Quote:
Originally Posted by ToothSayer
Black Peter, Howard...what do you think this is? Have people simply been to safe for too long? People are notoriously stupid extrapolaters of personal experience data, and most of the people who say AI is fine, nothing has gone wrong in their lifetimes or even seemed like it could. They've lived incredibly comfortable, stable, safe lives.
Whereas you guys grew up with parents who lived through a world war, where the earth nearly turned horrible for generations, the spread of communism, the real and present credible threat of nuclear war. What have the new generation(s) experienced? The threat of red pen on their tests? Someone using their free speech to say an unkind word?
I wonder how much that plays in to accurately assessing big-picture risk.
They have been blinded by the light. The tech industry has so far produced incredibly useful tools that have provided a benefit to nearly everyone. Going forward they will develop tools to cure disease and advance science, save lives, all of that. Those in the field , seeing that all is good, believe that it will continue to be good and will not countenance a gainsayer.
They either can not or will not consider the concerns of those who see a possible negative outcome of what looks like a clear trend, although not, apparently, to them.
For myself, I don't really worry about an extinction level threat from AI bec the damage is going to be severe enough w/o it and if an AI destroys the tatters who cares?
Readers are likely to be sick and tired of me saying it but what's going to happen, way before an Uber-AI, is that the machines are going to destroy job after job, profession after profession, tossing the formerly middle class to live on a better sounding form of welfare. The received wisdom from economists, w/ their 'creative destruction', is that new jobs and professions will come along that will be even better than what came before. I say that even if there are new jobs they 1. are likely to require an above average intelligence and 2. will be the immediate subjects of the industry's insatiable desire to make a machine that can perform that function.
Civil society can not survive this. There will be an upper-class, a tiny middle-class, and the rest of us in the dirt. I'd like to know what these ppl think will happen in the third world which can't provide a basic income now. Once w/e bit of cheap labor they provide is no longer needed they are done for. And so, somewhat later, are we.
It's no use, though. They can't be talked to, they can't be reasoned with, and they will never, ever stop.