Originally Posted by Bob148
We have 54% equity against this range, which assumes he barrels the turn with every Qx possible, which I think is unlikely and bad:
KK+, JJ-66, QdQh, QdQs, QhQs, 5d5h, 5d5c, 5h5c, 4d4s, 4d4c, 4s4c, 2h2s, 63s, AdQd, AhQh, AsQs, KdQd, KhQh, KsQs, QdJd, QhJh, QsJs, QdTd, QhTh, QsTs, Qd9d, Qh9h, Qs9s, Qd8d, Qh8h, Qs8s, Qd7d, Qh7h, Qs7s, Qd6d, Qh6h, Qs6s, Ad5d, Ah5h, Ac5c, Kd5d, Kh5h, Kc5c, Qd5d, Qh5h, Jd5d, Jh5h, Jc5c, Td5d, Th5h, Tc5c, Qd4d, Qs4s, 5d4d, 5c4c, Qd3d, Qh3h, Qs3s, Ah2h, As2s, Kh2h, Ks2s, Qh2h, Qs2s, Jh2h, Js2s, Th2h, Ts2s, 9h2h, 9s2s, 8h2h, 8s2s, 7h2h, 7s2s, 6h2h, 6s2s, 5h2h, 4s2s, 3h2h, 3s2s, 63o, AdQh, AdQs, AhQd, AhQs, AsQd, AsQh, AcQd, AcQh, AcQs, Ad5h, Ad5c, Ah5d, Ah5c, As5d, As5h, As5c, Ac5d, Ac5h, Ad2h, Ad2s, Ah2s, As2h, Ac2h, Ac2s, KdQh, KdQs, KhQd, KhQs, KsQd, KsQh, KcQd, KcQh, KcQs, Kd5h, Kd5c, Kh5d, Kh5c, Ks5d, Ks5h, Ks5c, Kc5d, Kc5h, Kd2h, Kd2s, Kh2s, Ks2h, Kc2h, Kc2s, QdJh, QdJs, QdJc, QhJd, QhJs, QhJc, QsJd, QsJh, QsJc, QdTh, QdTs, QdTc, QhTd, QhTs, QhTc, QsTd, QsTh, QsTc, Qd9h, Qd9s, Qd9c, Qh9d, Qh9s, Qh9c, Qs9d, Qs9h, Qs9c, Qd8h, Qd8s, Qd8c, Qh8d, Qh8s, Qh8c, Qs8d, Qs8h, Qs8c, Qd7h, Qd7s, Qd7c, Qh7d, Qh7s, Qh7c, Qs7d, Qs7h, Qs7c, Qd6h, Qd6s, Qd6c, Qh6d, Qh6s, Qh6c, Qs6d, Qs6h, Qs6c, Qd5h, Qd5c, Qh5d, Qh5c, Qs5d, Qs5h, Qs5c, Qd4s, Qd4c, Qh4d, Qh4s, Qh4c, Qs4d, Qs4c, Qd3h, Qd3s, Qd3c, Qh3d, Qh3s, Qh3c, Qs3d, Qs3h, Qs3c, Qd2h, Qd2s, Qh2s, Qs2h, Jd5h, Jd5c, Jh5d, Jh5c, Js5d, Js5h, Js5c, Jc5d, Jc5h, Jd2h, Jd2s, Jh2s, Js2h, Jc2h, Jc2s, Td5h, Td5c, Th5d, Th5c, Ts5d, Ts5h, Ts5c, Tc5d, Tc5h, Td2h, Td2s, Th2s, Ts2h, Tc2h, Tc2s, 9d2h, 9d2s, 9h2s, 9s2h, 9c2h, 9c2s, 8d2h, 8d2s, 8h2s, 8s2h, 8c2h, 8c2s, 7d2h, 7d2s, 7h2s, 7s2h, 7c2h, 7c2s, 6d2h, 6d2s, 6h2s, 6s2h, 6c2h, 6c2s, 5d4s, 5d4c, 5h4d, 5h4s, 5h4c, 5c4d, 5c4s, 5d2h, 5d2s, 5h2s, 5c2h, 5c2s, 4d2h, 4d2s, 4s2h, 4c2h, 4c2s, 3d2h, 3d2s, 3h2s, 3s2h, 3c2h, 3c2s
If it was a 2 bet capped game, then I'd raise the river, but since he has the option to 3 bet, and because I'm not raise folding against someone that 3 bets the big blind 4/5 times, I need 60% equity to raise and call a 3 bet.