Quote:
Originally Posted by Eifersuchtig
I'm fairly certain that you aren't taking into account the multi-street component of holdem where you can continue to bluff with, or cease to bluff with, certain hands. So think about what if you bet all 5 of your bluff combos on the flop, all 5 of your bluff combos on the turn, and only 1/5 of your bluffs on the river. Your opponent can't know this. Under your logic he is structuring his calling range so it will eventually call river under the assumption that you have 5 bluff combos but because the game has multiple streets, he arrives at the river with an incorrectly structured range if he knew you were betting river with only 1/5 of your existing bluff combos.
tl;dr you use a river betting range composition on the flop and the flop does not play like the river.
what i am doing is using the bluffing strategy from phil newall's book "further limit hold 'em." i believe i am using it correctly. what i did wrong in the post you quoted was i chose the wrong hand to bluff with. i corrected it in a later post.
because the action changes street to street along with the odds we are offering our opponent in a hu pot, we use a flow chart to understand how to construct our ranges.
has a player already bet?
if yes, then bluff the top of folding range
if no, then
are there more cards to come?
if no, then bluff the very bottom of range
if yes, then
are you last to act?
if yes, then bluff the very bottom of range
if no, then a.) try to take the most value through to the next round and b.) bluff with stronger hands as the pot gets bigger
it seems to me that on the turn, we start over asking ourselves these same questions. and yes, some hands we will continue to bluff with and some hands we will not, because of how the turn and/or river card(s) affects our hand/range. example: on A
9
8
after our lone opponent bets, (the other opponents have been arrested and dragged off by security), we raise K
J
, villain calls. turn: [A
9
8
] K
. villain checks to us and now we refer to the chart above and realize we are not at the bottom of our range. our bluff has now turned into a bluff catcher. thus, we no longer have a bluff and we check. what to do on the river depends on villain's action and the river card.
the optimal strategy isn't static. after bluffing the flop, we're not going to just barrel off KJo regardless of the turn and river. we will continue to bluff at the optimal frequency derived from the pot odds we offer our opponent. we choose
which hands to bluff with based on 3 things, 1. the betting round, 2. our position, 3. whether our opponent has already bet.