Quote:
Originally Posted by Mason Malmuth
Well, he started his post with "WHY CHECKING JJ HERE IS JUST TERRIBLE:" I bet that some readers never get past this point.
And why don't you consider what I wrote which was a specific answer to all of jon_locke's points.
Mason
Mason, if readers never got past the point that I think checking JJ is terrible then I would be doing them a service because it is in fact terrible. I frequently use terrible interchangeably with not the best line. This doesn't mean I think its the worst lie ever or on par with folding the nuts on the river, but I think its clearly an inferior line, and as such I would consider taking an inferior line to be terrible. I make terrible plays as well, it happens. If somebody were to tell me I did something awful, I'd say thanks then go home and run some sims etc....and see if they were right. Then if they were I'd tell them thanks for the advice and buy them a drink. I guess that approach isn't for anyone but it works for me, thought it may be helpful to others as well.
Its only a disservice if I am wrong and I am all for anybody trying to prove that I am. I just feel that stating the pot is large and we should increase our chances of winning it is an insufficient proof.
Also, I have always posted like this, its not a personal attack on you or anybody else. You can find countless threads where I have posted nothing other than this is awful or this is terrible and I have also had countless people tell me how much they appreciate the advice (and at least 1 tell me the opposite). I've always been under the impression that people that think this is advise is valuable are welcome to read it and those that think its worthless are welcome to ignore it.
Further, I can't consider the specific answer to all of my points because you didn't address them properly. For example, regarding us having JJ as a blocker I was speaking about combinatrix (I thought this was pretty clear). The point isn't that we block JJ from coming (which is true and a bonus) but that we block our opponents from having hands like JT and JQ which are the two primary hands we are trying to fold out with your line.
Further when I state the problems with raising the cutoff and give his exact range your specific answer is "Poker is a game based on probability, and probability means that there are no sure things. The purpose of these plays is to increase your probability of winning a large pot. It doesn't guarantee that the probability of winning is now 100 percent."
That doesn't address anything, execept ignore the issue at hand which is when he bets the turn, his range is largely comprised of QQ-AA
Also yes, when we cap pre-flop bet the flop and bet the turn on the 9832 board I think A8 folds
Last edited by Jon_locke; 11-15-2017 at 05:20 AM.