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Originally Posted by mongidig
As played, I think the BB plays honestly after I call the flop, so I don't expect multiple bets going in unless I'm crushed. I also don't expect the Button to get to nutty either after a BB raise and an UTG call.
If somehow we were going to be all in calling here, it is an easy enough call. You just have to be right. If your read on the BTN accidentally raising is wrong and he doesn't know your call preflop + x/cold call flop is an uncapped range, then he gets to read you as weak and correctly punish you here and/or on the turn.
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I'm calling here thinking that I'm not necessarily behind but I don't want to escalate things in a spot were neither villain is gonna fold just yet. I'll see how things go and hopefully make good decisions based on the action and cards yet to come.
BTN calls. Turn comes any card higher than a 7. BB bets. What's the good decision?
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I agree with folding in your game if things are gonna escalate as you describe.
The CO games used to have a 5 raise cap, and the one thing I saw again and again was someone who'd call 2 and then be lost when it was 4, 5, or 6 bets. This spot feels similar because the guy who 3 bet my UTG open has c-bet and then he gets raised on this dry board. Our hand can't really improve. Maybe their bets mean not much or now that a single raise has gone in I can 100% trust them to only put in more bets/raises with the goods. If your live-read is correct that the BTN has napkins, sure. BB can't have an overpair, so we just show down for 1 bet for street? That we call not closing the action turn and river?
Call flop. Hope BTN calls behind. What's our plan from here?