in sng's is to have enough stack to make people think, if you fold too much and have 1.5 to 2k stack with blinds 150-300, player with 4k stack will most likely call you very light, if you got 3 to 3.5k, you can steal blinds more easy.
I am pretty sure that how Boku play. (Sorry for my english)