Quote:
Originally Posted by mongidig
20/40 live 9 handed.
UTG...very laggy pre and post. Will always take the aggressive action given the choice. Will always bluff if he picks up a draw on the turn. Will raise marginal hands for protection on turn. He's probably not overly concerned with BBs tight range. He actually makes good aprropriate plays( but will over plays draws and marginal hands sometimes) but just plays way too loose pre. He's probably not folding anything pre in this spot because he already has money in there.
BB.... Solid TAG. Good hand reader. Probably betting his whole range on the turn. I'm thinking his 3 bet range is TT+ AQo+. BB is aware of how UTG plays
I have a pretty tight image and possibly seen as weak because I have bet/folded more than usual this session. I'm running extremely bad.
UTG posts half kill, I am first to act UTG+1 and raise TsTc, folded to BB who 3 bets, UTG calls and I call.
9d3d3c....BB bets, UTG calls and I call.
9d3d3c6s...BB bets, UTG raises....If I just call I think BB calls with AQ and AK. I think he 3 bets QQ's+. If I three bet I think it's possible BB caps KK's and AA's.
How do you play this? It seems three betting makes sense to protect my hand against BBs overcards and maybe get them to fold JJ's or QQ's. Although I'm not overly concerned with UTG range, he fould have a slowplayed or turned monster which he will cap.
Feel free to question my assumptions.
My reads are from a very small sample size(several hours).
Hi mongidig:
I think there’s a simple rule that applies here. In limit hold ‘em, once the pot is big, you have a hand of value, don’ worry about losing an extra bet if you’re going to play, and this is especially true if your bet or raise can increase the probability of winning the pot.
Clearly because UTG is very laggy and the big blind can have AK or AQ, your hand is too good to fold and a raise should increase the probability of you winning by getting 6 out hands (to your hand) to fold. Thus making it three-bets should be the best line.
Best wishes,
Mason