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SUPER BOWL LI: GOOD (+3) vs. EVIL (o/u 58) SUPER BOWL LI: GOOD (+3) vs. EVIL (o/u 58)
View Poll Results: What will be the outcome of the game?
Falcons win; over
37 32.17%
Falcons win; under
15 13.04%
Pats win, don't cover; over
3 2.61%
Pats win, don't cover; under
7 6.09%
Pats cover; over
20 17.39%
Pats cover; under
33 28.70%

02-01-2017 , 12:23 PM
The line is fully shaded to the Falcons now
SUPER BOWL LI: GOOD (+3) vs. EVIL (o/u 58) Quote
02-01-2017 , 12:24 PM
It is also goddamn hilarious that anyone believes ATLANTA FUTURES are competing with SUPER BOWL MONEY.
SUPER BOWL LI: GOOD (+3) vs. EVIL (o/u 58) Quote
02-01-2017 , 12:25 PM
You could still get Atlanta at 11-1 to start the Playoffs
SUPER BOWL LI: GOOD (+3) vs. EVIL (o/u 58) Quote
02-01-2017 , 01:01 PM
It's just a myth patriots fans tell themselves to feel better because they are scared if they are only 3 points better than the Falcons bc then there is a real chance they lose
SUPER BOWL LI: GOOD (+3) vs. EVIL (o/u 58) Quote
02-01-2017 , 01:13 PM
I don't know one Pats fan with a brain who thinks they're def going to win. Seeing lots of ATL fans thinking they're a lock tho....

All I know is I wouldn't bet against the GOATS.

Should be a good game either way.
SUPER BOWL LI: GOOD (+3) vs. EVIL (o/u 58) Quote
02-01-2017 , 01:54 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by BostonPride3
I've heard that the reason the spread is only Pats -3 is because there is a good amount of tickets in which people took the Falcons preseason 150/1 to win the super bowl. Then that number dropped to 100/1 and people still fired. 80/1, 60/1, etc etc. So it may make sense for Vegas to want a lot of people to take the Pats to even out the money that way too.
Is there an echo in here?
SUPER BOWL LI: GOOD (+3) vs. EVIL (o/u 58) Quote
02-01-2017 , 03:01 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by DisGunBGud
Yea even though Eli hit up Matt Ryan giving him the exact advice to do what you do, don't change things up and go out of your way to do so. Remind me how many times did BB beat Eli in the Super Bowl? You literally have zero ****ing clue about the opponent you're playing Sunday bro.
In the 2007 game Giants ran so above +EV it was ridiculous.
SUPER BOWL LI: GOOD (+3) vs. EVIL (o/u 58) Quote
02-01-2017 , 04:26 PM
Anyone know a site with a free prop bet contest I can run with friends? Don't want to self score.
SUPER BOWL LI: GOOD (+3) vs. EVIL (o/u 58) Quote
02-01-2017 , 04:30 PM
It is pretty amazing how the past ~6 years, everyone **** on Matt Ryan saying he was horrible, never be a good QB, etc. and now everyone is saying he's the best ever just because they don't want to see Tom Brady win another.

Turns out all Matt Ryan needed was 5 great WRs to get everyone on his band wagon.
SUPER BOWL LI: GOOD (+3) vs. EVIL (o/u 58) Quote
02-01-2017 , 04:35 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Nicholasp27
It's just a myth patriots fans tell themselves to feel better because they are scared if they are only 3 points better than the Falcons bc then there is a real chance they lose
pretty sure we're all very used to the idea of an upset. been involved in some colossal ones, on both sides.

I think Pats are better, but yeah if a couple tipped passes go against us or someone trips or a fumble bounces the wrong way, that's about all it might take to swing the game. and maybe Pats aren't better at all to begin with! but I think they are.

but there is only so much confidence I can have in a 6/10 shot
SUPER BOWL LI: GOOD (+3) vs. EVIL (o/u 58) Quote
02-01-2017 , 04:49 PM
More like DisGunBMAD.
SUPER BOWL LI: GOOD (+3) vs. EVIL (o/u 58) Quote
02-01-2017 , 05:12 PM
Over 58 points ftw
SUPER BOWL LI: GOOD (+3) vs. EVIL (o/u 58) Quote
02-01-2017 , 05:26 PM
i bet julio to win superbowl mvp before the conf champ games and got him at 30/1

still think there's great value at 12/1 or whatever around there it is right now
SUPER BOWL LI: GOOD (+3) vs. EVIL (o/u 58) Quote
02-01-2017 , 05:27 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by BostonPride3
I've heard that the reason the spread is only Pats -3 is because there is a good amount of tickets in which people took the Falcons preseason 150/1 to win the super bowl. Then that number dropped to 100/1 and people still fired. 80/1, 60/1, etc etc. So it may make sense for Vegas to want a lot of people to take the Pats to even out the money that way too.
boy i feel like a jackass for getting them at 60/1 in preseason. had no idea we had that better number at other sites
SUPER BOWL LI: GOOD (+3) vs. EVIL (o/u 58) Quote
02-01-2017 , 05:37 PM
tevin at 50/1 to win mvp seems like a good number. could easily see him having a huge game.
SUPER BOWL LI: GOOD (+3) vs. EVIL (o/u 58) Quote
02-01-2017 , 05:44 PM
Sanu 4catches and 47.5 yards seems a little low if the consensus that NE is going to make it harder for Ryan to get the ball to Julio is to be believed.

Freeman 33.5 receiving yards I like over as well. NE has had some problems with receiving RB's and he is 1 of the best.


Bennett I'd like to see some updates on his health but 38.5 yards for him is low if the extra rest has healed him up any.

Last edited by Onlydo2days; 02-01-2017 at 05:50 PM.
SUPER BOWL LI: GOOD (+3) vs. EVIL (o/u 58) Quote
02-01-2017 , 05:52 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Onlydo2days
Sanu 4catches and 47.5 yards seems a little low if the consensus that NE is going to make it harder for Ryan to get the ball to Julio is to be believed.

Freeman 33.5 receiving yards I like over as well. NE has had some problems with receiving RB's and he is 1 of the best.


Bennett I'd like to see some updates on his health but 38.5 yards for him is low if the extra rest has healed him up any.
You're confusing Coleman and Freeman.
SUPER BOWL LI: GOOD (+3) vs. EVIL (o/u 58) Quote
02-01-2017 , 06:26 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by BostonPride3
I've heard that the reason the spread is only Pats -3 is because there is a good amount of tickets in which people took the Falcons preseason 150/1 to win the super bowl. Then that number dropped to 100/1 and people still fired. 80/1, 60/1, etc etc. So it may make sense for Vegas to want a lot of people to take the Pats to even out the money that way too.

http://www.reviewjournal.com/sports/...6-year-the-dog

They were 2nd least bet on future rather than 2nd most bet on future. So Felger and Mazz were almost right.
SUPER BOWL LI: GOOD (+3) vs. EVIL (o/u 58) Quote
02-01-2017 , 06:34 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by DefNotRsigley
It is pretty amazing how the past ~6 years, everyone **** on Matt Ryan saying he was horrible, never be a good QB, etc. and now everyone is saying he's the best ever just because they don't want to see Tom Brady win another.

Turns out all Matt Ryan needed was 5 great WRs to get everyone on his band wagon.
Did anyone think he was that bad? Always thought he was average to slightly above, just assumed that's where most people had him
SUPER BOWL LI: GOOD (+3) vs. EVIL (o/u 58) Quote
02-01-2017 , 06:37 PM
I thought he was fringe top 10 (like no better than 8th and no lower than say 13th) preseason. He looked horrible all last year.
SUPER BOWL LI: GOOD (+3) vs. EVIL (o/u 58) Quote
02-01-2017 , 06:44 PM
I think 2nd half of 2015 there was a narrative building that Matt Ryan just isn't good and was a product of Roddy, Julio, Gonzo, dome, ****ty defenses in division.

But then the Falcons crushed 2016 and it just came and went fast.
SUPER BOWL LI: GOOD (+3) vs. EVIL (o/u 58) Quote
02-01-2017 , 08:45 PM
(xpost from the media thread in case ppl don't look in there)

GOOD vs EVIL

https://kentremendousblog.tumblr.com...uper-bowl-is-a

predictably amazing
SUPER BOWL LI: GOOD (+3) vs. EVIL (o/u 58) Quote
02-01-2017 , 09:07 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by bazooka87
People are really sleeping on Falcons defense. For the overall season yeah they've been pretty bad but over the past month or so they've actually been quite good.

What a world, not only are we ITT constantly talking about how the #1 scoring D in the league this season sucks, but now we are vouching for the ass D that is the Falcons.

Falcons got 1 guy on their DL that makes plays. Good luck that the Pats let him beat them. Then on the back end they have noone that can cover. The only way Brady doesnt shred this D is if BB decides he wants to have a guy run for a couple hundred yards.
SUPER BOWL LI: GOOD (+3) vs. EVIL (o/u 58) Quote
02-01-2017 , 09:09 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by JudgeHoldem
tevin at 50/1 to win mvp seems like a good number. could easily see him having a huge game.
I like that bet.
SUPER BOWL LI: GOOD (+3) vs. EVIL (o/u 58) Quote
02-01-2017 , 09:10 PM
I thought we agreed to stop with the Roman numerals already
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