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Originally Posted by ToothSayer
So let me lay it out for you why this is a high probability base assumption
Finally! You've tried to construct an argument! Not that I agree with it, but at least you're *finally* taking a step in the right direction.
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Support for this proposition, purely from philosophy
Well, not from "philosophy" so much as as assumptions that you've arbitrarily declared in a post-hoc manner.
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1. The most basic mathematical/structural rules REQUIRE that manifested complexity is based on simpler, homogenous rules. Nearly all of math fits in this category. Indeed, this proposition forms the very basis for reason and prediction.
No, not really. There are mathematical structures and properties that are not made manifest by simple/basic rules. There are some ridiculously complicated mathematical systems out there built up from ideas that basically nobody who isn't a specialist in the area really understand.
And that's not actually anything like the "very basis of reason and prediction." This is you hand-waving your way across mountains of details again. While there may be very "basic" rules to logic (modus ponens, modus tollens, etc.) it's more analogous to the rules of a sport than anything else. These are the bounds within which one must play to be playing by the rules of the game. This doesn't mean that playing the game is easy, or that things like "strategy" are necessarily simple.
It's also far from clear that rules across the universe ought to be homogeneous, especially when the entire basis of knowledge is built off of earth-like experiences. It's far from a foregone conclusion that some other planet would definitely be subject to the same rules as an earth-like planet. (Indeed, depending on how precisely one considers "earth-like" rules, it may even be false.)
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Could the universe be a vast, anything-goes system, in which our minds are simply fooled by faulty memories into thinking we're predicting it? Sure. But if you're going that far out, you really have no business discussing science.
Once again, you're assuming that because *YOU* believe something that this is the natural conclusion that someone else would draw.
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2. Homogeneity and ergodicity are perhaps the simplest base assumptions, and probably true in a universe that reliably obeys rules and seems persistent and predictable on multiple levels, which an observer will quickly notice that it appears to be. It makes no sense to posit non-homogeneous, non ergodic rules at the first approximation or first attempt at modelling.
This is just a re-assertion of #1. You haven't added anything, and you're still just restating your conclusion.
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3. This is the path that human reason itself has taken as it's grown more sophisticated - the search for the simplest possible explanation for the broadest possible set of phenomena. Intelligence seeks simplicity - it seems to be an emergent property, at least in humans, that we somehow understand that a smaller modelling entity in order to best predict a larger data set than the modelling capability must create a simple set of rules and refine them. And an intelligence will be a superset of humans, so it'll have this property.
The bolded is an example of what I mean about you trying to make deep claims about intelligence. It's far from obvious that this is what intelligence seeks. I think there are examples of posters on this very forum who think that this type of model of intelligence is actually quite wrong.
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4. This path, once the modeller goes down it (and it's one of a small handful of basic philosophical starting positions, perhaps the most fundamental) will have far greater explanatory and predictive power than any other. Indeed, that's why humans have ended up here, and why materialism has largely overtaken other philosophies for mindshare - it's the the philosophy that produces the most reliable results in predicting what physical world will do, by a landslide.
This is an example of you not really having a valid connection to history. Back in the time of the Greeks, everyone pretty much thought the same way, and those philosophies dominated over other philosophies. You've made the classic mistake of thinking that because something is currently popular that it's also the best. If you look at scientists who make philosophical statements, like Hawking and Tyson, you'll see that they're generally criticized as being quite awful at actual philosophy. The same is true of other names, like Dawkins and Sagan. Their philosophies can often be very weak even if their science is very strong.
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If you don't grasp the above, perhaps you lack even a sliver of creative intelligence, or perhaps you have a fundamentally different take on philosophy.
I grasp what you're saying, but I think you're wrong. And I've explained why I think you're wrong.
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Either way I cannot understand why this is even controversial.
A statement like this (especially in light of a couple hundred posts of people disagreeing with you at many levels on many things) is an example of why it is that I think you're the one whose philosophy is weak. The true gap here is that I disagree with you not because I don't understand your position, but because I think your position is wrong. You apparently don't even understand the basic objections to your position.
One of the marks of someone who has philosophical depth is the ability to understand perspectives other than your own. You don't seem to have that ability.
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Plenty of stuff I've said in here is controversial, but this particular aspect isn't at all, but if you don't agree with it (either because you see something I don't or because you lack basic mental clarity and first-principles understanding of the philosophy around science and reason - who knows?) - then I understand why this thread isn't for you.
We can argue about those other things, and I've made arguments against some of those other things, but they are of less interest to me.
This thread isn't for most people because it hasn't yet crossed the point where your argumentation is worth the time for people to read it.
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And if anyone else who actually has the ability to articulate their position wants to take a crack at telling me why the above is wrong, I'd be interested to hear it.
The position is fairly well articulated. On many levels, it mirrors what others have been saying throughout the thread. That you think it's in some sort of isolation of those other ideas only continues to demonstrate that the lack of understanding is on your side, not mine. I encourage you to go back and read what others have written.