Quote:
Originally Posted by DrHoldemPhD
Wow at UTG+2 calling 3 to the face pre-flop then 2 to the face on the turn. What a customer. However, if he's not dumb then he has a solid draw here. QhJh?
Got an idea of what UTG+1's imagine of you is?
Pot is 9.5 BB and you are always at least calling so essentially 10.5 BB so the question is what kind of fold equity that 1 more BB gives you... I don't think this is crazy. It's thin though.
If they both call then do you lead a blank river too?
UTG+2 could easily just have a single heart. I doubt he has QhJh because I think he would bet the flop.
UTG+1 sees me as a TAG. I'm sure he has seen me get out of line before but if he has just an over pair with no heart this would be a tough call especially in a protected pot.
If they both called I would not bet the river UIP.
If just the UTG+2 called, I would check UIP and make a crying call in this big pot. He does like to bluff his missed draws.
I think for one more bet and having the Ah in hand this might actually be the right play. I'm not worried about getting 4 bet. I should have a decent amount of outs when behind.
Spots like this pop up once in a while. I think it is good exploit the mistakes other players make when they take a tricky line.