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Poker Beats, Brags, and Variance Here's where you put your whines and wins.

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Old 07-31-2008, 10:24 PM   #351
The4thFilm
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Re: 08 so far...

Quote:
Originally Posted by leprous_hand View Post
i keep waiting for op to upswing... i would would be straight up busto if i was in your shoes...


this can't go on.....can it?
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gambler%27s_fallacy
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Old 08-01-2008, 06:56 AM   #352
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Re: 08 so far...

change ur account!!
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Old 08-01-2008, 11:15 PM   #353
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Re: 08 so far...

Some of the hands OP posted, he seriously misplayed them.

Of course you're going to get sucked out again and again if you slowplay everytime you flop a set.

There is such a thing called "betting" that allows you to cut down the odds of opponents drawing out on you. In so many hands you posted, you play it passive. If you're going to be scared then move down. The way you play, sure you run bad, but you would make more money if you just went all in on the flop everytime you hit even.. instead of this check/call, check/check, bet river then get reraised all in for suckout crap.
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Old 08-01-2008, 11:33 PM   #354
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Re: 08 so far...

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Originally Posted by 663366 View Post
Some of the hands OP posted, he seriously misplayed them.

Of course you're going to get sucked out again and again if you slowplay everytime you flop a set.

There is such a thing called "betting" that allows you to cut down the odds of opponents drawing out on you. In so many hands you posted, you play it passive. If you're going to be scared then move down. The way you play, sure you run bad, but you would make more money if you just went all in on the flop everytime you hit even.. instead of this check/call, check/check, bet river then get reraised all in for suckout crap.
So your giving your 2 cents on a 300k hand run based on....how many hands you've seen me play?

next plz.
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Old 08-02-2008, 01:27 AM   #355
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Re: 08 so far...

OP is not a statistical anomaly, he just plays bad obv
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Old 08-02-2008, 01:48 AM   #356
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Re: 08 so far...

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OP is not a statistical anomaly, he just plays at Full Tilt obv
fyp
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Old 08-02-2008, 07:43 AM   #357
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Re: 08 so far...

Quote:
Originally Posted by sluggger5x View Post
54 heads 46 tails. Does this mean i will run good or bad at teh pokerz?
Don't ruin your upswing on play money coinflips! Thats another +8 buy ins of AI EV lost IMO
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Old 08-02-2008, 01:05 PM   #358
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Re: 08 so far...

I'm **** at maths but I think people are like failing to realize he's picking out his sickest unlucky stretch from a larger distribution of results so obviously he's going to appear more unlucky than he is...i.e. 4/100 000 or whatever. Just to put it in maybe some perspective, and ofc i could be wrong.

Anyways, this is sick hope it turns around for you. Whats your stars name? I'll send you a small amount of my rather meagre net worth out of sympathy.
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Old 08-02-2008, 03:33 PM   #359
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Re: 08 so far...

Quote:
Originally Posted by rakemeplz View Post
I'm **** at maths but I think people are like failing to realize he's picking out his sickest unlucky stretch from a larger distribution of results so obviously he's going to appear more unlucky than he is...i.e. 4/100 000 or whatever. Just to put it in maybe some perspective, and ofc i could be wrong.

Anyways, this is sick hope it turns around for you. Whats your stars name? I'll send you a small amount of my rather meagre net worth out of sympathy.
[ ] picking out sickest unlucky stretch

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Old 08-02-2008, 03:35 PM   #360
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Re: 08 so far...

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Originally Posted by sluggger5x View Post
[ ] picking out sickest unlucky stretch

That's so freakin' disgusting.
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Old 08-02-2008, 03:50 PM   #361
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Re: 08 so far...

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Originally Posted by sluggger5x View Post
[ ] picking out sickest unlucky stretch

there is no god
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Old 08-05-2008, 03:13 AM   #362
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Re: 08 so far...

I've played probably 750,000 hands or more. I got all-in with AA against two people with Kings exactly once during that time, and lost to a rivered straight. It was at a crucial building time in my BR too. That's when I knew I was one of the cursed ones
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Old 08-05-2008, 03:35 AM   #363
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Re: 08 so far...

QUIT
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Old 08-07-2008, 12:24 AM   #364
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Re: 08 so far...

sluggger, you are now playing at one of my plo tables. i'm pretty sure this is not the game for someone as lucky as yourself
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Old 08-07-2008, 12:31 AM   #365
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Re: 08 so far...

Quote:
Originally Posted by lennie257 View Post
if i was rich, i would ship OP like 10k, because this is some of the most brutal **** i've ever seen.
hahahahahahhaha. you're an idiot.
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Old 08-07-2008, 02:48 PM   #366
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Re: 08 so far...

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hahahahahahhaha. you're an idiot.
STFU!!!

I can dream can't I?
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Old 08-07-2008, 02:51 PM   #367
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Re: 08 so far...

Brag: I have watched over 30 poker videos the past two weeks
Beat: I've only played like 5k hands
Variance: I'm still bad at running good and playing good
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Old 08-07-2008, 03:37 PM   #368
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Re: 08 so far...

*gut punch*

By the way, and I don't deny this may be a stupid question, but was that a legit email from FT about the doomswitch? Not that I think there is such a thing (although this thread is certainly compelling proof) but I was wondering if they really made that joke or if I just missed something in this hellish thread.

Sorry, OP. This is incredible.
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Old 08-12-2008, 01:45 AM   #369
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Re: 08 so far...

New avatar!!! Now I run good forever!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!



not
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Old 08-12-2008, 02:24 AM   #370
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Re: 08 so far...

Quote:
Originally Posted by sluggger5x View Post
Beat: I'm still bad at playing good
+1
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Old 08-12-2008, 05:45 AM   #371
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Re: 08 so far...

Brag: My wife and I had our first baby last week
Beat: Played my worst session of the year today due to fatigue -2000
Brag: Still best week of my life due to my new daughter

Last edited by BoyItalia; 08-12-2008 at 05:46 AM. Reason: as she cries right now
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Old 08-12-2008, 05:49 AM   #372
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Re: 08 so far...

Quote:
Originally Posted by BoyItalia View Post
Brag: My wife and I had our first baby last week
Beat: Played my worst session of the year today due to fatigue -2000
Beat: worst week of my life due to my wanting a son
fyp
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Old 08-12-2008, 06:02 PM   #373
Boosted2Boobs
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Re: 08 so far...

Quote:
Originally Posted by sluggger5x View Post
as promised...
I dont understand this. Why do u only see 500-600 flops when u have AA and KK, but see many more when u have 22 and 33.

Why would u want to fold AA preflop?

Is there something i dont understand with this picture?
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Old 08-12-2008, 06:04 PM   #374
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Re: 08 so far...

more agro pf with premium hands = less flops seen
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Old 08-12-2008, 06:09 PM   #375
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Re: 08 so far...

raises prf with AA / KK and it all folds around
limps / calls with 22 / 33 = more flops

...not that hard
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