Quote:
Originally Posted by AskZandar
You should have the box with your VP/PFR/3B/bb100/EVbb100 show on your graph, because a bunch of colored lines without context is meaningless.
Also, you probably aren't as good as you think you are and are overplaying your hands in a lot of situations.
I didn't even know you could do that. Next time I load up PT4 I will add it in.
For the year my I am 28/21/9. My bb/100 adjusted for the year is .45, largely because I've run -75bb/100 over the last week. Before that I was running about 4bb/100 for the year, though I am running 3.41bb/100 adjusted cumulatively.
I aim to play a fairly aggressive TAG style, ~ VPIP 25. The number is a little higher because I've begun limping/calling behind slightly more with good drawing hands in situations I normally wouldn't.
I've never said anything about how good I am, nor is it about that. I can confidently say I am better than the average player at NL50 (in the pool I play with) and in a small sample size I would say I am better than the average NL100 players in my pool. But I am not the greatest.
That said, the issue really is not being able to get value with premium hands because I am constantly having big hands counterfeit on the turn but mostly on the river. Like these are sets, just over the last few sessions:
1- Set of 2's beaten by straight on the river
2- set of 9s vs open ender...3x raise on flop, 80% pot bet run...beaten by straight on the river.
3- Set of 8s on 475 rainbow board. Villain pots the flop, turn brings in a flush draw, villain pots and I call, river brings both the straight and flush draw...I fold to jam.
4- Set of 5's on turn, make pot sized bet villain calls with an open ender and top pair draw...nails straight on the river.
5- Set of 5's on the flop in 3way pot, check jam, both have me covered and call - one makes a straight on the turn, other makes quads on the river.
6- Set of 5's 4way flop of 2-3-5 with flush draw. BB bets 1/2 pot, I 3x raise, player 2 calls...nails a set of 8s on the turn.
7- set of 3's on flop of 4 3 7 with flush draw. Villain bets 2/3 pot on flop I check raise 4x he calls. River brings in 2nd flush draw so I over bet the pot...he calls...hits K high flush on the river.
And that doesn't count the 2 bad beats I've taken with sets:
1-Flop a set of 2's on a K high 3way flop that checks through. Turn is a K, UTG bets 1/3, Player 3 raises to 8.5bb, I reraise to 25bb and reraiser jams so I call. He shows 1010, has 9% to win until River brings a K giving him a better boat.
2- Flop a set of 3's get it all-in on the flop and villain hits the 9 high flush draw on the river.
Again, I'm not the best player in the world, by far, but it is really frustrating when, in the span of a few sessions, you lose like 700bb like this. All of this while still running damn near 30buy-ins below EV. So I have no luck when I get it all-in, and I have no luck when I don't get it in.