Quote:
Originally Posted by 39suited
I kind of miss the old Whitlock, must have disappeared somewhere in Australia the last few years.
The old Whitlock briefly showed earlier this month when he beat MvG on route to a tour title, and in the Euro Championships, he'll need to do it again, as they've done the draw:
Notes and bets:
- I kind of want to take Whitlock at that price but know better than to lay van Gerwen at this stage
- I kind of want to bet Price given that they qualified similarly and my rankings can barely split them, but Gurney's hit ridiculous form since coming back from injury and I don't think 11/8 properly compensates
- Klaasen line also looks fine, him and West had a common opponent yesterday in Norris and Klaasen did a lot better, so will leave it alone
-
0.5u Smith evs, I saw the draw and my first thought was to bet Bunting but then I saw the prices, was assuming something like 4/6 or 8/13 Smith, so evens given that Bunting isn't exactly flying seems like an OK punt, despite Bunting winning their last 4 head to head meetings
- LOL Wade getting one of the two bastard draws,
1u Anderson 8/15, he absolutely owns the head to head, 10-2 with three PL draws in the last two years
-
1u van de Pas 4/7, Hopp couldn't even qualify for the event this weekend, losing to Mike Holz, and then crashed out of the world youth to Martin Schindler. If he can't beat Germans he can't beat Benito
- Huybrechts line looks good. Seemed solid in Ireland, didn't do it this weekend but Wilson's dropped off since making the final that got him to the Grand Prix himself
-
1u King 8/13, Petersen's only here because he was quite consistent in qualifying, King has the quality still and is here because of a semi final run where he beat Petersen in the process
- Nothing on Suljovic, he should win but Wattimena has just enough game that he can hit a good run over a short format just enough
- White/Jenkins is intriguing, think this is very, very close to a coinflip, will go
0.25u Jenkins 6/5 as there's just enough value for a tiny play
- LOL Norris getting the other bastard draw, that said,
0.25u Norris 4/1, really don't know if Taylor can be arsed for what's a fairly minor major, he's sacked off the PC finals by not entering the last two events
- May add a bet on Dobey/Cullen if there's less vig, do not think Cullen is that big a favourite but would want at least 15/8 Dobey
- Pipe's started to look not completely AIDS this past month and Wright's dropped a couple of bollocks, so will ignore this
-
0.5u Reyes 13/8, Thornton not showing enough that Reyes should be more than a 60/40 dog
-
0.25u Anderson 9/4, tiny speculative play, peak Anderson shows up enough that he should nick this about 1 in 3
-
0.5u Richardson 6/4, apart from one final to save his Matchplay skin Caven's done nothing this year and has been annihilated more than once on TV, Richardson outqualified him and is the opportunistic type that might grab this, and he needs a result to save his tour card in all likelihood