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Rafa is the GOAT, butnahhhhh or maybe? Rafa is the GOAT, butnahhhhh or maybe?
View Poll Results: Who will end up as the GOAT
Roger Federer
374 68.12%
Rafa Nadal
96 17.49%
Novak Djokovic
62 11.29%
Andy Murray
6 1.09%
Pete Sampras
2 0.36%
Roy Emerson
0 0%
Bjorn Borg
2 0.36%
Roder Laver
2 0.36%
John McEnroe
3 0.55%
Bill Tilden
2 0.36%

06-07-2022 , 12:56 AM
Like what geoff posted for the others
Rafa is the GOAT, butnahhhhh or maybe? Quote
06-07-2022 , 07:35 AM
Dumb question, but what's the difference between Aussie and US. Same surface, why would one be 3x as successful at the Aussie?
Rafa is the GOAT, butnahhhhh or maybe? Quote
06-07-2022 , 11:55 AM
Ball spins the opposite way there.
Rafa is the GOAT, butnahhhhh or maybe? Quote
06-08-2022 , 01:48 AM
So, is there a 22* because Nadal beat Djokovic in a quarter match, instead of a semi or final?
Rafa is the GOAT, butnahhhhh or maybe? Quote
06-08-2022 , 02:00 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by housenuts
Dumb question, but what's the difference between Aussie and US. Same surface, why would one be 3x as successful at the Aussie?
Both are hard court, but the actual surfaces are different brands (Laykold for US, GreenSet for AO). So, behavior such as speed, behavior in varying temperatures, and consistency during the event will not be the same.
Rafa is the GOAT, butnahhhhh or maybe? Quote
06-08-2022 , 02:40 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by housenuts
Dumb question, but what's the difference between Aussie and US.
Quote:
Originally Posted by pwnsall
Ball spins the opposite way there.
Yes, topspin less effective, using underspin/backspin is the way to go in Aussie Open.
Rafa is the GOAT, butnahhhhh or maybe? Quote
06-08-2022 , 07:52 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by wetleg
As far as majors won? 6 Wimbledon's, 3 US Opens, 2 French Opens.

My guess is he'll win at least 2 more Wimbledon's, 1 more Aussie Open and 1 more French. So he'll end up with 24 at least, maybe one or two more.
Quote:
Originally Posted by housenuts
Dumb question, but what's the difference between Aussie and US. Same surface, why would one be 3x as successful at the Aussie?
Think Aussie open courts bounce a tad slower than us open. I’m not sure with them resurfacing it but I feel ball bounces a littler higher and slower at the Aussie open in comparison to the us open. I could be wrong but def think the us open favors bigger hitters a tad more. Think djokovic has upper hand on both hard courts though.

I still find it crazy nadal won Wimbledon 2x. Him beating fed at Wimbledon prolly really helped his goat status a ton as fed could have had 1-2 more if he would have beaten nadal. I also find it surprising nadal hasn’t won the Aussie more often. Say what you want but it’s going to be interesting to see who ends up with more slams between nadal and djokovic. Feel djokovic is going to be under a ton of pressure bc if he goes down 3 to nadal, seems like it’s going to be almost impossible for him to overtake him unless he has an insanely long career (could happen) as he seems fairly healthy and has really improved in slams in comparison to when he was younger and had some issues with breathing.
Rafa is the GOAT, butnahhhhh or maybe? Quote
06-09-2022 , 05:33 PM
What's up with McEnroe not emphasizing and never winning the Aussie Open? Seems a pity to their place in history.
Rafa is the GOAT, butnahhhhh or maybe? Quote
06-11-2022 , 12:39 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Lawnmower Man
The argument would be they aren't playing the same game. Federer was GOAT of a relatively short and awkward transition period where 80s/90s era rackets were still largely in use but people started switching to hybrid strings (c.2002) while court surfaces were made slower to produce "exciting rallies." He dominated for several years but was eventually overtaken by the biggest beneficiaries of these changes, i.e., the power baseline spinners who could run down every ball. There's a reason why Agassi (1999) was the first male player to win a career slam since Roy Emerson in 1964 and it's not because there were no good tennis players. It's because the surfaces played far more different from each other compared to today where they are more homogenized. If those changes aren't as extreme and tennis plays more like the late 90s era, Nadal is merely a guy who wins French Opens and Federer runs deep into the 20s on slams. Djokovic is probably a better version of Agassi or Agassi / Chang hybrid. Serve & volley is extinct, the Pro Staff 85/90 are extinct, and the 1hbh is an endangered species. Totally different games which is why this debate is pointless.
This is a good post. The idea that Federer/Nadal/Djokovic are the three best players ever by a lot because they won so many grand slam tournaments is mostly nonsense that ignores the context. Their extended dominance has a lot to do with 1) court homogenization, 2) improvements in court quality more generally reducing variance and favoring baseliners and 3) slowing changes in the game itself, which favors older players.

The reality is that older generations of tennis players had to deal with much larger differences between grass/hard/clay courts, which makes it much more difficult succeed across different types, worse and inconsistent court conditions, especially grass, which increases variance, as well as much faster changes in the evolution of the game, which historically led to older players not being able to adjust to new conditions.

Federer likely benefitted from this in the early part of his career, but less so than others because he was already highly versatile to begin with and as a function of when he started, he's had to change his style and equipment significantly over the course of his career. Nadal and Djokovic were never particularly versatile and never really had to change their style of play, as the only changes in the game made things easier, not harder, as they have historically done for older players in past eras.
Rafa is the GOAT, butnahhhhh or maybe? Quote
06-11-2022 , 12:53 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by pwnsall
Kinda crazy Nadal has had the best longevity when early on seemed people were thinking the opposite.
This is because people didn't understand why historically tennis appeared to have a steep aging curve that favored younger players compared to other sports. A lot of people thought it had to do with tennis being physically more taxing on older players compared to other sports and Nadal's style would wear his body out quicker. But the real reason why older players often washed out early in tennis is that the game has been changing rapidly and it's not easy for older players used to older equipment and style of play to adjust to younger players. Another factor is that the tour represents a substantially larger personal sacrifice once you have a family and kids and the pay and recognition in tennis are more top-heavy than team sports, which means it's easier for ex-top players to lose motivation, once they are at a point where they feel they no longer have a legitimate shot at winning major events.

Because it does take a lot of extra effort to maintain your body as you age, losing motivation does lead to accelerated age-related physical decline. And this is self-reinforcing because because the worse you get, the less motivation you have to try to put in the effort.
Rafa is the GOAT, butnahhhhh or maybe? Quote
06-14-2022 , 01:21 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Lawnmower Man
The argument would be they aren't playing the same game. Federer was GOAT of a relatively short and awkward transition period where 80s/90s era rackets were still largely in use but people started switching to hybrid strings (c.2002) while court surfaces were made slower to produce "exciting rallies." He dominated for several years but was eventually overtaken by the biggest beneficiaries of these changes, i.e., the power baseline spinners who could run down every ball. There's a reason why Agassi (1999) was the first male player to win a career slam since Roy Emerson in 1964 and it's not because there were no good tennis players. It's because the surfaces played far more different from each other compared to today where they are more homogenized. If those changes aren't as extreme and tennis plays more like the late 90s era, Nadal is merely a guy who wins French Opens and Federer runs deep into the 20s on slams. Djokovic is probably a better version of Agassi or Agassi / Chang hybrid. Serve & volley is extinct, the Pro Staff 85/90 are extinct, and the 1hbh is an endangered species. Totally different games which is why this debate is pointless.
So how do you explain players like Borg, Connors, and Lendl?
Rafa is the GOAT, butnahhhhh or maybe? Quote
06-14-2022 , 01:53 AM
Since the Open Era, US Open winners averaged the following ages by decade:

1968-77: 26.7
1977-86: 25.1
1987-96: 27.7
1997-06: 25.2
2007-16: 25.7
2017-21: 29.4

From 1974 to 1987, 3 players won 12 of 14 years. From 1990 to 2002, 3 players won 9 of 13 years. From 2004 to 2021, 3 players won 12 of 18 years.

Last edited by PokerHero77; 06-14-2022 at 01:59 AM.
Rafa is the GOAT, butnahhhhh or maybe? Quote
06-14-2022 , 02:25 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by FellaGaga-52
What's up with McEnroe not emphasizing and never winning the Aussie Open? Seems a pity to their place in history.
Travel in the 70s and 80s was quite a bit different than now. AO was also lowest in prize money, contested near Christmas/New Years, and the stadium was minor league. Borg only played there once, and Connors twice.
Rafa is the GOAT, butnahhhhh or maybe? Quote
07-08-2022 , 07:13 PM
So is Rafa 19-1 or 19-0-1 in grand slam matches this year? Is he still undefeated in any statistical sense?
Rafa is the GOAT, butnahhhhh or maybe? Quote
07-08-2022 , 08:03 PM
19-0 by official records I believe
Rafa is the GOAT, butnahhhhh or maybe? Quote
07-09-2022 , 02:00 AM
Rafa’s withdrawal is not credited as a loss for him nor as a win for Kyrgios.
Rafa is the GOAT, butnahhhhh or maybe? Quote
07-09-2022 , 07:07 AM
Rafa GOAT abdominal tearer
Rafa is the GOAT, butnahhhhh or maybe? Quote
07-09-2022 , 08:20 AM
There’s some very informative posts in this thread for a general fan who doesn’t know the intricacies of the game. Thanks
Rafa is the GOAT, butnahhhhh or maybe? Quote
07-10-2022 , 02:39 AM
Well I discussed the tennis GOAT with a couple people recently and they swung me off of counting clay as some kind of specialty or "lesser" thing. Both said it's a better form of tennis where it's not so much about pure power wins, but all around game wins. That angle puts Rafa way out ahead. Interesting. Besides feeling bad for Fed, you gotta love what it does for Connors/Agassi to the 10th power Nadal.
Rafa is the GOAT, butnahhhhh or maybe? Quote
07-10-2022 , 02:41 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by kerr
Rafa’s withdrawal is not credited as a loss for him nor as a win for Kyrgios.
If you start then retire during that match, it is a loss probably, right?
Rafa is the GOAT, butnahhhhh or maybe? Quote
07-10-2022 , 08:20 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by FellaGaga-52
If you start then retire during that match, it is a loss probably, right?
Correct. If we just consider Nadal, on his Wikipedia page it says:

Nadal withdrew before the third round of the 2016 French Open due to a wrist injury, and before the semi-finals of 2022 Wimbledon due to an abdominal tear which do not officially count as losses.

Nadal received a walkover in the second round of the 2019 US Open, which does not count as a win.
Rafa is the GOAT, butnahhhhh or maybe? Quote
08-31-2022 , 01:41 AM
Nadal 20-0 in majors this year. Most wins undefeated in majors in a calendar year for men, modern?


The list of 3-major winners in one year is kind of surprising.
Rafa is the GOAT, butnahhhhh or maybe? Quote
08-31-2022 , 11:34 AM
Connors won 3 in 1974 and was banned from French Open because he played World Team Tennis.

Closest one can get to winning all 4.
Rafa is the GOAT, butnahhhhh or maybe? Quote
09-02-2022 , 09:39 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by FellaGaga-52
Nadal 20-0 in majors this year. Most wins undefeated in majors in a calendar year for men, modern?
Laver went 26-0 in 1969.
Rafa is the GOAT, butnahhhhh or maybe? Quote
09-04-2022 , 11:18 AM
22-0 in slams 2022 -- Rafa.
Rafa is the GOAT, butnahhhhh or maybe? Quote

      
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