Quote:
Originally Posted by BOIDS
the usual models say that they win the game more often by going for it
Yep it's not just the math that shows it's correct. That's strong evidence in itself but one can argue around it by challenging the assumptions that underpin the math. But trying to go that route only strengthens the argument supporting Campbell's decision because the model probably assumes a league average kicker. The Lions had a below average kicker which makes the math argument a virtual lock to be correct.