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Poker Beats, Brags, and Variance Here's where you put your whines and wins.

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Old 06-26-2008, 11:59 PM   #276
Shizzle12345
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Re: 08 so far...

dude seriously, i run 6 figures below expectation, and i just tried omaha, AND IM TOTALLY RUNNIGN GOOD. so if you read this, close all your NL tables, and play omaha.
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Old 06-27-2008, 12:22 AM   #277
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Re: 08 so far...

Quote:
Originally Posted by sluggger5x View Post
I just noticed you have "all ins with total winnings" selected here.

I would be interested to see this graph with "just all ins" selected? This is the only true way of measuring how much opponents are sucking out on you, right?
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Old 07-02-2008, 06:53 PM   #278
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Re: 08 so far...



That graph makes me soo sad. Feel so bad for you.
Perhaps you killed a priest in a previous life that you dont know about or something.
Take a break and then run goooot for six months man.
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Old 07-02-2008, 07:03 PM   #279
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Re: 08 so far...

YUK It puts my bad run into perspective. I play considerably lower limits but I lost in the region of 3000BB over a two month period. I think I got a little tilted towards the end. My name is JRT1712 and I'm a recovering sick beataholic.
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Old 07-03-2008, 11:45 AM   #280
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Re: 08 so far...

How about if all unlucky players get together and only play with eachother, should be +EV right?

Im in btw.
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Old 07-03-2008, 12:21 PM   #281
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Re: 08 so far...

To put it in perspective, there are people who run waaaaaay worse than you. They're the people who the wheel of fate ensured they were born into poverty and AIDS in Africa. They're the people that get hit by lightning twice in the same year. They're the people who lose their entire family due to a bunch of independently unlikely accidents. And yes, there must be people who run worse in poker than you.

There's about a 1:25,000 probability of this happening. There are many more poker players than that and far more people in the world than there are poker players. Thus, there are surely people running even more improbably bad.

Don't get me wrong, this still sucks. It frightens me that there's nothing I could do about it if it ended up happening to me. But you can take some consolation in resigning yourself to the fact that someone has to exist on the wrong side of variance, but at least you're not even further to that side than you already are.
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Old 07-03-2008, 01:29 PM   #282
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Re: 08 so far...

The really sick thing is that if he continued playing at this rate for the rest of his life he'd still probably never cross over into positive EV (In terms of buyins, not $$$).

Last edited by Fancy Pants; 07-03-2008 at 01:30 PM. Reason: stuff in parenthesis
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Old 07-03-2008, 01:58 PM   #283
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Re: 08 so far...

that's sick dude, but props to you for keeping it up...
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Old 07-03-2008, 11:13 PM   #284
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Re: 08 so far...

Quote:
Originally Posted by Fancy Pants View Post
The really sick thing is that if he continued playing at this rate for the rest of his life he'd still probably never cross over into positive EV (In terms of buyins, not $$$).
Uh... this is the case for every single person running even slightly under. His expectation is to run exactly at expectation, thus, half the time he should run worse, half the time he should run better. However, some of that half the time he runs better he doesn't make up the whole 75 buyins, thus you can say for anyone that they "probably" won't cross over into positive EV.
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Old 07-22-2008, 02:37 PM   #285
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Re: 08 so far...

I just read this whole thread. I am a past 2+2 and am going to start posting here and there.

This is pretty sick.

TRUST me when I say it can be worse. I used to play high stakes at FTP, got way over my head after a -10BI variance, moved way to fast up, and nearly tanked all of a 6 figure bankroll.

Keep at it.
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Old 07-22-2008, 03:55 PM   #286
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Re: 08 so far...

Quote:
To put it in perspective, there are people who run waaaaaay worse than you. They're the people who the wheel of fate ensured they were born into poverty and AIDS in Africa. They're the people that get hit by lightning twice in the same year. They're the people who lose their entire family due to a bunch of independently unlikely accidents. And yes, there must be people who run worse in poker than you.

There's about a 1:25,000 probability of this happening. There are many more poker players than that and far more people in the world than there are poker players. Thus, there are surely people running even more improbably bad.

Don't get me wrong, this still sucks. It frightens me that there's nothing I could do about it if it ended up happening to me. But you can take some consolation in resigning yourself to the fact that someone has to exist on the wrong side of variance, but at least you're not even further to that side than you already are.
In my opinion, OP should think about how there is someone out there who has run as good as he has run bad See, the world is not such a terrible place, some people are very very lucky Think about them and be happy! Why concentrate on the negative!
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Old 07-22-2008, 04:03 PM   #287
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Re: 08 so far...

lol, i wonder how many people are running above expectation solely from sucking out on you.
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Old 07-22-2008, 04:44 PM   #288
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Re: 08 so far...

look at the bright side :

Nice Bankrollmanagement!
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Old 07-22-2008, 04:51 PM   #289
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Re: 08 so far...

puke, makes me feel good about how i run--thanks
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Old 07-22-2008, 05:00 PM   #290
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Re: 08 so far...

I think you need to start working on your list, Earl.
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Old 07-22-2008, 08:53 PM   #291
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Re: 08 so far...

Quote:
Originally Posted by sluggger5x View Post
Full Tilt. You should see some of the email gems I've sent them the past few months. They always respond with the same "no doomswitch, we value you as a player, blah blah blah" crap. Fwiw I don't believe FT is rigged, I just enjoy ranting off a 3 paragraph gem to them when it gets really bad. I figure if anybody is going to put up with my vent, it's going to be an annoying FT technician who takes 4 weeks to answer an email.
Did you send them your EV graph?

I have a ****load of respect for you just for being able to play through this. After i run extremely bad for like 15k hands im just like i quit.
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Old 07-23-2008, 02:10 AM   #292
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Re: 08 so far...

What's really sick is that in the time since I made this post about a month ago, I've run another 20 buyins below equity at higher stakes.

Funny how things have a way of evening out.
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Old 07-23-2008, 02:17 AM   #293
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Re: 08 so far...

Quote:
Originally Posted by sluggger5x View Post
What's really sick is that in the time since I made this post about a month ago, I've run another 20 buyins below equity at higher stakes.

Funny how things have a way of evening out.
Move up to chase EV losses?
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Old 07-23-2008, 02:35 AM   #294
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Re: 08 so far...

All NL200 since last week of June...



lots of coolers too.

Last edited by sluggger5x; 07-23-2008 at 02:43 AM.
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Old 07-23-2008, 03:03 AM   #295
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Re: 08 so far...

holy **** how is this even possible

OP:

when I start running bad, I go play Razz. You seriously need to consider taking up Razz. It's a game about running bad.
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Old 07-23-2008, 03:14 AM   #296
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Re: 08 so far...

Quote:
Originally Posted by sluggger5x View Post
That won't work. I will have to cash out my remaining roll by the end of August. It's now or never for me and poker. I have a feeling I will be done forever soon.
Rounders IMO.
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Old 07-23-2008, 03:24 AM   #297
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Re: 08 so far...

Make sure that your Pokerev graphs are correct. That program is compatible with like umm.... nothing. It fails at Ongame, Pacific, Micro etc.
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Old 07-23-2008, 01:42 PM   #298
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Re: 08 so far...

It's karma..
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Old 07-23-2008, 05:05 PM   #299
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Re: 08 so far...

[x] sick graph
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Old 07-25-2008, 07:03 PM   #300
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Re: 08 so far...

[x] bad player

joke. seriously though, how do you run this bad and not kill someone.

go play razz for real
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