Most polls have him around 10 points up right now nationwide and leading in battleground states (a recent CNN poll had him trailing by 3% in several but also had a 9% MoE so maybe we don't count that one...).

Biden's best play has always been to sit back, flash the smile, and let Trump run his campain for him, and he's done a decent job of that save for the "you ain't black" issue recently.

Community Of Losers Comes Together To Clean Graffiti Off Multinational Banking Conglomerate https://*******/2XpipuY https://twitter.com/TheOnion/status/...701120/photo/1

biden is establishing the run, and i don't think he's gonna un-establish it. this is derrick henry gaping belichik and the patriots.

pretty sure that 10-20 million number was calculated before 40 million people lost their jobs in the past 3 months. Its probably closer to triple that now.

as noted earlier, that is finally starting to creep up with what polling is saying.

That also said, even right now might not matter by november. More ****'s gonna happen from here (bunch of R congressional FBI interrogations are going to be one of them) and I don't know if the riots keep continuing if things start turning against them or not.

I've maintained this election is a trump referendum far more than anything Joe can or can't do (he's been out there a bit recently even if the media hasn't covered much of it--aside from a standard gaffe of his he's been good this week)

Steve King lost his primary. Sure it was to another child, but still, feels good.

biden's gonna win 50 states

Lol 50 states...easiest path for victory for Biden is keep map as is from 2016 but flip FL and AZ...with the olds coming in force that seems to be the better way to go rather than try to flip 3 out of the 4 between OH PA MI and WI

Nah.

I think it’ll be a mix: Biden flips PA, MI, AZ. FL will cheat

I could see WI and even a longshot like NC going blue. Pretty big lol at FL going blue for the reason you mention. They'll find someway to cheat.

yeah WI is pretty likely too. just think AZ is better rn. GA also a cheating candidate, so I don't think Biden running up the score happens too often. win popular by 5%, but don't hit 300 EV, so no yuge EC victory, seems like the most likely scenario. win popular by 5% and lose is also in play

Hillary won by 3M popular votes. Ignoring the logistical difficulties caused by Covid, if the election were today, how many does Biden win by?

Feels like 6-8M is fair. Dont think Barry's 10M is in play just yet.

today? biden wins by 10 mil+. im pricing in some regression to the mean/surprises by november

FL always cheats but not impossible to flip.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United...ons_in_Florida

Old variable is real, V.P. bias is also real, and FL Amendment 4 passed in 2018 allowing giving former felons the right to vote again is also significant when you take into account a) number of released felons b) age c) race so when you consider how close the race was in 2016 those are important to evaluate.

RE: the cheating what ****s Biden in the state is Ron DeSantis. There are nut-swingers...and then there's this ****ing clown. Voter Suppression, Redistricting, + a huge 18.5 mil "donation" from Vince and Linda McMahon's super PAC to allow Pro Wrestling to be "essential"(to name one of many in kind "donations" or what normal rational people would call legal bribery). That money is going to go straight to local advertisement for Drumph and DeSantis pocket...which Biden just can't compete with financially.

As for A4 even now FL Reds and DeSantis are trying to get that overturned or ****ed with in a way where it's basically ineffective. DeSantis signed into law in '19 basically a pay to vote system saying that felons released from prison must pay off their financial debts before they are allowed to vote. Federal judge a couple of weeks back ruled that Unconstitutional and I would expect this to be escalated to the Supreme Court and fast tracked to get a ruling ASAP.


https://www.baynews9.com/fl/tampa/ap...-fines-to-vote

idk, looks pretty red to me


anyway gonna be pretty funny when the ***OFFICIAL*** results are like 51/49 fredo in literally every state


shillary - 65,853,514
fredo - 62,984,828
johnson - 4,489,341
stein - 1,457,218
mcmullin - 731,991
other - ~392k

oh yeah and some guy tried to prove a point by just posting everything that fredo does on twitter and he got banned within 12 hours lol

Upgraded kneeler to 2nd degree and got the other three for aiding and abetting a murder. That's not bad.

Drew Brees confirming once again he's a piece of garbage

that's future senator/governor dru bree (r), to you

****. you're right

slimes gonna slimes

Facist gonna facist.

Hopefully that doesn't affect Drew and his affinity for that sweet sweet conversion therapy

In reality, the map looks like this.

Biden’s most likely path is PA+MI+2 more EVs from anywhere else. There’s approximately zero chance of anything in red being anywhere near the tipping point.