Two Plus Two Publishing LLC
Two Plus Two Publishing LLC
 

Go Back   Two Plus Two Poker Forums > >

Notices

Poker Beats, Brags, and Variance Here's where you put your whines and wins.

Reply
 
Thread Tools Display Modes
Old 06-19-2008, 04:31 PM   #51
Alobar
Born Ready
 
Alobar's Avatar
 
Join Date: Nov 2003
Location: 3rd turtle from the bottom
Posts: 42,147
Re: 08 so far...

Quote:
Originally Posted by findingneema View Post
That's sick.

If you use the all-in luck distribution thing, what is the % it gives you? Like 0.0001%? And I thought I ran bad.
yeah, OP, please post this

I suddenly dont feel so bad about my -30BI EV
Alobar is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 06-19-2008, 04:46 PM   #52
NameOnTheCake
Carpal \'Tunnel
 
NameOnTheCake's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jul 2004
Location: we're not enemies, we just disagree
Posts: 19,597
Re: 08 so far...

Gross. Gl recovering. Try to lose less in non showdown pots
NameOnTheCake is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 06-19-2008, 04:54 PM   #53
sluggger5x
John Connor of poker
 
sluggger5x's Avatar
 
Join Date: Feb 2006
Location: Fight for Poker Rights Action Thred
Posts: 5,592
Re: 08 so far...

Quote:
Originally Posted by findingneema View Post
That's sick.

If you use the all-in luck distribution thing, what is the % it gives you? Like 0.0001%? And I thought I ran bad.
As requested, I have no idea what this thing means, but I'm sure it's telling me I should throw myself in a river, slit my throat, and die....

sluggger5x is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 06-19-2008, 05:01 PM   #54
romillian
enthusiast
 
Join Date: Jan 2008
Posts: 91
Re: 08 so far...

Maybe you used up all your luck for this year when you found this guy at 50nl...........


https://forumserver.twoplustwo.com/sh...794&highlight=

lol j/k



or am I?
romillian is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 06-19-2008, 05:03 PM   #55
The4thFilm
Carpal \'Tunnel
 
The4thFilm's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jul 2004
Posts: 13,472
Re: 08 so far...

Quote:
Originally Posted by sluggger5x View Post
sickest pic ever posted
The4thFilm is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 06-19-2008, 05:19 PM   #56
Shiki
adept
 
Shiki's Avatar
 
Join Date: Nov 2007
Location: Imagination
Posts: 873
Re: 08 so far...

Thats what they call the mountain of doom, to get near it or even see it you first must go thru an ice cold hell filled with brutal beats one after another.

My condolences op.
Shiki is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 06-19-2008, 05:24 PM   #57
sluggger5x
John Connor of poker
 
sluggger5x's Avatar
 
Join Date: Feb 2006
Location: Fight for Poker Rights Action Thred
Posts: 5,592
Re: 08 so far...

Can someone explain to me what the .0039% means on that curve?
sluggger5x is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 06-19-2008, 05:26 PM   #58
clarkatroid
veteran
 
clarkatroid's Avatar
 
Join Date: Nov 2007
Location: blackpool donkey
Posts: 2,127
Re: 08 so far...

Op which site u playing on, i hope its not AP
clarkatroid is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 06-19-2008, 05:26 PM   #59
BobbyLight
old hand
 
BobbyLight's Avatar
 
Join Date: Oct 2007
Location: BEND BUT DON'T BREAK
Posts: 1,651
Re: 08 so far...

yo OP,

you run worse than FGators in 2007.

I'm happy I'm NOT you.

Good luck,

FGators
BobbyLight is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 06-19-2008, 05:28 PM   #60
creepystickguy
grinder
 
creepystickguy's Avatar
 
Join Date: Nov 2007
Location: MLG Columbus
Posts: 608
Re: 08 so far...

I believe thats the probability of that happening. The curve shows your probability of winning that amount at any point on the graph. At its highest point you had a 40% chance of winning like, 1200, which is probably where you should be, or you could be at like a .005% chance of winning 6000 on th other side of the graph. Your on the left though, and .0039 is the percent of you winning that amount (or technically losing in your case).

Summary thats like the probability of getting 1 outer'd, on the river, 3 times in a row, or so.
creepystickguy is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 06-19-2008, 05:37 PM   #61
The4thFilm
Carpal \'Tunnel
 
The4thFilm's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jul 2004
Posts: 13,472
Re: 08 so far...

Quote:
Originally Posted by sluggger5x View Post
Can someone explain to me what the .0039% means on that curve?
In a room of 100,000 poker players, you are one of the 4 unluckiest.
The4thFilm is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 06-19-2008, 05:45 PM   #62
SneakyFerret
Pooh-Bah
 
SneakyFerret's Avatar
 
Join Date: Sep 2006
Location: Ma-yo Days Be Sunny
Posts: 4,885
Re: 08 so far...

serenity now

SneakyFerret is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 06-19-2008, 05:50 PM   #63
pokerloser10056
grinder
 
pokerloser10056's Avatar
 
Join Date: Mar 2007
Location: Colorado
Posts: 594
Re: 08 so far...

+1
pokerloser10056 is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 06-19-2008, 06:39 PM   #64
jmakin
DoorDash Balla
 
jmakin's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jan 2008
Location: Streaming
Posts: 29,630
Re: 08 so far...

Quote:
Originally Posted by BobbyLight View Post
yo OP,

you run worse than FGators in 2007.

I'm happy I'm NOT you.

Good luck,

FGators
lol if i didnt quote this i bet everyone would just skim over this post
jmakin is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 06-19-2008, 07:12 PM   #65
Miffed
journeyman
 
Miffed's Avatar
 
Join Date: Apr 2006
Location: Eng-er-land
Posts: 309
Re: 08 so far...

Now i know the person who has the opposite luck of my 2 BBJ wins.
Miffed is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 06-19-2008, 08:42 PM   #66
sluggger5x
John Connor of poker
 
sluggger5x's Avatar
 
Join Date: Feb 2006
Location: Fight for Poker Rights Action Thred
Posts: 5,592
Re: 08 so far...

That's an all-time low when Fgators is happy he is not you. sigh.
sluggger5x is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 06-19-2008, 08:45 PM   #67
sluggger5x
John Connor of poker
 
sluggger5x's Avatar
 
Join Date: Feb 2006
Location: Fight for Poker Rights Action Thred
Posts: 5,592
Re: 08 so far...

Quote:
Originally Posted by clarkatroid View Post
Op which site u playing on, i hope its not AP
Full Tilt. You should see some of the email gems I've sent them the past few months. They always respond with the same "no doomswitch, we value you as a player, blah blah blah" crap. Fwiw I don't believe FT is rigged, I just enjoy ranting off a 3 paragraph gem to them when it gets really bad. I figure if anybody is going to put up with my vent, it's going to be an annoying FT technician who takes 4 weeks to answer an email.
sluggger5x is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 06-19-2008, 08:57 PM   #68
pfc_ivan12323232
Pooh-Bah
 
Join Date: Nov 2007
Posts: 4,132
Re: 08 so far...

I have something similar, but just 80 times less hands





pfc_ivan12323232 is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 06-19-2008, 08:59 PM   #69
findingneema
Pooh-Bah
 
findingneema's Avatar
 
Join Date: Feb 2007
Location: LOL Math...
Posts: 5,759
Re: 08 so far...

Quote:
Originally Posted by sluggger5x View Post
Can someone explain to me what the .0039% means on that curve?
Quote:
Originally Posted by creepystickguy View Post
I believe thats the probability of that happening. The curve shows your probability of winning that amount at any point on the graph. At its highest point you had a 40% chance of winning like, 1200, which is probably where you should be, or you could be at like a .005% chance of winning 6000 on th other side of the graph. Your on the left though, and .0039 is the percent of you winning that amount (or technically losing in your case).

Summary thats like the probability of getting 1 outer'd, on the river, 3 times in a row, or so.
Quote:
Originally Posted by The4thFilm View Post
In a room of 100,000 poker players, you are one of the 4 unluckiest.
Not exactly. What it means is that only 0.0039% of the time will someone make less money given those all-ins. At that point, you're 3.95 standard deviations below expected, which I guess has to happen eventually. But ****, that is sick.
findingneema is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 06-19-2008, 08:59 PM   #70
adanthar
Carpal \'Tunnel
 
adanthar's Avatar
 
Join Date: Apr 2004
Location: Now with 100% more seaside views
Posts: 20,113
Re: 08 so far...

op, when you have something like top 2 on the flop and are facing an all in, are you thinking 'sweet' or 'welp, there goes another buyin'?

because goddamn
adanthar is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 06-19-2008, 09:00 PM   #71
sluggger5x
John Connor of poker
 
sluggger5x's Avatar
 
Join Date: Feb 2006
Location: Fight for Poker Rights Action Thred
Posts: 5,592
Re: 08 so far...

set-o-meter screenshot coming up.
sluggger5x is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 06-19-2008, 09:01 PM   #72
Keyser.
Carpal \'Tunnel
 
Keyser.'s Avatar
 
Join Date: Aug 2005
Location: thought highly of, in theory
Posts: 11,714
Re: 08 so far...

I really can't comprehend how you'd play this many hands while running so poorly. When I lose for like a week and I wanna quit forever. props to you for your determination. Hope you start running better!
Keyser. is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 06-19-2008, 09:02 PM   #73
sluggger5x
John Connor of poker
 
sluggger5x's Avatar
 
Join Date: Feb 2006
Location: Fight for Poker Rights Action Thred
Posts: 5,592
Re: 08 so far...

Quote:
Originally Posted by adanthar View Post
op, when you have something like top set on the flop facing an overpair and are facing an all in, are you thinking 'sweet' or 'welp, there goes another buyin'?

because goddamn
fyp



and yes. every single time.
sluggger5x is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 06-19-2008, 09:16 PM   #74
NameOnTheCake
Carpal \'Tunnel
 
NameOnTheCake's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jul 2004
Location: we're not enemies, we just disagree
Posts: 19,597
Re: 08 so far...

Quote:
Originally Posted by sluggger5x View Post
fyp



and yes. every single time.
OP have you checked out this thread?

https://forumserver.twoplustwo.com/sh...d.php?t=192450

just envision winning lots of buyins and it'll come true!
NameOnTheCake is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 06-19-2008, 09:26 PM   #75
sluggger5x
John Connor of poker
 
sluggger5x's Avatar
 
Join Date: Feb 2006
Location: Fight for Poker Rights Action Thred
Posts: 5,592
Re: 08 so far...

as promised...
sluggger5x is offline   Reply With Quote

Reply
      

Thread Tools
Display Modes

Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

BB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off


Forum Jump


All times are GMT -4. The time now is 07:20 AM.


Powered by vBulletin®
Copyright ©2000 - 2021, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.
Copyright 2008-2020, Two Plus Two Interactive