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Tiger Woods Career From Here (LOL EL RATA YOU FRAUD) Tiger Woods Career From Here (LOL EL RATA YOU FRAUD)
View Poll Results: How many professional major wins will Tiger end up with (currently has 14)?
14 - no more wins
14 10.85%
15 - one more than now
7 5.43%
16 - only two more
14 10.85%
17 - so close but not quite
12 9.30%
18 - ties Jack
11 8.53%
19 - GOAT
16 12.40%
20 or more
55 42.64%

05-20-2022 , 11:45 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by rickroll
he's +273 in a h2h with rory today, which are just insane odds, similar to what you'd see if rory were in the same tee group as an amateur (he's -470 lol so much ffing vig)
You honestly think Rory -470 vs. an amateur is fair odds? Are you assuming the amateur is a scratch handicap? And on average how many strokes do you think Rory would beat a scratch from the same tees, same course.
Tiger Woods Career From Here (LOL EL RATA YOU FRAUD) Quote
05-20-2022 , 11:53 AM
I'm assuming he means an amateur that happened to find his way into the tournament
Tiger Woods Career From Here (LOL EL RATA YOU FRAUD) Quote
05-20-2022 , 11:55 AM
yes, to clarify i'm talking vs the amateurs already in the field

not some rando in the stands but one of the dozen guys playing today who you don't know the name of, amateur was perhaps the wrong word as maybe only 1/3 of them would qualify technically as amateurs

looking at the masters we had rahm>woods -265/195 in round 4

rahm>rory and tiger exceeded expectations at the masters giving more credibility to his appearance this week (a lot of the betting lines on tiger where whether he withdraws etc and he was a huge dog to make the cut) so this speaks volumes over how much the market has tanked on tiger since then how despite a better than expected perfromance last time his lines his odds are now way worse

as for some top pro vs amateur lines from the masters

here's some lines from r2

r2 Hagestad>Lyle -409/272
r2 Schwartzel>Shepherd -504/316
r2 MacIntyre>Sheherd -750/413
r2 Spaun>Olazabal -475/303
r2 Straka>Mize -1163/542
r2 KH Lee>Singh -291/209
r2 Palmer>Singh -281/204
r2 SW Kim>Jarvis -765/419
r2 Z Johnson>Jarvis -446/290
r2 Matsuyama>Piot -621/365

very similar to the Rory>Tiger line
Tiger Woods Career From Here (LOL EL RATA YOU FRAUD) Quote
05-20-2022 , 12:50 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by rickroll
honestly, reading reports like that make me think he's still got some good years left, if he's able to golf competitively at majors with only one leg then i can't imagine how well he'll return if that leg ever gets back to 100%

he's +273 in a h2h with rory today, which are just insane odds, similar to what you'd see if rory were in the same tee group as an amateur (he's -470 lol so much ffing vig)

meanwhile in tiger's h2h with spieth it's a more standard -150/224 in favor of spieth

i like tiger in both, 12% value in h2h with spieth and 64% value in h2h vs rory but my model super flawed when it comes to low sample guys like woods

i have woods +124 and +129 vs spieth and rory which are obviously way off and heavily dependent on his historical stuff (had him ranked way lower for the last major but he's risen for this one with recent performance)


narrator: the lamp post never got better
Tiger Woods Career From Here (LOL EL RATA YOU FRAUD) Quote
05-20-2022 , 01:08 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by rickroll
yes, to clarify i'm talking vs the amateurs already in the field

not some rando in the stands but one of the dozen guys playing today who you don't know the name of, amateur was perhaps the wrong word as maybe only 1/3 of them would qualify technically as amateurs

looking at the masters we had rahm>woods -265/195 in round 4

rahm>rory and tiger exceeded expectations at the masters giving more credibility to his appearance this week (a lot of the betting lines on tiger where whether he withdraws etc and he was a huge dog to make the cut) so this speaks volumes over how much the market has tanked on tiger since then how despite a better than expected perfromance last time his lines his odds are now way worse

as for some top pro vs amateur lines from the masters

here's some lines from r2

r2 Hagestad>Lyle -409/272
r2 Schwartzel>Shepherd -504/316
r2 MacIntyre>Sheherd -750/413
r2 Spaun>Olazabal -475/303
r2 Straka>Mize -1163/542
r2 KH Lee>Singh -291/209
r2 Palmer>Singh -281/204
r2 SW Kim>Jarvis -765/419
r2 Z Johnson>Jarvis -446/290
r2 Matsuyama>Piot -621/365

very similar to the Rory>Tiger line
WTF?

First off, there are no amateurs in the field at the PGA this week. By definition, only pros are eligible to play in this event.

Let me point out a few things about these Masters odds.

r2 Hagestad>Lyle -409/272 (the reigning U.S. Mid Am champion favored over the 1988 Masters champion)
r2 Schwartzel>Shepherd -504/316
r2 MacIntyre>Sheherd -750/413
r2 Spaun>Olazabal -475/303 (both pros)
r2 Straka>Mize -1163/542 (both pros)
r2 KH Lee>Singh -291/209 (both pros)
r2 Palmer>Singh -281/204 (both pros)
r2 SW Kim>Jarvis -765/419
r2 Z Johnson>Jarvis -446/290
r2 Matsuyama>Piot -621/365

Lastly, everybody wants to bet on Tiger no matter what. The books know this and skew the line tremendously. Whatever odds you see are far worse than the true odds.

There are certainly lines to take advantage of out there, but they're going to be pros that the average viewer hasn't heard of. The average viewer has no clue that anybody with a PGA Tour card has a roughly 40% chance of beating Rory on any given day.
Tiger Woods Career From Here (LOL EL RATA YOU FRAUD) Quote
05-20-2022 , 01:16 PM
dude... that nittiest nitpickery i've ever seen

in fact, the market is no longer heavy on tiger, which is so puzzling, which was my entire point

last major he was a regular dog vs rahm and this time around he's a tremendous dog vs rory, if the public were betting him his line as they did in the past then it would resemble that of last major rather than mirror the line of an active pro in his 20s vs one who retired 20 years ago, zero chance the public is heavily betting him if the line is +273

but mostly, you know exactly what i was talking about all along, this is just pure bad faith "let's create an argument out of nothing" ****posting

and lol at calling men old enough to collect social security checks pros
Tiger Woods Career From Here (LOL EL RATA YOU FRAUD) Quote
05-20-2022 , 01:25 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by rickroll
dude... that nittiest nitpickery i've ever seen

you know exactly what i was talking about

and lol at calling men old enough to collect social security checks pros
No, I have no idea what you're talking about because you don't seem to know the difference between pros and amateurs.

A pro is a pro regardless of age. 68-year old Jay Haas just finished T14 at the PGA Tour Champions event in Atlanta.

And nitpickery might be pointing out that none of the four pros you're calling old enough to collect social security are 65 or older.
Tiger Woods Career From Here (LOL EL RATA YOU FRAUD) Quote
05-20-2022 , 01:51 PM
Wait one-leg is playing the PGA?? Not sure how I missed that. I just assumed he was not playing this. In for something that will happen...maybe missed cut.
Tiger Woods Career From Here (LOL EL RATA YOU FRAUD) Quote
05-20-2022 , 02:20 PM
For the record I was aware that there are no amateurs in the field this week. I was just trying to clarify Rick's post.
Tiger Woods Career From Here (LOL EL RATA YOU FRAUD) Quote
05-20-2022 , 02:59 PM
first shot of Tiger's I've had a chance to see so far this tourney was a beauty just now

I'm good luck
Tiger Woods Career From Here (LOL EL RATA YOU FRAUD) Quote
05-20-2022 , 06:58 PM
The dude can grind
Tiger Woods Career From Here (LOL EL RATA YOU FRAUD) Quote
05-20-2022 , 07:00 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by natediggity
For the record I was aware that there are no amateurs in the field this week. I was just trying to clarify Rick's post.
No Ams but 20 dudes who would get crushed by the top 10 Ams
Tiger Woods Career From Here (LOL EL RATA YOU FRAUD) Quote
05-20-2022 , 07:23 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by ligastar


narrator: the GOAT found his legs
fmp
Tiger Woods Career From Here (LOL EL RATA YOU FRAUD) Quote
05-20-2022 , 07:30 PM
Tiger is jacked like a mofo
Tiger Woods Career From Here (LOL EL RATA YOU FRAUD) Quote
05-20-2022 , 07:36 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by rickroll
he's +273 in a h2h with rory today, which are just insane odds, similar to what you'd see if rory were in the same tee group as an amateur (he's -470 lol so much ffing vig)
Well, Tiger has a 2 shot lead going to 18 so I'd say you nailed it.
Tiger Woods Career From Here (LOL EL RATA YOU FRAUD) Quote
05-20-2022 , 07:41 PM
Bubba gonna shoot 62 or 63??!
Tiger Woods Career From Here (LOL EL RATA YOU FRAUD) Quote
05-20-2022 , 07:48 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Shifty86
In b4 he shoots 67 tomorrow and makes the cut.
Good call, close.

Tiger is such an attention whore now. Yesterday at the end, when he's sucking can barely walk and says everything hurts. Today shoots 69. fo
Tiger Woods Career From Here (LOL EL RATA YOU FRAUD) Quote
05-20-2022 , 09:03 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Everlastrr
Good call, close.

Tiger is such an attention whore now. Yesterday at the end, when he's sucking can barely walk and says everything hurts. Today shoots 69. fo
i dont doubt he was in a ton of pain, hes just got enough drugs in his system to kill a 7 year old child.
Tiger Woods Career From Here (LOL EL RATA YOU FRAUD) Quote
05-20-2022 , 10:13 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Hellmuth was right
i dont doubt he was in a ton of pain, hes just got enough drugs in his system to kill a 7 year old child.
Let's just hope he didn't drive himself back to the rented house after the round.
Tiger Woods Career From Here (LOL EL RATA YOU FRAUD) Quote
05-20-2022 , 10:19 PM
his gf has that GPS tracking technology on her phone, and yep. he apparently commandeered a vehicle and was located at the nearest Perkins

finishing his round as he did, you know his dinner and pie selection tasted better.
Tiger Woods Career From Here (LOL EL RATA YOU FRAUD) Quote
05-21-2022 , 01:38 AM
The dude is a beast, outplaying half the field as an old man on one leg
Tiger Woods Career From Here (LOL EL RATA YOU FRAUD) Quote
05-21-2022 , 09:09 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by rickroll
in fact, the market is no longer heavy on tiger, which is so puzzling, which was my entire point
Yah, seems like this is the case.

I wanted to bet on him having a terrible round today, but the only line I can find at BetOnline is taking 107th ranked Adam Hadwin at -125 vs. Tiger. I would've expected Tiger to be like -200 in this matchup if all the slappies were pouring in money on him.
Tiger Woods Career From Here (LOL EL RATA YOU FRAUD) Quote
05-21-2022 , 12:24 PM
so... which reporter is going to be brave enough to ask the question to Tiger after his round?
Tiger Woods Career From Here (LOL EL RATA YOU FRAUD) Quote
05-21-2022 , 01:02 PM
Tiglahhhhh
Tiger Woods Career From Here (LOL EL RATA YOU FRAUD) Quote
05-21-2022 , 02:11 PM
Tiger is still beating one golfer!!! gg

Tiger Woods Career From Here (LOL EL RATA YOU FRAUD) Quote

      
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