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View Poll Results: What will be the outcome of the game?
Falcons win; over 37 32.17%
Falcons win; under 15 13.04%
Pats win, don't cover; over 3 2.61%
Pats win, don't cover; under 7 6.09%
Pats cover; over 20 17.39%
Pats cover; under 33 28.70%
Voters: 115. You may not vote on this poll

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Old 02-01-2017, 12:23 PM   #301
Caldarooni
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Re: SUPER BOWL LI: GOOD (+3) vs. EVIL (o/u 58)

The line is fully shaded to the Falcons now
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Old 02-01-2017, 12:24 PM   #302
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Re: SUPER BOWL LI: GOOD (+3) vs. EVIL (o/u 58)

It is also goddamn hilarious that anyone believes ATLANTA FUTURES are competing with SUPER BOWL MONEY.
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Old 02-01-2017, 12:25 PM   #303
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Re: SUPER BOWL LI: GOOD (+3) vs. EVIL (o/u 58)

You could still get Atlanta at 11-1 to start the Playoffs
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Old 02-01-2017, 01:01 PM   #304
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Re: SUPER BOWL LI: GOOD (+3) vs. EVIL (o/u 58)

It's just a myth patriots fans tell themselves to feel better because they are scared if they are only 3 points better than the Falcons bc then there is a real chance they lose
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Old 02-01-2017, 01:13 PM   #305
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Re: SUPER BOWL LI: GOOD (+3) vs. EVIL (o/u 58)

I don't know one Pats fan with a brain who thinks they're def going to win. Seeing lots of ATL fans thinking they're a lock tho....

All I know is I wouldn't bet against the GOATS.

Should be a good game either way.
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Old 02-01-2017, 01:54 PM   #306
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Re: SUPER BOWL LI: GOOD (+3) vs. EVIL (o/u 58)

Quote:
Originally Posted by BostonPride3 View Post
I've heard that the reason the spread is only Pats -3 is because there is a good amount of tickets in which people took the Falcons preseason 150/1 to win the super bowl. Then that number dropped to 100/1 and people still fired. 80/1, 60/1, etc etc. So it may make sense for Vegas to want a lot of people to take the Pats to even out the money that way too.
Is there an echo in here?
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Old 02-01-2017, 03:01 PM   #307
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Re: SUPER BOWL LI: GOOD (+3) vs. EVIL (o/u 58)

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Originally Posted by DisGunBGud View Post
Yea even though Eli hit up Matt Ryan giving him the exact advice to do what you do, don't change things up and go out of your way to do so. Remind me how many times did BB beat Eli in the Super Bowl? You literally have zero ****ing clue about the opponent you're playing Sunday bro.
In the 2007 game Giants ran so above +EV it was ridiculous.
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Old 02-01-2017, 04:26 PM   #308
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Re: SUPER BOWL LI: GOOD (+3) vs. EVIL (o/u 58)

Anyone know a site with a free prop bet contest I can run with friends? Don't want to self score.
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Old 02-01-2017, 04:30 PM   #309
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Re: SUPER BOWL LI: GOOD (+3) vs. EVIL (o/u 58)

It is pretty amazing how the past ~6 years, everyone **** on Matt Ryan saying he was horrible, never be a good QB, etc. and now everyone is saying he's the best ever just because they don't want to see Tom Brady win another.

Turns out all Matt Ryan needed was 5 great WRs to get everyone on his band wagon.
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Old 02-01-2017, 04:35 PM   #310
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Re: SUPER BOWL LI: GOOD (+3) vs. EVIL (o/u 58)

Quote:
Originally Posted by Nicholasp27 View Post
It's just a myth patriots fans tell themselves to feel better because they are scared if they are only 3 points better than the Falcons bc then there is a real chance they lose
pretty sure we're all very used to the idea of an upset. been involved in some colossal ones, on both sides.

I think Pats are better, but yeah if a couple tipped passes go against us or someone trips or a fumble bounces the wrong way, that's about all it might take to swing the game. and maybe Pats aren't better at all to begin with! but I think they are.

but there is only so much confidence I can have in a 6/10 shot
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Old 02-01-2017, 04:49 PM   #311
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Re: SUPER BOWL LI: GOOD (+3) vs. EVIL (o/u 58)

More like DisGunBMAD.
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Old 02-01-2017, 05:12 PM   #312
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Re: SUPER BOWL LI: GOOD (+3) vs. EVIL (o/u 58)

Over 58 points ftw
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Old 02-01-2017, 05:26 PM   #313
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Re: SUPER BOWL LI: GOOD (+3) vs. EVIL (o/u 58)

i bet julio to win superbowl mvp before the conf champ games and got him at 30/1

still think there's great value at 12/1 or whatever around there it is right now
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Old 02-01-2017, 05:27 PM   #314
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Re: SUPER BOWL LI: GOOD (+3) vs. EVIL (o/u 58)

Quote:
Originally Posted by BostonPride3 View Post
I've heard that the reason the spread is only Pats -3 is because there is a good amount of tickets in which people took the Falcons preseason 150/1 to win the super bowl. Then that number dropped to 100/1 and people still fired. 80/1, 60/1, etc etc. So it may make sense for Vegas to want a lot of people to take the Pats to even out the money that way too.
boy i feel like a jackass for getting them at 60/1 in preseason. had no idea we had that better number at other sites
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Old 02-01-2017, 05:37 PM   #315
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Re: SUPER BOWL LI: GOOD (+3) vs. EVIL (o/u 58)

tevin at 50/1 to win mvp seems like a good number. could easily see him having a huge game.
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Old 02-01-2017, 05:44 PM   #316
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Re: SUPER BOWL LI: GOOD (+3) vs. EVIL (o/u 58)

Sanu 4catches and 47.5 yards seems a little low if the consensus that NE is going to make it harder for Ryan to get the ball to Julio is to be believed.

Freeman 33.5 receiving yards I like over as well. NE has had some problems with receiving RB's and he is 1 of the best.


Bennett I'd like to see some updates on his health but 38.5 yards for him is low if the extra rest has healed him up any.

Last edited by Onlydo2days; 02-01-2017 at 05:50 PM.
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Old 02-01-2017, 05:52 PM   #317
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Re: SUPER BOWL LI: GOOD (+3) vs. EVIL (o/u 58)

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Sanu 4catches and 47.5 yards seems a little low if the consensus that NE is going to make it harder for Ryan to get the ball to Julio is to be believed.

Freeman 33.5 receiving yards I like over as well. NE has had some problems with receiving RB's and he is 1 of the best.


Bennett I'd like to see some updates on his health but 38.5 yards for him is low if the extra rest has healed him up any.
You're confusing Coleman and Freeman.
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Old 02-01-2017, 06:26 PM   #318
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Re: SUPER BOWL LI: GOOD (+3) vs. EVIL (o/u 58)

Quote:
Originally Posted by BostonPride3 View Post
I've heard that the reason the spread is only Pats -3 is because there is a good amount of tickets in which people took the Falcons preseason 150/1 to win the super bowl. Then that number dropped to 100/1 and people still fired. 80/1, 60/1, etc etc. So it may make sense for Vegas to want a lot of people to take the Pats to even out the money that way too.

http://www.reviewjournal.com/sports/...6-year-the-dog

They were 2nd least bet on future rather than 2nd most bet on future. So Felger and Mazz were almost right.
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Old 02-01-2017, 06:34 PM   #319
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Re: SUPER BOWL LI: GOOD (+3) vs. EVIL (o/u 58)

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Originally Posted by DefNotRsigley View Post
It is pretty amazing how the past ~6 years, everyone **** on Matt Ryan saying he was horrible, never be a good QB, etc. and now everyone is saying he's the best ever just because they don't want to see Tom Brady win another.

Turns out all Matt Ryan needed was 5 great WRs to get everyone on his band wagon.
Did anyone think he was that bad? Always thought he was average to slightly above, just assumed that's where most people had him
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Old 02-01-2017, 06:37 PM   #320
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Re: SUPER BOWL LI: GOOD (+3) vs. EVIL (o/u 58)

I thought he was fringe top 10 (like no better than 8th and no lower than say 13th) preseason. He looked horrible all last year.
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Old 02-01-2017, 06:44 PM   #321
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Re: SUPER BOWL LI: GOOD (+3) vs. EVIL (o/u 58)

I think 2nd half of 2015 there was a narrative building that Matt Ryan just isn't good and was a product of Roddy, Julio, Gonzo, dome, ****ty defenses in division.

But then the Falcons crushed 2016 and it just came and went fast.
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Old 02-01-2017, 08:45 PM   #322
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Re: SUPER BOWL LI: GOOD (+3) vs. EVIL (o/u 58)

(xpost from the media thread in case ppl don't look in there)

GOOD vs EVIL

https://kentremendousblog.tumblr.com...uper-bowl-is-a

predictably amazing
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Old 02-01-2017, 09:07 PM   #323
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Re: SUPER BOWL LI: GOOD (+3) vs. EVIL (o/u 58)

Quote:
Originally Posted by bazooka87 View Post
People are really sleeping on Falcons defense. For the overall season yeah they've been pretty bad but over the past month or so they've actually been quite good.

What a world, not only are we ITT constantly talking about how the #1 scoring D in the league this season sucks, but now we are vouching for the ass D that is the Falcons.

Falcons got 1 guy on their DL that makes plays. Good luck that the Pats let him beat them. Then on the back end they have noone that can cover. The only way Brady doesnt shred this D is if BB decides he wants to have a guy run for a couple hundred yards.
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Old 02-01-2017, 09:09 PM   #324
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Re: SUPER BOWL LI: GOOD (+3) vs. EVIL (o/u 58)

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Originally Posted by JudgeHoldem View Post
tevin at 50/1 to win mvp seems like a good number. could easily see him having a huge game.
I like that bet.
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Old 02-01-2017, 09:10 PM   #325
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Re: SUPER BOWL LI: GOOD (+3) vs. EVIL (o/u 58)

I thought we agreed to stop with the Roman numerals already
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