DeathDonkey said:
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To be fair that was an above average 80 game (I was in it for several hours and a bit ahead of you at the cage), but it really begs the question why don't the super solid 20/40 pros that play correctly preflop move up and crush these bigger games? My answer would be their post flop play is mediocre and even though 80/160 players are often too loose they are very tough opponents and most solid small stakes players would not adjust well. I realize this is basically an unrelated discussion I just find it interesting.
first off, congrats dude!! very good to see some LHE folks repping the bling bling.
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Originally Posted by Mason Malmuth
In my case, The Bellagio does not accept call ins for games higher than $20-$40
SIDENOTE: this is weird. usually a room would only accept callins for BIGGER limit games, no?
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I think you're over estimating how well most $20-$40 players play pre flop. ...
So I don't think the problem is that they would get chewed up after the flop, which may also be the case. I think it's more basic than that.
i agree and disagree:
1. i think most winning 20/40 players who aren't yet playing 40+ do play
pf well enough to ostensibly play in the bigger games, but whenever they do they tend to get crushed. in these cases i do think it's a very clear case of being unable to adjust to the different types of fish and how to exploit them (i.e. playing postflop).
that said, i can also take mason's side here b/c there's one specific category of errors i see all the time when lower limit regs take shots at a bigger limit (i.e. 10/20 and 20/40 players moving up to 40/80 or 80/160, etc.). this error is overestimating the importance of a tiny edge preflop in an aggressive loose game with very agro players. in lower limits, 3betting or capping pf tends to warrant a reaction from most players (even the agro fish) that is "yield to the capper" whereas at 40 or 80, they may get bet into, or kr'd or be shown unexpected aggression later on in the hand. so the error is playing hands like 8s or 9s in multi-raised pots where they're basically handing over RIO b/c they then can't get away from the hand due to the catch-22 thought process of the aggression that they're not used to.
i'm not sure if i've explained this well enough but i'm sure i'll be straightened out if not lol. basically, even when you can play pf well (and there are those that can and do) at a lower limit, the higher limit's additional aggression and postflop play can turn you into an expected losing player.
separately, errors compound where you (this is the "general you" ofc and certainly not mason or anybody individual posting here) get involved with a mediocre hand and then can't get away from it b/c you see others winning with marginal holdings.
2. looking at specifically the turn and river, i do think the players we're talking about (20ish players taking a shot at higher limits) are likely to get eaten up on the turn and river. they tend to fall into one of two camps:
CampA: The Non-Believer - sees and has heard about how agro higher limit games are and doesn't ever ever fold. takes wayyy too many hands to showdown. if we had the %WTSD it'd be like 65%-70%ish vs. the closer to 50% that tends to be around where winning players end up. this is costly and it costs most on the turn/river. yes it may be the result of, or in combination with, preflop and flop errors; however, this level of sticktoitiveness is extremely costly
CampB: Nit McNitterson - the opposite of the Non-Believer where he or she ends up getting pushed around left and right. this one can be extremely costly since it's not just a bet or two that's being lost, but whole pots at times. this is a result of either not being comfortable with the money involved (even if properly rolled or taking a designated Nbb shot), or trying to bide your time to a ridiculously high degree ("i can't comfortably raise my mediocre hand here otf so i'll just toss it and wait for a better spot"). either way, even if pf play is fine here, the postflop nittiness ends up costing the player his or her ability to win.
so DD-> i also find this interesting, and another interesting aspect is looking at it from the fish's perspective. the average 20 fishies are super duper more likely to play the weak loose passive-to-average-levels-of-aggression type game where they hang on and call down. OTOH, the average 80 or 1/2+ type fishies are similarly way more likely to look for spots to win the pot without a showdown. they can do things like raising a hand like A3 on a AK575 on the river trying to represent a 5 hoping an ace that's chopping might fold and since it's tough to get 3b on this board. typicaly 20/40 fish would neverrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrr raise there (and btw, i don't mean to say the higher limit more agro fish has that exact/precise thought process, just that they figure out to raise there even if they're just thinking "ooh, i have ace, maybe raise win me whole pot")