Quote:
Originally Posted by asmitty
Sure, but (a) this doesn't account for everyone else's equity and (b) the pot is not large. Ironically, if hero had raised before the flop, I think raising the flop would be the clear play - the pot is twice as large and you are going to induce the field to make FTOP mistakes when you raise. But in a small pot like this one, I think calling has to be the superior play.
Well that's the hard question right. When is the pot big enough to justify raising the flop? Assuming the SB folded preflop and that money cancels out rake, after the CO bets the flop there are 7 small bets in the pot. I don't consider a 7 small bet pot on the flop to be that small. With 30ish% equity + showdown value it may be worth raising in this spot. Of course as you mentioned the other tricky variable are the other 4 people who already checked the flop. There's no way to precisely account for them other than to say their collective range is superweak given the action except for the occasional time you run into a slowplayed monster.
Again, I just don't think we can definitively say the Hero's flop raise is wrong in that spot. I think it's defensible. I wouldn't bet my life it's correct either.
PS: A decent heuristic for "when is the pot large enough" in a spot like this would be: "If the pot is large enough to justify a call, then it's large enough to invest an extra small bet and iso-raise instead." Of course it goes without saying invoking heuristics is a weaksauce argument. More precision is needed.