Quote:
Originally Posted by maka2184
Q1 Answer:
If he bets river, no I'm not folding to get an idea of what he is 3 betting SB vs HERO BTN preflop raise. Even if you assign narrowest of ranges you mentioned not enough sample size to distinguish raises yet.
Based on as played:
Think it is standard to play way you did by calling flop, calling turn, and checking river.
How I would have played:
I may have bet river when checked to because I play bad and attempt to value bet too light at times.
Not sure how I would have reacted to a check raise on river but based on your reads OP, had I bet river then get c/r ed, I probably would have folded but I'm a showdown monkey so may have called like an idiot lol
A tight passive, 3b in the sb screams strength. Given the A turn and no river bet, he should show up with KK often, against that board AK could conceivably chk river (though unlikely).
KQ, KJ are also possible at show down, but less likely to 3b pf.
If he has under pair, he is likely to fold to a river bet, so imho a thin value bet is unlikely to be called, and more likely he could be chking strength to induce.
Chk back is warranted
The real question is: would he fold hands that beat you to one river bet. Unlikely, unless he is mumbsy (you could /should have an A...) and will make 'great lay downs', so again chk back seems best.