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40K in 30 days at  sng's prop bet 40K in 30 days at  sng's prop bet

02-14-2009 , 11:59 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by swd805
FAIL

Username Games Played Av. Profit Av. Stake Av. ROI Total Profit Form Network Filter
IveyLike08 [Click for details] 652 $0 $5 -4% -$41 Tilt FullTilt E9-9 SNG Only x
Uh. Im talking overall profit ****** not 9 player sit n gos. Also, that isnt accurate on 9 man sit n gos either. Why dont you post the screen shot if it says that. I have a 16% Roi on FT and 10% on PS.
40K in 30 days at  sng's prop bet Quote
02-15-2009 , 12:02 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Cmoneymaker9
i just HAVE to step in here and mention how stupid you sound custer. al is talking about his true roi under these conditions. if u dont think someones roi under such conditions is always going to be lower in situations where you are mass multitabling for such long hours, then ur almost as bad as phillipemoren. that being said, even if he WAS running at his lifetime roi (which as someone pointed out was only a ~2% difference) he still wouldnt be on pace.
as of right now Sg is depending on a couple heaters to pull this one out.
o schnap
40K in 30 days at  sng's prop bet Quote
02-15-2009 , 12:06 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Sluffing Aces
Uh. Im talking overall profit ****** not 9 player sit n gos. Also, that isnt accurate on 9 man sit n gos either. Why dont you post the screen shot if it says that. I have a 16% Roi on FT and 10% on PS.
this must be one of the biggest level posts ive ever read, right?

...right?
40K in 30 days at  sng's prop bet Quote
02-15-2009 , 12:42 AM
thanks fo the graph

appears he just cannot gain any momentum
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02-15-2009 , 12:43 AM
hes at a table 4 handed and theres 2 supernovas, a supernova elite and a platinum star.

lol regs
40K in 30 days at  sng's prop bet Quote
02-15-2009 , 12:57 AM
This whole debate over actual ROI is stupid.

Both sides are dumb on this roi debate. After the bet is over we will have a decent size sample to see how close his ROI was to his historical ROI. If he ends up playing like 10k 9 handed games the range will be within about plus or minus 2 percent. Obviously these conditions and parameters will change his ROI, but lets wait until the bets over to talk about running above and below expectation.

Also if you want to talk about his historical ROI at the 55s, please don't include the numbers after this bet started. Because when people are saying he is running below expectation, and you use the number included in this bet to bring down his historical average, it loses its validity. Before this bet started he was averaging historically 6% at the 9 handed sngs at the 55s or 3.54 cents a game. During this bet he has averaged 1.20 cents a game.

Clearly he is below what he was averaging. But its too early to tell if this from different conditions or variance, sample size etc.....

Let the bet play out and we will have a great size sample to analyze and see which one is the reason.

Also this bet isn't over, plenty of games left. Any one who doesn't think its possible to put u 15,000 dollars in 2k games doesn't understand the positive side of variance especially when playing 45 and 18 handed. That beeing said i am a bit concerned for spacegravy, but i hope he does it.
40K in 30 days at  sng's prop bet Quote
02-15-2009 , 01:04 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by jujubeez
This whole debate over actual ROI is stupid.

Both sides are dumb on this roi debate. After the bet is over we will have a decent size sample to see how close his ROI was to his historical ROI. If he ends up playing like 10k 9 handed games the range will be within about plus or minus 2 percent. Obviously these conditions and parameters will change his ROI, but lets wait until the bets over to talk about running above and below expectation.

Also if you want to talk about his historical ROI at the 55s, please don't include the numbers after this bet started. Because when people are saying he is running below expectation, and you use the number included in this bet to bring down his historical average, it loses its validity. Before this bet started he was averaging historically 6% at the 9 handed sngs at the 55s or 3.54 cents a game. During this bet he has averaged 1.20 cents a game.

Clearly he is below what he was averaging. But its too early to tell if this from different conditions or variance, sample size etc.....

Let the bet play out and we will have a great size sample to analyze and see which one is the reason.

Also this bet isn't over, plenty of games left. Any one who doesn't think its possible to put u 15,000 dollars in 2k games doesn't understand the positive side of variance especially when playing 45 and 18 handed. That beeing said i am a bit concerned for spacegravy, but i hope he does it.
you waited 9 months to post this?
40K in 30 days at  sng's prop bet Quote
02-15-2009 , 01:08 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by CCuster_911
you waited 9 months to post this?
It was a good post. Stop trolling, you aren't impressing anyone.
40K in 30 days at  sng's prop bet Quote
02-15-2009 , 01:09 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by CCuster_911
you waited 9 months to post this?
solid
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02-15-2009 , 01:10 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by jnfpoker
It was a good post. Stop trolling, you aren't impressing anyone.

did i say it wasnt...god so many people go around assuming things....i just thought it was funny how he waited 9 months to post that in this thread....
40K in 30 days at  sng's prop bet Quote
02-15-2009 , 01:11 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by CCuster_911
you waited 9 months to post this?


I rarely log on, was interested in this bet and thus have been checking. I usually don't troll around on the internet. I find my time can be better spent. But this debate was too idiotic not to say something.

I don't see how people have time to post thousands of comments.
40K in 30 days at  sng's prop bet Quote
02-15-2009 , 01:20 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by jujubeez
Before this bet started he was averaging historically 6% at the 9 handed sngs at the 55s or 3.54 cents a game. During this bet he has averaged 1.20 cents a game.
[ ] Pro math

And yes... pretty good post.
40K in 30 days at  sng's prop bet Quote
02-15-2009 , 01:25 AM
Good post jujubeez
40K in 30 days at  sng's prop bet Quote
02-15-2009 , 01:28 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by jujubeez
This whole debate over actual ROI is stupid.

Both sides are dumb on this roi debate. After the bet is over we will have a decent size sample to see how close his ROI was to his historical ROI. If he ends up playing like 10k 9 handed games the range will be within about plus or minus 2 percent. Obviously these conditions and parameters will change his ROI, but lets wait until the bets over to talk about running above and below expectation.

Also if you want to talk about his historical ROI at the 55s, please don't include the numbers after this bet started. Because when people are saying he is running below expectation, and you use the number included in this bet to bring down his historical average, it loses its validity. Before this bet started he was averaging historically 6% at the 9 handed sngs at the 55s or 3.54 cents a game. During this bet he has averaged 1.20 cents a game.

Clearly he is below what he was averaging. But its too early to tell if this from different conditions or variance, sample size etc.....

Let the bet play out and we will have a great size sample to analyze and see which one is the reason.

Also this bet isn't over, plenty of games left. Any one who doesn't think its possible to put u 15,000 dollars in 2k games doesn't understand the positive side of variance especially when playing 45 and 18 handed. That beeing said i am a bit concerned for spacegravy, but i hope he does it.
irregardless of how he is actually running though, would you not agree that its safe to say he is going to perform under his lifetime roi due to the conditions? as in, even if he IS below expectation, expecting someone to put in this much volume and vs such good opponents, it is BEYOND ******ed to think they arent going to perform below their lifetime ROI. and with a GOOD roi at these levels being ~5%, even playing at a -.5% difference is going to have a HUGE effect on his results.
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02-15-2009 , 01:33 AM
giraffe?
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02-15-2009 , 01:40 AM
looks like a downswing imo

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02-15-2009 , 01:44 AM
lol
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02-15-2009 , 01:48 AM
bubble bath?
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02-15-2009 , 01:50 AM
lmao!
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02-15-2009 , 02:00 AM
Sit n go's used to be easy

Now they are not

I am sad
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02-15-2009 , 02:07 AM
Perfect, managed to trap him into getting A3 all in for almost 2 BB's and then added salt to the wound with the slow roll to crush his dream of winning it all.
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02-15-2009 , 02:15 AM
I really laughed at those two last posts
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02-15-2009 , 02:34 AM
that's so ******ed. if you move in he'd call so wide anyway. oooh A3. I don't think I'd ever ever ever (or anyone else) fold A3 there. Nice trap, A high 2 bbs.

btw, considering he stacks, he a) didn't notice you slowrolled him b) could care less with 25-30 tables up.
40K in 30 days at  sng's prop bet Quote
02-15-2009 , 02:36 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by zizek
Perfect, managed to trap him into getting A3 all in for almost 2 BB's and then added salt to the wound with the slow roll to crush his dream of winning it all.
This was hilarious
40K in 30 days at  sng's prop bet Quote
02-15-2009 , 02:36 AM
Who is this Bubbagump22 guy? Must be a tough player.
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