40K in 30 days at $60 sng's prop bet - Page 6 - Poker Beats Brags and Variance

So if lets say you win $35k on the bet + $40k from SNGs + what $20k in rakeback? $95k for one month's work?

Yeah, life's too short to grind like that. Plus Lost just started up again.

Ok absolute worst case scenario you run like ass, make $10-$15k SNGs + RB, and lose $35k on the bet for -$25k. Yeah that would suck. But assuming you're even money your edge is still +$50k.

Yeah ok I see, if you really think you can make $40k + $20k RB on your own, then you want your edge to be over $60k. Basically the bet is just a self-help seminar to get you motivated.

I'm slow but I catch on eventually.

QFT

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01-22-2009 , 10:37 AM

#127

IamPro

one time Plz???

Join Date: Jan 2009 Posts: 17,652

Whats ur BR for this?

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01-22-2009 , 11:14 AM

#128

LeadbellyDan

old hand

Join Date: Feb 2006 Posts: 1,939

Quote:

Originally Posted by suzzer99

$95k for one month's work?

Two months work imo.

Gl Gravy.

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01-22-2009 , 11:49 AM

#129

castro99

banned

Join Date: Jun 2007 Posts: 166

wheres sg's blog?

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01-22-2009 , 12:34 PM

#130

ShipMoar

self-banned

Join Date: Jun 2008 Posts: 1,059

Quote:

Originally Posted by suzzer99

Please post your sleeping schedule so I can know when to play.

schedule? lol...

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01-22-2009 , 12:43 PM

#131

Sly Caveat

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Aug 2007 Posts: 8,635

I may have underestimated you. I'm withdrawing my $500 for now.

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01-22-2009 , 01:05 PM

#132

Oczkusss

adept

Join Date: Feb 2008 Posts: 920

Quote:

Originally Posted by Sly Caveat

I may have underestimated you. I'm withdrawing my $500 for now.

Yeah..This is for sure not the easiest way to earn 500$ in a month as many people were thinking.

GL gravy!!

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01-22-2009 , 01:15 PM

#133

ShipMoar

self-banned

Join Date: Jun 2008 Posts: 1,059

and yeah, so sick. gl gravy

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01-22-2009 , 01:49 PM

#134

Scotty_12

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Apr 2006 Posts: 5,359

Quote:

Originally Posted by spacegravy

Well, after I kill myself it will help your roi in the long run.

You are as crazy for doing this as i would be to bet against you.

Can you coach me on how to grind?

Also i am willing to be a jury member if necessary

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01-22-2009 , 02:01 PM

#135

faarcyde

veteran

Join Date: May 2007 Posts: 2,389

$500 booked

faarcyde + kleath

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01-22-2009 , 03:22 PM

#136

Skitz0Frenik

adept

Join Date: Jun 2008 Posts: 796

GL with this Space, I definitely won't be against you. I'll also try to limit my impulsive spite calls against you but I can't make any promises. I can absolutely see you accomplishing this, go get 'em

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01-22-2009 , 04:22 PM

#137

NJD77

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Dec 2007 Posts: 9,542

Gravy, out if interest, what balance of games are you thinking of playing?

Mainly 9 mans, with a few 18s 45s and 90s? Or the other othe way round, mainly MTTs, with a few 9 mans?

I would have thought 9 mans would give you the highest hourly and the least variance, so not sure why you have included any number of entrants in your conditions.

I am really on the fence with this one, at first I thought no way, but you are just too sick to rule it out!

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01-22-2009 , 04:36 PM

#138

spacegravy

old hand

Join Date: Mar 2006 Posts: 1,249

Quote:

Originally Posted by IamPro

Whats ur BR for this?

at least 52k

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01-22-2009 , 04:37 PM

#139

spacegravy

old hand

Join Date: Mar 2006 Posts: 1,249

Quote:

Originally Posted by Scotty_12

You are as crazy for doing this as i would be to bet against you.

Can you coach me on how to grind?

Also i am willing to be a jury member if necessary

ok, ty. can we get two more volunteers?

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01-22-2009 , 04:39 PM

#140

spacegravy

old hand

Join Date: Mar 2006 Posts: 1,249

Quote:

Originally Posted by NJD77

every 18-90 man that runs then fill the rest with 9 mans till i get to bout 30 tables.

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01-22-2009 , 04:40 PM

#141

MYMESSIAH

adept

Join Date: Jul 2008 Posts: 1,154

Hope this happens

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01-22-2009 , 04:49 PM

#142

IamPro

one time Plz???

Join Date: Jan 2009 Posts: 17,652

Quote:

Originally Posted by spacegravy

at least 52k

Thnks.

Gl dude

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01-22-2009 , 05:24 PM

#143

bumpking

adept

Join Date: Aug 2006 Posts: 969

Quote:

Originally Posted by spacegravy

We will need to add something into the terms of the bet about this. If for some reason I get too sick to play or get into a car crash or something everyone should be refunded their money but being sick can't be a result from playing too much that will be my fault and will have to forfeit the bet. It will have to be a sickness not related to being exhausted and I'm a healthy person and rarely get sick so shouldn't be a concern.
If the servers go down, I should get the amount of time it's down added to the 30 days.

Also, what if a life threatening situation happens to one of my immediate family members? This is very unlikely, but say one of my brothers gets in a car crash and is in the hospital should I be granted a one day break to visit him in the hospital?

Another good clause would be that if you did have to cancel the bet due to sickness or some catastrophic event, then the refund would be based on what $ you had won so far. For example, you should win $1,333 per day, right? well, if the catastrophy happens on day 15, then you should have won 14 days worth, or $18,666. Whatever amount you're ahead or behind of this can be a percentage of +/- refund. I think I'm not making any sense, but maybe someone else can articulate it better.

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01-22-2009 , 05:30 PM

#144

CCuster_911

You Only Live Once

Join Date: May 2008 Posts: 24,435

Quote:

Originally Posted by bumpking

are you trying to say that if he becomes ill and has to drop out...bout completed 1/2 the time(half) and was on pace to reach the goal that he wins 1/2 the bet?

So if he has 10k against and stops half way through on pace he wins 5k?

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01-22-2009 , 05:32 PM

#145

syndr0me

old hand

Join Date: Dec 2006 Posts: 1,669

this bet seems possible but hard, u definitely need a jury of some sort, ive played some with you in sngs but not recently ur certainly profitable but have a really gay av if i remember right

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01-22-2009 , 05:38 PM

#146

skates

veteran

Join Date: Jul 2007 Posts: 2,111

That doesn't work bumpking, because some of us (me) are partially deriving an edge from stamina/fatigue.

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01-22-2009 , 05:48 PM

#147

BWMASJR

grinder

Join Date: Mar 2008 Posts: 497

Quote:

Originally Posted by bumpking

Yea I'm not sure what your trying to say here, I mean if he gets sick or some catastrophic event happens I'm cool with canceling/delaying the bet but I'm not cool with paying out based on how much % wise he finished b/c the bet is on if he can make 40k in 30 days not 20k in 15 or 10 k in 7 ect

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01-22-2009 , 05:51 PM

#148

spacegravy

old hand

Join Date: Mar 2006 Posts: 1,249

Quote:

Originally Posted by bumpking

I see what your saying, but for the reasons others have mentioned this wouldn't be fair.

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01-22-2009 , 05:54 PM

#149

spacegravy

old hand

Join Date: Mar 2006 Posts: 1,249

Is there anyway the mods can add this to the OP

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