SMP Life is Being Drunk -Random Content thread - Page 720

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09-20-2024 , 01:59 PM

#17976

Zeno

Le Misanthrope

Join Date: Sep 2002 Posts: 22,572

Who’s they?

Quote

09-20-2024 , 03:38 PM

#17977

lastcardcharlie

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Aug 2006 Posts: 10,585

Never mind. I was feeling nostalgic for Drinking Birds.

Quote

09-23-2024 , 05:08 AM

#17978

Gregory Illinivich

grinder

Join Date: Aug 2024 Posts: 412

They's who. That's who.

Quote

09-23-2024 , 10:11 PM

#17979

BrianTheMick2

Long way to go and a short time to get there.

Join Date: May 2012 Posts: 19,434

Quote:

Originally Posted by lastcardcharlie

Never mind. I was feeling nostalgic for Drinking Birds.

I have three of them

Quote

09-24-2024 , 03:21 AM

#17980

lastcardcharlie

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Aug 2006 Posts: 10,585

Mesmeric, aren't they?

Quote

09-25-2024 , 09:44 AM

#17981

PairTheBoard

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Dec 2003 Posts: 10,081

We dream about what we need to dream about until we don't need to dream about it. Then we dream about something else.

PairTheBoard

Quote

09-25-2024 , 06:28 PM

#17982

BrianTheMick2

Long way to go and a short time to get there.

Join Date: May 2012 Posts: 19,434

Quote:

Originally Posted by lastcardcharlie

Mesmeric, aren't they?

They are. They also help me write statistical models by not talking at me while I am trying to work

Quote

09-25-2024 , 07:28 PM

#17983

lastcardcharlie

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Aug 2006 Posts: 10,585

Statistical models of what?

Quote

09-25-2024 , 08:51 PM

#17984

BrianTheMick2

Long way to go and a short time to get there.

Join Date: May 2012 Posts: 19,434

Quote:

Originally Posted by lastcardcharlie

Statistical models of what?

Financial instruments. Mostly VIX futures (premium at various price levels) and ETF (momentum/trend and trend reversal) stuff.

It is kind of fun. Teasing out very weak (but pervasive and persistent) effects of variables on probability distributions of returns.

Nothing remotely groundbreaking. Just practitioner stuff.

Quote

09-26-2024 , 04:02 PM

#17985

Zeno

Le Misanthrope

Join Date: Sep 2002 Posts: 22,572

Quote:

Originally Posted by lastcardcharlie

Statistical models of what?

A random walk through London that also includes stopping at every bar you encounter. 24 hour time limit. Let me know the results.

Quote

09-26-2024 , 04:13 PM

#17986

Zeno

Le Misanthrope

Join Date: Sep 2002 Posts: 22,572

I think you need a starting point. Make it parliament.

Quote

09-26-2024 , 04:27 PM

#17987

lastcardcharlie

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Aug 2006 Posts: 10,585

Quote:

Originally Posted by BrianTheMick2

Financial instruments. Mostly VIX futures (premium at various price levels) and ETF (momentum/trend and trend reversal) stuff.

Aren't you up against supercomputers trying to do the same?

Quote

09-27-2024 , 04:49 PM

#17988

Zeno

Le Misanthrope

Join Date: Sep 2002 Posts: 22,572

Computers are only as good as the programs that run them. All written by humans.

Is there a computer that writes its own programs and Thinks independently?

Quote

09-27-2024 , 11:43 PM

#17989

Gregory Illinivich

grinder

Join Date: Aug 2024 Posts: 412

Quote:

Originally Posted by Zeno

Computers are only as good as the programs that run them. All written by humans.

Is there a computer that writes its own programs and Thinks independently?

No, but there are a lot of AI proponents that claim AI can do this. Ironically enough, they also argue against the idea that humans are capable of such a feat.

Quote

09-28-2024 , 01:29 PM

#17990

BrianTheMick2

Long way to go and a short time to get there.

Join Date: May 2012 Posts: 19,434

Quote:

Originally Posted by lastcardcharlie

Aren't you up against supercomputers trying to do the same?

Sort of. The successful machine learning trading is mostly doing high-frequency trading, which is a game I do not attempt to play.

Also, I'm (hopefully) still better than a supercomputer at determining whether a model makes theoretical sense.