Well, another few weeks of playing and nothing has changed. After running up a few good wins where actual wins actually outpaced EV for a brief time, everything has gone for a **** again. I've played about 5000 hands over the last few weeks and am currently running about 4 buy-ins below EV. So that means over my last 6000ish hands I am running 10 buy-ins below EV and something like 30 buy-ins below EV over 150,000 hands.
This month it is the same old story. A combination of bad beats and huge counterfeits and bad runouts is killing me. Here is just a sample of just today's mollywhoppings:
1- turn a 9 high straight, check raise turn, river makes villains 2-pair into a boat
2- turned A-high straight vs villain who flopped the nut flush
3- Rivered set of Q's beaten by straight
4- flopped top 2 vs set
5- flopped 2-pair (K3) vs villains 2-pair (K4) on the turn
6- flopped set of 5's, get villain (AJo) all-in on the flop of 5 3 J rainbow. He runner runners 2-4 for the straight.
It just goes on and on and on like this. Its like nearly every time I make a premium hand it gets counterfeit in some way or other.
Here is the chart for the last 6000 hands:
This isn't everything but it is the longest span i have record of on this comp:
Last edited by silky28; 11-25-2023 at 05:06 AM.