Quote:
Originally Posted by AcTiOnJaCsOn
well your falling for a common fallacy called being results oriented. Orton is a way better QB so id say that if the roles were reversed and orton relieved tebow (so it motivates the team in the same way) that his expectation to win each game is substantially higher, hence being way more likely to be 5-1 or 6-0.
ok, i realize we don't have a lot of data points to go off of...6 games this season. however, this isn't poker where we can play 1m hands and basically nail down what our winrate is...therefore, we have to evaluate what we think based on other things. you think that orton gives the broncos a "way" better chance to win and i think tebow does. orton was 1-4, tebow is 5-1...small sample, but take it for what it is. also note that tebow beat 2 of the same teams ON THE ROAD that orton lost to AT HOME. orton had many more turnovers in fewer games than tebow. for his career, orton turns the ball over much more often than tebow has so far in his short career. orton's 2011 and career QBR is lower than tebow's. Denver non-qb rushing averaged 90.8 yd/gm under orton. under tebow, non-qb rushing averages almost 140. that is a product of them not just rushing more, but tebow's running ability affecting defenses. also realize after denver benched orton, they basically were giving up, traded brandon marshall and were calling it quits...imagine what they could do if they actually put together a roster to play around tebow if he can win this many games with a decent RB in mcgahee and no-name receivers. at some point, once the coin has landed heads 55 times in a row, you have to take a step back and not cry "results oriented." then it hits you, it's not 50/50, you're flippin coins w/ the teddy the iceman monroe up in a bellagio suite.