Bellow is my graph so far. About 2k behind pace and -$20k swing. I will post tomorrow $EV graph.
I discussed my chances with a few regs and I am lowering the odds. The 1:15 was unfair I guess. I have really high confidence because I feel like I am playing better and it is just a matter of time to turn things around.
New odds are 1:7,5 (e.g. $1k mine vs $7,5k yours)