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SE Hoya Containment Thread (aka Politics) SE Hoya Containment Thread (aka Politics)

02-11-2016 , 12:52 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by suzzer99
So you're all in for Trump of course.

I know I know - it's not what he says, it's the way he says it.
You have consistently misrepresented my positions for literally 6 months now, all while Trump has gone from 0% to 3 to 1 and I have made heaps of equity, but cool story bro keep talking about how I'm some racist Hitler apologist authoritarian lover who thinks the State's have the right to decide over slavery.


From August:

Quote:
Originally Posted by THAY3R
TRUMP TRUMP TRUMP TRUMP

Anything that exposes the SHAM that is American Politics is a great thing. Talk all you want about his tiny chances, but people are tuning in and listening.
Quote:
Originally Posted by THAY3R
I think it's a very false position that Trump supporters are bigots/misogynists and that's why they like him. People are liking him because he comes off as a real person who says what he thinks, and when he speaks about the problems in government(which are correct), they agree with him.

Last edited by THAY3R; 02-11-2016 at 12:58 PM.
SE Hoya Containment Thread (aka Politics) Quote
02-11-2016 , 01:07 PM
I'm definitely Bernie>>>>> Trump

Everyone else just seems pretty terrible.
SE Hoya Containment Thread (aka Politics) Quote
02-11-2016 , 01:08 PM
I wouldn't be surprised if a lot of Bernie supporters go toward Trump.

Shillary just seems like the most untrustworthy candidate of all time.
SE Hoya Containment Thread (aka Politics) Quote
02-11-2016 , 01:18 PM
Is Trump really 3 to 1? Im a buyer at 2.5
SE Hoya Containment Thread (aka Politics) Quote
02-11-2016 , 01:24 PM
I'm really starting to believe Trump is actually gonna win this damn thing. If he runs vs. Hillary in the general the only thing that he has to worry about is the conservative voters seeing through his charades and Hillary's track record and recognizing that she is more conservative than he is.
SE Hoya Containment Thread (aka Politics) Quote
02-11-2016 , 01:51 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Shark Sandwich
Is Trump really 3 to 1? Im a buyer at 2.5
My 250 to your 100 on winning the general. Quote to book.
SE Hoya Containment Thread (aka Politics) Quote
02-11-2016 , 01:57 PM
Jeb? gets kicked off stage by his hosts.

SE Hoya Containment Thread (aka Politics) Quote
02-11-2016 , 01:58 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Biesterfield
My 250 to your 100 on winning the general. Quote to book.
Booked (death = no bet)
SE Hoya Containment Thread (aka Politics) Quote
02-11-2016 , 02:46 PM
Jeb didn't get kicked off, he had a hard stop, as soon as he finished eating his pudding
SE Hoya Containment Thread (aka Politics) Quote
02-11-2016 , 02:49 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Larry Legend
I'm definitely Bernie>>>>> Trump

Everyone else just seems pretty terrible.
These quotes from Sanders' appearance on Colbert last night seem appropriate here:

Quote:
Colbert asked about reports that many New Hampshire voters were torn between voting for Sanders and voting for Trump.

"Why would that be?" Colbert asked. "You seem like two sides to the same coin."

Sanders said it comes down to anger -- and that Trump's supporters, like everyone else, have a right to be angry.

"People are working long hours for low wages, they're people who are really worried about what’s going to happen to their kids," Sanders said. "But I think what they have done is responded to Trump’s false message, which suggests that is if we keep Muslims out of this country, or if we keep scapegoating Latinos or Mexicans that somehow our country becomes better."

Sanders called that "a false solution," adding:

"People have a right to be angry. We have a right to be angry when we are the only major country on Earth that doesn’t provide paid family and medical leave. When we have more people living in poverty today than almost any time in the history of this country. People have a right to be angry. What we need to be is rational in figuring out how we address the problems and not simply scapegoating minorities.”
SE Hoya Containment Thread (aka Politics) Quote
02-11-2016 , 03:42 PM
"When we have more people living in poverty today than almost any time in the history of this country"

This is not only false but the exact opposite of what he is claiming, right?
SE Hoya Containment Thread (aka Politics) Quote
02-11-2016 , 03:44 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Biesterfield
"When we have more people living in poverty today than almost any time in the history of this country"

This is not only false but the exact opposite of what he is claiming, right?
its quite possibly accurate on raw numbers, but obviously incorrect on a percentage basis.
SE Hoya Containment Thread (aka Politics) Quote
02-11-2016 , 04:11 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Biesterfield
"When we have more people living in poverty today than almost any time in the history of this country"

This is not only false but the exact opposite of what he is claiming, right?
The exact opposite of what who is claiming? Sanders? I'm not sure how.

It is probably true in terms of raw numbers, given the growth of the population, if not necessarily percentage. (Of course, saying "almost" means it could be true given any number of conditions.)

Something else I learned recently is that unemployment numbers don't figure in incarcerated people. I wonder if that's also true for poverty numbers.

Anyway, my point was just that there might be a good reason why LL would prefer Sanders/Trump to anyone else, and I think the point about their messages both speaking to the same problems people are having is a big part of that reason.
SE Hoya Containment Thread (aka Politics) Quote
02-11-2016 , 04:13 PM
yeah I'm talking about percentages. If Bernie is referring to raw numbers than lol.
SE Hoya Containment Thread (aka Politics) Quote
02-11-2016 , 04:17 PM
its raw numbers
SE Hoya Containment Thread (aka Politics) Quote
02-11-2016 , 04:18 PM
The first google result I got was this NPR article from 2013, citing a census report:

Quote:
Almost 50 million people in the U.S. are poor using the supplemental measure, compared to the 47 million using the official measure.
I know the percentage has been higher in the past, but the absolute number probably hasn't very often, if at all. (The U.S. population was about 120 million during the Great Depression, which would have required a poverty rate of over 40% to surpass this total-- which may have well been, but I can't find any poverty statistics from before 1959.)

And then of course there's questions about how accurate the official measures of poverty are, etc. (Like how unemployment rates don't factor in people who have stopped looking for work altogether.)

Could you elaborate beyond "false" and "lol"?
SE Hoya Containment Thread (aka Politics) Quote
02-11-2016 , 04:30 PM
Here is what Wikipedia (fwiw) is showing. Unable to go back to 1776 to verify Bernie's claim.

SE Hoya Containment Thread (aka Politics) Quote
02-11-2016 , 04:38 PM
Poverty is still calculated using a 1963 formula based on 1963 food budgets. I am not aware of any substantial changes or improvements to the original formula. This is the legacy of a civil servant named Mollie Orshansky.

(That tidbit was the only useful bit of information in Gruber's health economics text.)

There are no adjustments for regional cost of living and non-cash subsidies (like housing or food stamps). It's worthless. You could make a poverty formula to say whatever you want.

Not quite as worthless as a politician citing "jobs created" but it's close.

Coincidentally, I went through my old tax returns today. I had some really good times the eight years I was living in "poverty."
SE Hoya Containment Thread (aka Politics) Quote
02-11-2016 , 04:38 PM
So... the highest number on the chart is the most recent one, or very nearly it (2009?), and it hasn't dipped much.

This chart seems like strong evidence that "We have more people living in poverty today than almost any time in the history of this country" is true.
SE Hoya Containment Thread (aka Politics) Quote
02-11-2016 , 04:39 PM
Aside snark about how weird it is that poverty started rising again in 1980 and has trended upward ever since.
SE Hoya Containment Thread (aka Politics) Quote
02-11-2016 , 04:40 PM
If you're using raw numbers to make an argument like that you're being intentionally deceitful.
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02-11-2016 , 04:44 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by ikestoys
If you're using raw numbers to make an argument like that you're being intentionally deceitful.
meh, I don't think so. These raw numbers are really all that matter given each one is a person.
SE Hoya Containment Thread (aka Politics) Quote
02-11-2016 , 05:03 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by CalledDownLight
meh, I don't think so. These raw numbers are really all that matter given each one is a person.
Haiti has a smaller poverty than we do!
SE Hoya Containment Thread (aka Politics) Quote
02-11-2016 , 05:13 PM
More people today have access to free healthcare and fresh water than ever in the history of the world

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02-11-2016 , 05:28 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by nath
Aside snark about how weird it is that poverty started rising again in 1980 and has trended upward ever since.

Wait so you mean that deregulating businesses and slashing taxes on rich people didn't work out great for everybody????!
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