Random post I made on face today in response to a "are cheaper goods and free trade worth it for the middle class".......
I agree these are huge and complicated questions but I think the answer to your question is likely "yes". As in, most of those jobs go away anyways. NAFTA may well have been a net increase in jobs. Companies like GM cannot compete globally with US labor. And they sell far more cars outside the US than inside (~22% of car sales are domestic). Source:
https://media.gm.com/media/us/en/gm/...bal-sales.html
Also, whether we lost jobs to trade or technology is also a question.
https://www.ft.com/content/dec677c0-...5-873e61754ec6
It also isn't clear that service jobs pay worse:
http://www.forbes.com/sites/timworst...-service-jobs/
And it isn't only US car companies that need trade. Ask Apple if they are cool without Chinese labor. The whole point of trade and economics is that things aren't zero sum. Side benefits such as a net migration of Mexican citizens FROM the US to Mexico over the last 5-years are very real.
Worth noting that things aren't just cheaper in the US than ~anywhere else in the world, they are better quality too. I doubt I need to elaborate in a Brazilian expat message group.
Fwiw the US Govt did an extensive review of the economic impact of NAFTA some years back and it came back slightly positive. I'd argue that the benefit of trade extends beyond pure economic impact as it's likely the largest force for world peace today. China is largely a non-issue on the global war stage precisely because of their huge trade dependencies.
I'm super concerned about not only what the President is doing but how rapidly and seemingly without detailed analysis he is going about it. And obviously making things personal with other global leaders, especially strong allies (and to be sure Mexico is that) is just not helpful and likely actively harmful.