08 so far... - Page 2 - Poker Beats Brags and Variance

that sucks - sounds to me like you have given up. I think I would just quit now. Cash out the rest of your roll. Maybe you will find the interest in poker again someday.

there are oher things in life

Quote

06-19-2008 , 02:33 PM

#27

ahnuld

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: May 2005 Posts: 17,592

I dont think ive ever seen allin luck down 61 buyins in any samplesize. Consider selling your soul I say

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06-19-2008 , 02:39 PM

#28

Try__An__Hit

veteran

Join Date: Jan 2008 Posts: 2,958

nasty

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06-19-2008 , 02:42 PM

#29

KakiTee

veteran

Join Date: Mar 2007 Posts: 2,661

vom

Quote

06-19-2008 , 02:43 PM

#30

VaioVik

grinder

Join Date: Sep 2007 Posts: 417

Not very often I feel bad for someone in BBV, but this is an exception. So, so sick.

Quote

06-19-2008 , 02:49 PM

#31

TomW

grinder

Join Date: Mar 2008 Posts: 435

this thread reminded me of a graph mastr posted a while ago

http://forumserver.twoplustwo.com/sh...257&highlight=

Hope your luck turns around OP

Quote

06-19-2008 , 03:29 PM

#32

elgreenhornet

old hand

Join Date: Jul 2007 Posts: 1,773

move down a level?

Quote

06-19-2008 , 03:32 PM

#33

SkeetyMcdoogle

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Nov 2006 Posts: 6,201

just chant to yourself every night

regression to the mean

regression to the mean

REGRESSION TO THE MEAN

Quote

06-19-2008 , 03:33 PM

#34

sluggger5x

John Connor of poker

Join Date: Feb 2006 Posts: 5,592

Quote:

Originally Posted by leveled

Those graphs hurt and although it may be a bit complicated to extrapolate from EV graphs, it looks like your taking a pretty big hit in non-showdown pots. It sucks that your running so crappy but there may be a few leaks that may need tweaking.

I know your just trying to help, but try playing 85,000+ hands and run like satan himself, and see if you don't have any leaks.

Quote

06-19-2008 , 03:43 PM

#35

creepystickguy

grinder

Join Date: Nov 2007 Posts: 608

Dog, you quit poker and I kill you. That graph is siiiick though for real.

Pray more?

Quote

06-19-2008 , 03:51 PM

#36

ADK

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Sep 2006 Posts: 3,655

seriously sick

Quote

06-19-2008 , 03:53 PM

#37

wporter

old hand

Join Date: Jun 2004 Posts: 1,306

sick...

Quote

06-19-2008 , 03:58 PM

#38

shortstacking4life

journeyman

Join Date: Jan 2008 Posts: 287

that has to change = move up 2 levels and get it back

Quote

06-19-2008 , 04:00 PM

#39

Al_Money

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Jan 2006 Posts: 4,393

you are due, play some 5/10 and GET THAT **** BACK HOMIE

Quote

06-19-2008 , 04:01 PM

#40

orig!naL

adept

Join Date: Jan 2007 Posts: 966

Thats brutal dude. I went on a 35,000 downswing that killed my role in March-April. I moved from taking shots at 100nl back to 25nl and it sucks

Cash out what you need to for school, leave $200 in your role and try and work it up in 10nl or 25nl. You'll recover.

Quote

06-19-2008 , 04:05 PM

#41

Jer672

banned

Join Date: Apr 2006 Posts: 7,128

wow op thats absolutely horrific

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06-19-2008 , 04:09 PM

#42

sluggger5x

John Connor of poker

Join Date: Feb 2006 Posts: 5,592

I know mastr would have this in 07, but do you guys think I'm running worse than anybody on 2p2 this year? Obviously measuring in term of buyins lost and equity, not just amount of money.

Quote

06-19-2008 , 04:10 PM

#43

jmakin

banned

Join Date: Jan 2008 Posts: 30,120

OP was born on friday the 13, has 3 black cats, and sleeps underneath a ladder on a bed of broken mirrors

Quote

06-19-2008 , 04:12 PM

#44

QuadLaser

adept

Join Date: Apr 2006 Posts: 798

To the gurus: I don't wanna call shenanigans, but would it be *POSSIBLE* to rig up a PT DB to make an EV graph like this? Like some filter or something? I don't want to think that -61 BI in equity is possible. HELP ME PURGE THIS EVIL FROM MY WORLD.

Quote

06-19-2008 , 04:14 PM

#45

DavidSRT

old hand

Join Date: Sep 2007 Posts: 1,742

Quote:

Originally Posted by creepystickguy

Dog, you quit poker and I kill you. That graph is siiiick though for real.

Pray more?

This actually may be the answer...

Quote

06-19-2008 , 04:19 PM

#46

findingneema

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Feb 2007 Posts: 5,759

That's sick.

If you use the all-in luck distribution thing, what is the % it gives you? Like 0.0001%? And I thought I ran bad.

Quote

06-19-2008 , 04:23 PM

#47

creepystickguy

grinder

Join Date: Nov 2007 Posts: 608

Quote:

Originally Posted by QuadLaser

I can vouch for OP in this situation. I go to school with him, and have seen him run bad. Also, he wouldn't lie about something like this to get sympathy from people online o.o

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06-19-2008 , 04:27 PM

#48

hobokes

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: May 2008 Posts: 6,344

wowzers

Quote

06-19-2008 , 04:28 PM

#49

[Phill]

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Jun 2004 Posts: 52,717

Ocam's Razor suggests that something is wrong with the program, the database or the analysis between the two rather than someone running that bad.

Quote

06-19-2008 , 04:30 PM

#50

sluggger5x

John Connor of poker

Join Date: Feb 2006 Posts: 5,592

Quote:

Originally Posted by QuadLaser

I can promise that this is real. Ask some regs at FT NL100 about hands they might have seen. The only reason I'm not bust is that I have been beating NL50 for about 5ptbb over 100k hands. I usually move up and just get crushed, move down and win, then repeat. This is how it's been for the past 6 months.

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