Quote:
Originally Posted by mjw0586
Rubio hasn't needed to make big moves in his campaign to this point. It's still relatively early (Hillary was crushing Obama at this point in 2007) and he's doing well. Trump is still out there making headlines for being ridiculous so shutting up and appearing more normal through your silence is a viable strategy. Especially when you're already leading in all betting markets. It's not some local election where you need to put your name out there. Rubio is considered a favorite and a lot of Republicans realize that he's probably their best chance in the general election.
I understand your points and agree with most of them; however let me play devil's advocate and post the counterarguments: Rubio has almost no forces on the ground in the early states, and is polling badly. Generally a bad strategy for a favored candidate. Betting markets are legit, sure, but eventually we have to have something to show for Rubio that he is making strides on the ground and winning votes - and winning momentum. He is losing both at the moment.
He is the establishment choice right now FOR SURE. This isn't debatable. But we're 5 weeks out from the Iowa caucuses and the movement that needs to happen hasn't started. And after New Years, we'll have less than 4 weeks for that public momentum to shift in the direction that the GOP wants. Can it happen? Sure! Will it happen? Remains to be seen.
Put it this way, there's a reason I thought that Cruz +250 was a good bet.