Think you might be confusing sample standard deviation with standard deviation.

Light-hearted Fatalism is creepy and a prospective band name.

Your gazillionth flip would have the same expected standard deviation as any individual flip because that particular flip is exactly one flip. This is also true of your 12th flip.

Yes. Thanks. I didn't realize until I asked the question, that there was a difference.

I think BTM is essentially correct, though his analogy is tricky. Consider this:

Your win rate is always going to have a significant deviation that is inherent to the game. Even if you play a billion hands, you'll have losing sessions and heaters. The more you play, the more your sample standard deviation will match the "true" deviation that you'd get if you played infinite hands.

Ok, thank you. If I ever disagree with BTM, I know I'm in big trouble.

If your actual sd/100 hands is 40bb then your sd/2000 hands will be about 180 bb (sqtr[20] * 40 ). While your (win rate)/2000 hands will be 188bb (20*9.4). As the number of hands goes up the sd/(hands played) goes up in terms of bb's but goes down as a percent of (win rate)/(hands played). And it goes down as a percent of the number of hands played ( 188/2000 is less than 40/100 ).

However, your PT4 is not giving you your actual standard deviation or win rate. It's calculating a statistical "sample" standard deviation and win rate based on your results to that point. It's an estimate that the PT4 will update as you play more hands. But as you play more hands, even though the PT4 bases it's calculations on more hands it's not giving you a "per hands played" calculation. It's giving you a "per 100 hands" calculation. It's not changing what it's trying to estimate.


PairTheBoard

Oh, wow! Thank you Pairtheboard. I was wondering what was going on in my demented mind. You managed to dissect and illuminate. Thank you.

Is online poker even feasible from low-ranked spots like Alabama anymore? Too much responsibility primary parenting to even have time to travel for poker these days. Play some Race For the Galaxy for the card art though alone.

He explained it perfectly.

I'd say especially the first strike is problematic. The one making the first military strike gets the blame, and the action may destabilize other nuclear nations. This is in the end still mind games and speculation. I think the only possibility is to see if NK really does something lethal. Then the option to strike back is there.

The quoted video is from 2013. He could have become more pragmatic for example, slowly learning something. We don't know surely enough, at least not in the eyes of the world.

It is strange to even consider "wiping Seoul off the map" as the important thing to consider. No one with a modicum of sense is expecting the entire peninsula to fall into the ocean. The concern is massive loss of life and large scale economic disruption.

I am quite happy with this take.

I still find it strange that he didn't come full circle. I mean, I don't really find it strange, but an oddity of how people work.

It's not dependable like it once was. Ignition is a soft site but with awful software that crashes frequently and no rakeback. WPN has decent rb but is reg infested. And those are about the only sites that are U.S. facing that I trust or that have any volume.

I just thought up the perfect slogan: "Racist lives matter". Going to get a tshirt printed up with that on.

You cant wear that!

But you can wear this;

The day racist lives matter to change is the beginning of the end for racism.

(you can split in 2 sides)



Most racism exists because people are lazy to do the work. The work wont involve shunning but reasoning and example.

First form of laziness is the lack of desire to read a detailed quote t-shirt. lol

Sure you can. What's more, it's a very moral and correct thing to do - to force people to confront their hateful prejudices against nonviolent ideas they dislike.

Ordered the print already for a few shirts. Might pay some homeless people to wear them.

Y'all drunk some extra strong tea made by Noam Chomsky again, didn't ya?

One has to step enough back to grab a wide view of cultures. To see there is already and always will be one human culture which includes all the distinctions and multiples. Our 'meta-culture' is vast and diverse as our planetary ecosystem. We have indeed grown closer and less alienated- by struggle and facing challenge ...the game continues.

Sample standard deviation if you use over a few thousands hands for sample i bet remains the same for most players more or less. Sure its a random variable itself but its not going to be very volatile (it reflects your game and type of opponents you select to have). Only by changing your game and number of opponents in a table this changes seriously because you play more loose or tight depending on situation.


But the important topic here was the standard deviation of the end result of millions of hands not the variation of the sample standard deviation.

When you add random variables that have the same sd the sum itself (the sum of all outcomes is your bankroll change) becomes a random variable and its own standard deviation is now (your bankroll's standard deviation after that many hands) n^(1/2)*sd ( sd is the historically established by extensive sampling sd per hand).

The snake detectors must be turned on.

Let your hair down for just one moment, and gimmick accounts can cast famine and pestilence across the lands of SMP.

I think it was Paul McCartney who said it best with, "We all know, that people are the same wherever you go."

There's a fundamental truth to that, but it's deep down and you've got to ensure there doesn't include some conflicting ideologies. Yet, it's even more complicated.
I work with people from Pakistan, India whom speak the same language yet have different names for it - Urdu or Hindi. Folks from African, Caribbean and eastern European countries. And we are all the same.

It's only on the superficial level, where it's interesting, subjectively. We talk differently, we enjoy different cuisines, etc.
But just give it one, two, maybe three generations tops and that superficial appeal is no longer.

I went to McDonald's and ordered a Nothing Burger. They gave me an Egg McMuffin.


PairTheBoard

I ordered a Hitchcock burger and they gave me an Egg MacGuffin.