Originally Posted by wheatrich
<10% still means you try to score a TD...
Not if you think your FG conversion is >70%. Which it for sure is from 41. You really think a mini-hail mary for 6 with a sub 10% success rate beats 3 points with likely >80% success rate before the end of the 1st half down 21?
EDIT: That 10% success rate is very generous also. If you only have to protect the endzone it's probably well under that.