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Originally Posted by Thremp
I know. I was trying to expand on how you'd come to a conclusion.
It doesn't seem that way, as your comment wasn't relevant to the discussion.
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On the French, I have no clue. Maybe? I def overstepped the realm of "what I know" with that statement though. Other 3, fo sho dog. French... No clue. Alert me when Pinny/Betfair places odds.
If Nadal is considered less than a 50% on the French and he is healthy at the time, I would take the bet instantly.
He has won 5 of 6 times he has competed, the one time he lost being injured. The last two times he won, he won without dropping a set, in 2008 it included dominating Federer in the final.
The fact that you mentioned that he was a dog without checking, doesn't put much credibility to your comment. Despite that, I think he would be a dog in the other 3. At those slams, Federer, Djokovic, Soderling and Murray are contenders, enough to drop him below 50%. He would probably still be the favorite.