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Beating 6NL at 81bb/100 Beating 6NL at 81bb/100

03-11-2013 , 04:08 AM
I know the sample is small but its taken me 12 days, single tabling. Progress is constant and I don't expect things to change drastically.

I've only been playing 4 months and during that time often had similar streaks but they were broken up by losing a bunch of buy ins in a single session, from inexperience and tilt, but I think I've plugged most of my big leaks now and I think I've got a pretty good tactic on beating this level at least.

I'm not a believer in variance suddenly popping up out of nowhere because I believe its constantly occurring over my 2600 hands so why would things suddenly change? Piece of cake.

Beating 6NL at 81bb/100 Quote
03-11-2013 , 04:33 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by mirage01
I know the sample is small but its taken me 12 days, single tabling. Progress is constant and I don't expect things to change drastically.

I've only been playing 4 months and during that time often had similar streaks but they were broken up by losing a bunch of buy ins in a single session, from inexperience and tilt, but I think I've plugged most of my big leaks now and I think I've got a pretty good tactic on beating this level at least.

I'm not a believer in variance suddenly popping up out of nowhere because I believe its constantly occurring over my 2600 hands so why would things suddenly change? Piece of cake.

Because even though you plugged the leaks of inexperience and tilt, you can still lose when you are a big favorite. I'm sure you will always win in the long run in these games, just not at that clip. Someone will make a flush when you have a set, someone will make quads when you have a full house. These things happen, and when they do, 81BB/100 won't be the number your graph displays anymore..
Beating 6NL at 81bb/100 Quote
03-11-2013 , 04:54 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by jmammon
Because even though you plugged the leaks of inexperience and tilt, you can still lose when you are a big favorite. I'm sure you will always win in the long run in these games, just not at that clip. Someone will make a flush when you have a set, someone will make quads when you have a full house. These things happen, and when they do, 81BB/100 won't be the number your graph displays anymore..
I know what you mean, and those things have happened often previously,, and still do, as you can see by the blips on my graph but they are out weighed by the rest. I have also realised that those coolers do not just pop out out of nowhere, there are always signs, so you have the opportunity to sniff them out and fold if you suspicious, although that depends on how big of a gambler you are or how greedy.

If I have a set, and face a huge bet with a flush or straight on the table I just fold. Its not worth it, and I have found in micro that the vast majority of the time, the bets are real. No use looking for a bluff when 80% of the time you lose.

I don't like to gamble, and I basically try to avoid any coin flip situation, with big bets unless its exceptional circumstances. Last night I did something I usually don't do which was go all in pre flop with kings, and of course I got called with pocket aces. I don't see the need for such big gambles usually. I prefer to only put my big money in when Im strong favourate, which means two pair minimum!
Beating 6NL at 81bb/100 Quote
03-11-2013 , 04:56 AM
2 many wurds itt
Beating 6NL at 81bb/100 Quote
03-11-2013 , 05:15 AM
2.6k hands is not enough of a sample to determine your winrate ainec. this is nowhere near sustainable, no matter how much you want to believe in it.
Beating 6NL at 81bb/100 Quote
03-11-2013 , 05:26 AM
OP is daft.
Beating 6NL at 81bb/100 Quote
03-11-2013 , 05:29 AM
I will update the thread when I reach $500 which is when I will move upto 10NL
Beating 6NL at 81bb/100 Quote
03-11-2013 , 05:34 AM
Inb4 downswing and OP busts everything. Bet he never posts again. 1.8K hands, over/under ?
Beating 6NL at 81bb/100 Quote
03-11-2013 , 05:59 AM
I wish people would stfu and stop educating in threads like this. Nice progress OP tell all your friends about it and get them involved
Beating 6NL at 81bb/100 Quote
03-11-2013 , 06:30 AM
OP is a true legend!
Beating 6NL at 81bb/100 Quote
03-11-2013 , 06:37 AM
Now OP imagine you increased your tables to 4 and played at least for 3 hours. You'll be getting in 2500 hands and 115 dollars.

For 3 hours work thats awesome cash. And then play for 6 hours, you get $230. Times by 5 working days and you got yourself 1150. Time to quit work imo.
Beating 6NL at 81bb/100 Quote
03-11-2013 , 07:51 AM
What's your secret?

Spoiler:
Do you fold rivers a lot?
Beating 6NL at 81bb/100 Quote
03-11-2013 , 08:02 AM
time to move up to 7NL I reckon.
Beating 6NL at 81bb/100 Quote
03-11-2013 , 08:17 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by mirage01
I'm not a believer in variance suddenly popping up out of nowhere because I believe its constantly occurring over my 2600 hands so why would things suddenly change? Piece of cake.
You are so correct. If you can run good for almost 3k hands, you have beaten variance for good and it will never bother you again.
Beating 6NL at 81bb/100 Quote
03-11-2013 , 08:41 AM
So you can afford to eat one medium pizza a day, good thing your mom doesn't charge you rent.
Beating 6NL at 81bb/100 Quote
03-11-2013 , 08:49 AM
In before you lose $100 in a 100 hand stretch.
Beating 6NL at 81bb/100 Quote
03-11-2013 , 08:49 AM
wtf is 6nl ;s
Beating 6NL at 81bb/100 Quote
03-11-2013 , 09:00 AM
I don't think that anyone cares op.. You better don't start a thread next time. This time you didn't got to many EAD replys, but it's not over yet... And EAD man.
Beating 6NL at 81bb/100 Quote
03-11-2013 , 09:01 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by mirage01
I will update the thread when I reach $500 which is when I will move upto 10NL
No no, don't bother. And.. you probably won't update anyway, because after 3K hands more, your win rate will shrink atleast 2x
Beating 6NL at 81bb/100 Quote
03-11-2013 , 09:11 AM
FYI 2500 hands is 4 hours of play for most.
Beating 6NL at 81bb/100 Quote
03-11-2013 , 09:45 AM
winrate should be higher if variance isn't a factor.
Beating 6NL at 81bb/100 Quote
03-11-2013 , 10:08 AM
rake paid?
Beating 6NL at 81bb/100 Quote
03-11-2013 , 10:15 AM
I once made 150bb/100 over a 2 hand sample.
Beating 6NL at 81bb/100 Quote
03-11-2013 , 10:27 AM
add another table...
Beating 6NL at 81bb/100 Quote
03-11-2013 , 01:15 PM
Nice beat OP
Beating 6NL at 81bb/100 Quote

      
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